sanctions prediction - Dennis Dodd (CBS)

[patdog]

I think someone showed that they do have the power to impose the death penalty without being a repeat offender. But there's no way they're going to pull that trigger, no matter how much UMiss has been charged with.

 

[johnson86-1]

A slap on the wrist? Good Lord

Yes, that would be a slap on the wrist. Giving them less than USC got would basically be signalling to everybody that they're lightening up penalties for cheating, and by a significant amount.

I have no clue what they're going to hand down, but USC is the absolute minimum they can hand down if they don't want cheating by schools other than UM to increase compared to what has been going on.

 

[johnson86-1]

We are about 10 under this year, were 6 or 7 under last year and were 4-5 under in 2015. Thats 20-22 scholarships over 3 years. Don't believe me? Go look up the rosters and count the scholarship guys each year.

Pretty sure that's not how 25 over 3 works. 25 over three is signing. So if you start at 85, at the end of three years, you are pretty much best case scenario going to be down to 75 and spend at least two years at 75. Realistically, I'm guessing the best case scenario is closer to 70 scholarship players, and that depends on you signing pretty much no JUCOs and having pretty minimal attrition, as well as having at least 25 freshmen or RS freshmen at the start of your penalty.

But yes, 25 over 3 would be pretty light. It is a little more harsh than it looks because the 16-15 people they do sign each year will for the most part be leftovers from other Power 5 programs. But that would still be cause for celebration in Oxford and would probably leave most of their fans thinking the cheating was worth it.