SI article on tourney selection bias.

[boomboommsu]

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/andy_staples/03/15/selection.bias/index.html

I think this backs up what most of us already knew.

 

[GloryDawg]

Why is sports illistrated writing about a subject that everyone in the world of college sports already knows? Waste of time!</p>

 

[DawgMedic]

This year, everyone's complaining about the same three or four
choices - Air Force, Utah State, California and George Mason. We've
heard all the arguments based on RPI, quality losses, record in the
most recent 10 games, etc.</p>

Let's make it slightly simpler:</p>

Air Force: A Mountain West Conference AD, Chris Hill of Utah, was on the committee.</p>

California: A Pacific 10 Conference AD, Dan Guerrero of UCLA, was on the committee.</p>

Utah State: Western Athletic Conference Commissioner Karl Benson was on the committee.</p>

George Mason: Mason AD Tom O'Connor was on the committee.</p><div id="TixyyLink" style="border: medium none ; overflow: hidden; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: transparent; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;">
</div>

 

[jakldawg]

How accurate is the model now? On Sunday, it correctly predicted 33 of
the 34 at-large teams. The lone miss fell just on the other side of the
trio's cut line. The model predicted Mississippi State (with an 81.4
percent chance of getting a bid) would be the last team in, while
Florida (with an 80.2 percent chance) would be the first team out. The
Gators got a bid. The Bulldogs didn't.

 

[RebelBruiser]

That's why I like the idea of going to a formula. Get some economists like these guys to do an extensive study and create a model like the one they've created that weighs resumes based on all the information they say usually predicts selection. Then let that rating system govern the selection and seeding itself.

That way everyone knows what the factors are. It eliminates human bias. The complaints would still be there, but those that were complaining could see exactly what areas caused them to get left out or drop a seed.

 

[o_1984Dawg]

If only they'd factored in a conference commissioner pimping 1 of his teams over another they might have gotten all 34.

 

[snoopdog]

he obviously did it before the weekend games according to Florida's 10 seed. We never had a chance unless we won the tournament. I wonder how it would have played out had we won. We couldn't have been a 10 seed but I don't believe the SEC would have gotten five teams in.

 

[AROB44]

<font color="#ff0000" size="4" face="Times New Roman"><font color="#ff0000" size="4" face="Times New Roman"><font color="#ff0000" size="4" face="Times New Roman">

I wonder how it would have played out had we won

<font color="#000000">Slive would have stroked out (not a bad thought) and we would have been put on double secret probation for <17> up the selection committee's pre-conceived notion of how the world should be run.</font></p></font></font></font>