Sweden

L4Dawg

All-American
Oct 27, 2016
10,375
7,221
113
We have no business comparing our outcomes to Sweden or any other Scandinavian outcomes. Swedes are in much better overall health and far more ethnically homogeneous. The people having the worst outcomes with this virus are obese with high blood pressure or other cardiovascular compromises. In addition certain demographics within our country, demographics that do not exist in Sweden, are having disproportionately worse outcomes due to their disproportionate prevalence of comorbidities. Our populations are too different to compare. It’s meaningless to draw any conclusions by comparing the two.

Yet their death rate is worse than ours.
 

L4Dawg

All-American
Oct 27, 2016
10,375
7,221
113
I think we will blow by 184k unfortunately. Hope I’m wrong.

It's going to be way more than that, and it isn't done in Sweden either. When it's cold and they are all back inside things will get tough again. All of Europe knows what's coming. They are much more realistic about this thing than we are. It's glorious there now. They are all on vacation and outside. It's why we always like to go to Northern Europe in the summer. There is nothing better than eating really good food outside in fabulous weather.
 
Aug 22, 2012
912
0
0

Thanks. But I read and searched the article and never saw the word "mistake" ever used or implied. In fact he denied the Swedish strategy was wrong.
View attachment 17076


In the article he did say he would do some things differently because there is always room for improvement. But never in this article did he ever say he made a mistake as you've claimed continually.
 

L4Dawg

All-American
Oct 27, 2016
10,375
7,221
113
Thanks. But I read and searched the article and never saw the word "mistake" ever used or implied. In fact he denied the Swedish strategy was wrong.
View attachment 17076


In the article he did say he would do some things differently because there is always room for improvement. But never in this article did he ever say he made a mistake as you've claimed continually.

It wasn't a mistake but he would do it differently if he had a do over. Ok it wasn't a mistake, my bad.
 

engie

Freshman
May 29, 2011
10,757
92
48
It wasn't a mistake but he would do it differently if he had a do over. Ok it wasn't a mistake, my bad.

Only you and Andrew cuomo can be perfect all the time.

It’s burning itself out everywhere 15-20 actual percent of people have had it
 
Last edited:
Aug 22, 2012
912
0
0
It wasn't a mistake but he would do it differently if he had a do over. Ok it wasn't a mistake, my bad.

Hey, I'm not trying to get into an argument. But I believe you're taking something he said, and perhaps repackaging it to be a bit different.

You claimed he said he made a mistake, yes? Yet here in the article you shared he denied the strategy (the one you said was his mistake) was wrong. I'm just looking at his words you shared with me. And perhaps he's doing damage control with his

I'm not trying to jump into a debate. I'll let it go after this. And I do think this is a more serious situation than a whole lot of people care to admit or recognize. And I also think it's not as serious as many make it out to be. I guess I'm in the middle....not a lot of us here in the middle it seems.

Sorry you've had people close to you suffer with it. And I hope we're all able to make wise decisions as the fall approaches.
 

L4Dawg

All-American
Oct 27, 2016
10,375
7,221
113
Hey, I'm not trying to get into an argument. But I believe you're taking something he said, and perhaps repackaging it to be a bit different.

You claimed he said he made a mistake, yes? Yet here in the article you shared he denied the strategy (the one you said was his mistake) was wrong. I'm just looking at his words you shared with me. And perhaps he's doing damage control with his

I'm not trying to jump into a debate. I'll let it go after this. And I do think this is a more serious situation than a whole lot of people care to admit or recognize. And I also think it's not as serious as many make it out to be. I guess I'm in the middle....not a lot of us here in the middle it seems.

Sorry you've had people close to you suffer with it. And I hope we're all able to make wise decisions as the fall approaches.

