Michigan 73, Rutgers 69
That spread seems insane to me (9.5). Michigan hasn't won a game by double digits since pre-MLK weekend against Washington.
This is Michigan's third game in 6 days, they're not a deep team to begin with and two rotation guys were out on Monday.
Michigan is very good on defense but their strategy is to allow a lot of mid-range shots and deny the 3, and Rutgers can actually take advantage of that with Harper and Bailey who can create as well as anyone.
All of that suggests a game closer than 10 points.
I'd be pretty surprised if Rutgers actually won, but I'd be more surprised if Michigan covered.
However, Michigan needs to find its offense. Rutgers obviously isn't very good defensively but if Michigan fails to take advantage a second time against Rutgers' defense, it will likely lose.