First Let's look at CalPreps rankings of these teams. We have their rating, their rank in 6A, their rank in all of Virginia (including private schools), their rank in USA. First notice, there is only a 7.8 point difference between the highest rated team and the lowest rated. This should be fun! Odds against winning state championship (as calculated by me based on these ratings) are after the records
48.5 1 5 361 Lake Braddock (11-1) 3:1
47.9 2 8 390 Oscar Smith (11-1) 4:1
44.6 3 14 564 Westfield (10-2) 6:1
44.0 4 15 582 Colonial Forge (10-2) 8:1
42.7 5 18 658 Woodside (10-2) 11:1
42.1 6 19 702 Manchester (11-1) 11:1
42.1 7 20 703 South Lakes (11-1) 13:1
40.7 8 24 801 James Madison (11-1) 15:1
When the "long shot" is 15:1 you've got a pretty evenly matched playoff going.
48.5 1 5 361 Lake Braddock (11-1) 3:1
47.9 2 8 390 Oscar Smith (11-1) 4:1
44.6 3 14 564 Westfield (10-2) 6:1
44.0 4 15 582 Colonial Forge (10-2) 8:1
42.7 5 18 658 Woodside (10-2) 11:1
42.1 6 19 702 Manchester (11-1) 11:1
42.1 7 20 703 South Lakes (11-1) 13:1
40.7 8 24 801 James Madison (11-1) 15:1
When the "long shot" is 15:1 you've got a pretty evenly matched playoff going.