Like I said, he would do it differently but it wasn't a mistake. Tate Reeves would lone him.
 

mstateglfr

All-American
Feb 24, 2008
16,103
5,914
113
I honestly don’t understand why people are arguing against herd immunity. We can’t keep hiding in our houses forever. That’s unsustainable. As someone mentioned on this board the other day, there’s no such thing as a free lunch. Someone has to create value, someone has to do all the things society needs to function. We simply cannot afford to go into infinite debt to finance a continuous lockdown for the rest of our lives.

Are people arguing against herd immunity?
I see some repeating what credible sources say- that we dont know if immunity exists/for how long. That isnt arguing against herd immunity.
I see some saying that herd immunity is a goal and that it needs to come slowly to not overwhelm the healthcare system since thst would be reckless. That too isn't arguing against herd immunity.

Also, who is hiding in their houses right now? People all around me are out and about running errands, getting ice cream, and living life. Based on this board, the same is true for other regions of the country. Beaches are open, restaurants are open, youth sports are being played, etc etc etc.

You also mention a continuous lockdown. What exactly is a lockdown to you? I haven't seen it happen yet. In some parts of the country over 4 months ago, people were asked to shelter in place except for running necessary errands, exercising, or working. You have a goofy view of what a continuous lockdown is.
 

GloryDawg

Heisman
Mar 3, 2005
19,539
16,866
113
The people in Sweden are a lot healthier than us.

And they are a lot different than us. How many Blacks live there? How many Asians live there? How many Latinos live there? How many Native Americans live there? We are the most diverse country in the world. We are made up 50 different states with their own constitutions. It's like 50 mini nations tied in together with thier own laws. I am really getting tired of the comparison between us and other countries. What works anywhere else will not work here. We are also the most free and independent thinking people in the world. They might be use to Mask mandates but not here. It's view as infringement to our rights. Telling me who I can have or how many I can have at my house is viewed as infringement to my rights. You start telling me I can't go to church I get pissed off. They like Okaaay. There is no other country in the world like us. Yes we fight and argue but when one of those other countries freaks with us, we end up united and kicking their asses.
 
Last edited:

paindonthurt_

All-Conference
Jun 27, 2009
9,528
2,046
113
Saying you would do some things differently doesn’t mean his overall strategy was a mistake.
 

mstateglfr

All-American
Feb 24, 2008
16,103
5,914
113
And they are a lot different than us. How many Blacks live there? How many Asians live there? How many Latinos live there? How many Native Americans live there? We are the most diverse country in the world. We are made up 50 different states with their own constitutions. It's like 50 mini nations tied in together with thier own laws. I am really getting tired of the comparison between us and other countries. What works anywhere else will not work here. We are also the most free and independent thinking people in the world. They might be use to Mask mandates but not here. It's view as infringement to our rights. Telling me who I can have or how many I can have at my house is viewed as infringement to my rights. You start telling me I can't go to church I get pissed off. They like Okaaay. There is no other country in the world like us. Yes we fight and argue but when one of those other countries freaks with us, we end up united and kicking their asses.

In response to the bold sentences, since we can't be compared to other countries and what works there won't work here, that means sweden's approach won't work here and it neednt be discussed further.

This is excellent news.
GloryDawg hath spoken and all shall follow. Im happy this has been put to rest.

...if only it were this easy to put it to rest.
 

docdawg

Redshirt
Mar 22, 2009
130
14
18
Have you seen Midsommar? The Swedes have a lot of rituals to ward off the Rona.
 
Sep 25, 2013
1,627
0
0
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_death_rates_by_country

It "worked" ? Deaths per 100,000:

Sweden - 56.4
Denmark - 10.6
Finland - 6.0
Norway - 4.8

I mean, sure, theoretically Sweden might not have any more deaths and their neighbors could trickle up and eventually pass them, but it's such a long way to go that it's incredibly unlikely that they'll even get close.

Even America would need to have 184,000 deaths to reach Sweden's level. Hopefully we don't get there.

