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Sure seems like trump is surging

M

Mntneer

Sophomore
Oct 7, 2001
10,192
196
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mdeer1 said:
new poll out of New Hampshire has him up 1
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He is it seems. It's not going to be a blow out like some have predicted. We will know early that night who's going to win (barring a narrow race that requires a recount), as if he wins PA, he will win WH and I would wager he'll win big. He loses PA, he's going to come close, but he won't win.
 
M

Mdeer

Heisman
Apr 10, 2002
24,651
15,100
87
Mntneer said:
He is it seems. It's not going to be a blow out like some have predicted. We will know early that night who's going to win (barring a narrow race that requires a recount), as if he wins PA, he will win WH and I would wager he'll win big. He loses PA, he's going to come close, but he won't win.
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Can't see him winning PA
 
F

Fingon

Senior
Dec 15, 2003
11,321
415
83
Mntneer said:
He is it seems. It's not going to be a blow out like some have predicted. We will know early that night who's going to win (barring a narrow race that requires a recount), as if he wins PA, he will win WH and I would wager he'll win big. He loses PA, he's going to come close, but he won't win.
Click to expand...

I think if he wins PA, he is almost assuredly going to win. The states may be independent actors in theory, but not in practice. If he swings things far enough to win PA, he'll assuredly also have NC, FL, OH, NH, IA, and NV in the bag as well. If you substitute FL or NC for PA in your scenario then I would agree--he may win FL and/or NC, but it won't guarantee anything. If he loses FL or NC, he's definitely done.

My current prediction is either 293 electoral votes (i.e., the Obama map minus OH and IA plus NC) or 322 (the former plus FL).
 
M

mneilmont

Sophomore
Jan 23, 2008
20,883
166
0
Fingon said:
I think if he wins PA, he is almost assuredly going to win. The states may be independent actors in theory, but not in practice. If he swings things far enough to win PA, he'll assuredly also have NC, FL, OH, NH, IA, and NV in the bag as well. If you substitute FL or NC for PA in your scenario then I would agree--he may win FL and/or NC, but it won't guarantee anything. If he loses FL or NC, he's definitely done.

My current prediction is either 293 electoral votes (i.e., the Obama map minus OH and IA plus NC) or 322 (the former plus FL).
Click to expand...
Seems like Pa is always in play, but for some reason we never close. Trump has been my choice from day one because of the economy, and he is outsider with business background. It is very hard to explain how the Pa residents could push for the extension of a bad economy and high unemployment. Trump has worked his *** off over the past year preaching economy and jobs. Hillary has hired surrogates to go out and preach her word of whatever she offers, but then she follows up with the praise of Obama and how she wants to extend his programs. His programs suck and the public says we are going in the wrong direction. I see Trump ending up in 2nd place in Pa as have conservatives before him.
 
M

Mntneer

Sophomore
Oct 7, 2001
10,192
196
0
Fingon said:
I think if he wins PA, he is almost assuredly going to win. The states may be independent actors in theory, but not in practice. If he swings things far enough to win PA, he'll assuredly also have NC, FL, OH, NH, IA, and NV in the bag as well. If you substitute FL or NC for PA in your scenario then I would agree--he may win FL and/or NC, but it won't guarantee anything. If he loses FL or NC, he's definitely done.

My current prediction is either 293 electoral votes (i.e., the Obama map minus OH and IA plus NC) or 322 (the former plus FL).
Click to expand...

I don't think he'll take NC. Early voting is way down with Minorities and Women, and those are two key demographics Hillary's going to need to win that state.
 
M

mneilmont

Sophomore
Jan 23, 2008
20,883
166
0
Mntneer said:
I don't think he'll take NC. Early voting is way down with Minorities and Women, and those are two key demographics Hillary's going to need to win that state.
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Hard to predict. Still have the Golden Triangle where they will tell you quickly that they are the educated
 
R

roadtrasheer

All-Conference
Sep 9, 2016
18,757
3,055
113
I see more trump signs here in Springfield MA & I know all the detail cops will be voting Trump...even the black lesbian cop I work with ..
 
W

wvu1962

Junior
Jul 10, 2008
2,119
217
53
Obamacare sucks people's health care is increasing 53% this year in pa who can afford that?

Drain the swamp I am voting for trump in pa
 
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