Even if we look only at the 6 Level 1's OM is not contesting and no LOIC, if they are level 1 standard, not mitigated or aggravated, then technically each carry a minimum 12.5% reduction on 85 scholarships, at least under the new structure. Even if they use the old structure for some of these, the COI can hammer them as badly as they want, because every Level 1 committed since the new matrix can also go as high as 25% for standard.
If they average out to 6 standard (combination of mitigated, aggravated and standard), the 6 Level 1's alone could technically result in 64 to 127 scholarship losses. Again, that's just not going to happen, particularly if the COI is allowed to group violations, and not sum them all up. It's also been argued the L1's associated with coaches lying, etc will not be held against the university, just the coach, so that could knock it down some...but how much realistically?
How about this. Even if we take out the L1's associated with coaches not there, and assume the punishment goes only to the coaches as suspensions and show causes...if we only go with stuff they accept are "on the school & its boosters", then you're still looking at 4 Level 1's, that can result in as many as 42-85 scholarship losses by the new matrix, again not even counting L2's & 3's.
I just don't get how even the most deluded of their fans (imagine how 17'd up that person would have to be, considering the norm), can see how the COI is going to come anywhere close to their proposed penalties. The COI would have to decide to consider all of the violations as just one...then apply the minimum penalty allowed for a standard Level 1 violation...11 scholarships (85 x 12.5%).Do any of those folks actually think there is any way on God's Green Earth the COI is going to decide to punish them for just one Level 1 Standard violation?