It worked because they are done and the death rate will be the same as ours in the long run because it's not going to stop until it runs through the population. This pie in the sky idea that we are going to stop this before we reach herd immunity the way they basically have is causing a ton of problems that are completely avoidable.
 
Last edited:

o_Hot Rock

Senior
Jan 2, 2010
1,849
773
113
Please do not listen to me, or anybody else on the board. This information comes directly from the Mayo Clinic, I hope we can all agree that is a pretty respected source.

“However, there are some major problems with relying on community infection to create herd immunity to the virus that causes COVID-19. First, it isn't yet clear if infection with the COVID-19 virus makes a person immune to future infection”.

“ Even if infection with the COVID-19 virus creates long-lasting immunity, a large number of people would have to become infected to reach the herd immunity threshold. Experts estimate that in the U.S., 70% of the population — more than 200 million people — would have to recover from COVID-19 to halt the epidemic. If many people become sick with COVID-19 at once, the health care system could quickly become overwhelmed. This amount of infection could also lead to serious complications and millions of deaths, especially among older people and those who have chronic conditions“.

So maybe they reached herd immunity in Sweden, but this is not something that can happen in the U.S. without 200 million becoming infected, with millions dead. Again please do not believe me, please listen to what one of the, if not the most, highly respected hospitals and their doctors are saying about this.

Actually those estimates of % to reach herd immunity may be much lower. In fact, way lower in sparsely populated areas such as rural MS. Larger cities may need to get to 70% but not rural areas where people have fewer contacts.

By some models effective immunity can happen as low as 40% of the population in many areas. It's not saying there won't still be outbreaks, they will be just easier to contain won't overwhelm the system. You will need to continue to protect people with weakened immune systems until we get a vaccine but the threat of a large outbreak would be gone. I will see if I can find that link, it was few weeks ago but it was a legit source.
 

engie

Freshman
May 29, 2011
10,757
92
48
The equation for Herd immunity = 1-1/r0. r0 being the average number of people infected by each newly infected person. Obviously r0 has been extremely variable based on outside factors, both within and outside of our control. It increases during an outbreak and decreases as the outbreak comes under control.

It's a variable that gets complex when broken down into subsets. A lot of the early herd immunity assumptions were based on the speed of increase in cases showing a high r0 during the initial outbreak. A number that seems to be naturally coming to heel @ around 20% actual infections worldwide. Also fair to acknowledge that herd immunity is also a curve. If the r0 is held somewhat constant, you increase in case load to halfway there, then it's a slow decrease to near nothing.
 
Last edited:

Sapsdawg

Redshirt
Nov 15, 2005
354
1
18
You can't give it up. He didn't say he would do things differently. Point out where he said he would do things differently. "We believe our strategy is good...there is always room for improvement." Both of those are true in his mind and does NOT suggest he would do everything different, but might do some things a little different. We HAVE to open schools and stop the lockdown and focus on protecting the vulnerable (elderly and those with co-morbidities). You are going to kill more people with lockdowns. Suicide, drug overdose, and alcohol deaths are skyrocketing.

[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Tahoma,Calibri,Geneva,sans-serif]https://townhall.com/tipsheet/micaelaburrow/2020/07/28/redfield-says-more-abovebase-suicides-than-covid-deaths-n2573278

[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Tahoma,Calibri,Geneva,sans-serif]https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/health/2020/05/08/coronavirus-pandemic-boosts-suicide-alcohol-drug-death-predictions/3081706001/

Not to mention we are already starting to see avoidable deaths or terminal diagnoses because of delays in treatment. Met with one of my experts and he is already seeing a lot of metastatic cancers that can't be treated now, that may have been treatable if they were caught in April. Same thing with heart disease and people not getting screened for blockages dying of heart attacks. We've had 4 heart attacks in the news here in Jackson in people under 48 with two in their 30s just this weekend. [/FONT][SUB][SUP]<strike>
</strike>[/SUP][/SUB]
[/FONT]