Got the 2 seed at the No. 14 overall seed, implying we were just three spots from hosting.
Matched up with Oklahoma regional.
Matched up with Oklahoma regional.
Softball headed to Oregon
- Thread starter 615dawg
- Start date
Just three spots from hosting seems incredibly unlikely. We had a .375 winning percentage in league play.
It’s far more likely that the softball selection committee works the same way as the baseball committee…..S-curve stops after the Top 16. Strong 2-seeds are given shorter distance to travel, and vice versa.
Yep. You always want to beat the best to prove you ARE the best! So take out Oregon, et al; then go sweep OU and you only have to drive another 50 miles to the WCWS!
When you consider that the SEC has 6 of the top 8 seeds and 9 of the top 16 seeds, the .375 winning percentage doesn't look that bad, and shows we are still a pretty good team.
RPI had us 18th, so seeding is in line. Its a long trip, but Oregon is beatable.
We were 2-7 against the Top 6, and didn’t even play 3 of the Top 4.
We were 6-13 against the Top 9.
We were 4-3 against everyone else, teams that finished a combined 18-78 (.189) in league play.
Not saying we aren’t a decent team compared to the rest of the country, but we’re a middling 2-seed at best. There’s a big drop-off after the Top 9 teams in the SEC, even though it is the strongest league by far.
If our RPI was 13th instead of 18th, with all other metrics held constant, would we have hosted? Yes or no?
LSU hosted at 13th. A&M hosted at 17th. We won 2 of 3 against LSU and were swept by A&M. I think we host instead of A&M if we win 2 of 3 against A&M and win a second one against Ole Miss. That would have been 12-12. Georgia is hosting with a #12 RPI and a 12-12 conference mark.
Our girls need to find their offense. They were averaging 1 run a game the last few weeks.
I know that math and logic are not your strong suites, but if we are 18th, we should lose to the top 5 and top 9.
I think you missed the “if all other metrics were held constant” tidbit.
At 9-15 in SEC play, we had no chance in hell of hosting at any RPI. We wouldn’t have even hosted if we were #1.
There are major disqualifiers from even being remotely considered worthy of hosting a regional, and being 6 games under .500 in your conference is certainly one of those…..no matter how good the conference is.
Not my strong “suites”, huh?
The 3 teams we played in Top 6 went 7-2 against us (.778). The same 3 teams went 42-21 against everyone else (.667).
Teams 7, 8, and 9 went 6-3 against us (.667). Same 3 teams went 34-29 against everyone else (.540).
We had two series against teams that finished below us in the standings - OM and USC. Those 2 teams went 3-3 against us (.500). They went 10-32 (.238) against everyone else.
The whole damn league, top to bottom, did better against MSU than they did against everyone else. It’s a damn joke to mention us as being on the hosting bubble. We won two 17ing series, and didn’t sweep anybody.
Rinse, repeat with MSU softball. The run of solid seasons is impressive. But the results basically never change. Good enough to be very competitive in a regional, but almost never good enough to make a Super and never scaring a CWS.
Same this year.
Same this year.
That’s going to be the case every year, with pretty much every SEC softball team.
Let this sink in….Kentucky finished with an RPI of #52. At face value, that’s NCAA tournament bubble territory. Simple math says there had to be a bare minimum of 13 teams with worse RPI’s that made the field.
So, anyway, Kentucky was 1-24 in SEC play.
One-and-17ing-Twenty-Four.
Whoever played Kentucky got three Quad 2 games…..barely.