Post Fairfield Scrimmage expectations

How have your expectations for the season changed post Fairfield game?


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Scangg

Heisman
Mar 19, 2016
25,448
49,369
113
After watching or hearing about the scrimmage, how has it impacted your expectations for this season?

Note: you can still watch or rewatch on B1G+ the game. It's free... probably bc it was a charity game
 

BillyC80

Heisman
Oct 23, 2006
17,101
15,517
72
Three reasons why I’m more bullish after the exhibition game: 1) we performed fairly well as a team without Caleb; 2) hearing from Pike that he purposely held back some looks/plays that he did not want known at this time; 3) Our press looked pretty good, again without Caleb, which was a testament to our depth.
 

Scangg

Heisman
Mar 19, 2016
25,448
49,369
113
4) cam's defense and all around game
5) Simpson is the real deal and perfect sparkplug energy guy off the bench. This is massive
6) Woolfolk ready now. His athleticism and ability to move and switch. Really strong defender when Cliff is out if needed
7) Mag breakout is here
8) Hyatt will contribute
 

Jtg=04131996

All-Conference
Aug 2, 2010
8,165
4,878
81
No change, but that might be due to me being biased by all the positive reports (I read this board before going back and watching).

Cliff will be dominant as expected. Mag and Hyatt look really improved.

I think Simpson’s performance was a bit overhyped - yes he shot well but turned it over a lot. I’m not sure he will contribute all that much in Big Ten play, but hope I’m wrong.

If we struggle this season, I think it’ll be due to poor 3 point shooting. Was hoping to see Chol shoot, but he’s probably not ready either with the other aspects of the game.
 

RUJMM78

Heisman
Jul 25, 2001
26,209
12,472
113
Rebounding and 3 point shooting will determine success /failure for this seasons team .I fully expect opponents will play more zone against Rutgers to stop drives to the basket and force 3 point shots.The health of McConnell is also important because of his expected contributions on offense and defense.
 
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Jtg=04131996

All-Conference
Aug 2, 2010
8,165
4,878
81
Rebounding and 3 point shooting will determine success /failure for this seasons team .I fully expect opponents will play more zone against Rutgers to stop drives to the basket and force 3 point shots.The health of McConnell is also important because of his expected contributions on offense and defense.
Good call on rebounding, that will be key. Ron was an underrated rebounder for us averaging 6 per night.
 

Scangg

Heisman
Mar 19, 2016
25,448
49,369
113
Good call on rebounding, that will be key. Ron was an underrated rebounder for us averaging 6 per night.
We should be a better rebounding team this year. Harper 6 boards but also played 30+ minutes a night at 6'4 at the 4.

I would expect Mag Hyatt Dean Woolfolk to all be better rebounders than they were last year and all rebound at a higher rate with their minutes at the 4 than Harper did

We really weren't a good rebounding team last year
 

Scangg

Heisman
Mar 19, 2016
25,448
49,369
113
Curious for those voting more bearish... care to list the reasons?
 

bowlgoal

Heisman
Jul 20, 2004
12,202
11,411
93
This is a very athletic team. I think Mag, Hyatt and Spencer can really push the pace and when Simpson get's going, that's speed we have not had. Ok, maybe we did with JY, but this kid has a higher ceiling as a PG. I also think defenses are going to really need to be on their toes when we switch from Paul running the point, to Derek running it. Paul can lull your to sleep and post up because he's so big and strong. Derek can take you off the dribble and shoot it in your face. He needs to put on some muscle.

The addition of Wolf is really going to help with defense and rebounding. He is very athletic and smooth.
 

Degaz-RU

Heisman
Dec 19, 2002
22,357
26,652
88
More bullish for me because:

1. Simpson looks ready to contribute IMMEDIATELY, and provides a quick offensive spark that we don’t have otherwise.

2. Mag and Hyatt both look improved, especially Mag.

3. Cliff really DID expand his offensive arsenal.

4. Spencer has an all around game, including on defense, and scored 10 points despite going 0-3 on threes.

5. Proof that Woolfolk is ready to contribute as a backup 5.
 

Greene Rice FIG

Heisman
Dec 30, 2005
40,437
23,613
0
Curious for those voting more bearish... care to list the reasons?
1 can make the arguement that Caleb not being healthy enough to play is enough to being bearish. One would think the odds of him not being completely healthy this year is slightly elevated.

Same for Dean playing only 2 minutes

Also would have like to see in a scrimmage or exhibition minutes being allocated to Chol Woolfolk Miller and Oskar. Why wouldn't he play them more to get experience? Only explanation is they arent ready.

Why would Paul and Cliff play any more than 20 minutes?
 

Scangg

Heisman
Mar 19, 2016
25,448
49,369
113
1 can make the arguement that Caleb not being healthy enough to play is enough to being bearish. One would think the odds of him not being completely healthy this year is slightly elevated.

Same for Dean playing only 2 minutes

Also would have like to see in a scrimmage or exhibition minutes being allocated to Chol Woolfolk Miller and Oskar. Why wouldn't he play them more to get experience? Only explanation is they arent ready.

Why would Paul and Cliff play any more than 20 minutes?
Pike said he was treating this as a dress rehearsal and real game. This is likely due to our poor start last season and struggles with the early OOC schedule.

He realized the Lafayette loss almost kept us out of the tournament and he wants the starters ready to rock and a fast start to the season

I would imagine the end of the bench played more in the closed door secret scrimmage
 
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Greene Rice FIG

Heisman
Dec 30, 2005
40,437
23,613
0
Pike said he was treating this as a dress rehearsal and real game. This is likely due to our poor start last season and struggles with the early OOC schedule.

He realized the Lafayette loss almost kept us out of the tournament and he wants the starters ready to rock and a fast start to the season

I would imagine the end of the bench played more in the closed door secret scrimmage
I think losing this game wasn't an option. I'd bet Pike would prefer to play game like this in secret.
 

Scangg

Heisman
Mar 19, 2016
25,448
49,369
113
The bottom line is every player who got minutes impressed. Everyone looked improved from last year. The new comers all look ready to contribute this season

The only true stock down is Chol who joined the team late and looked like he needed to adjust to this level and the speed of the game still

Dean could be a stock down too depending on how you look at it

I guess Oskar stock down bc of DNP but I don't think anyone thought he would be in the rotation much if at all anyway

Every main piece of the rotation looked good. It's encouraging.
 

Scangg

Heisman
Mar 19, 2016
25,448
49,369
113
Wouldn't you have liked to see 10+ minutes of Simpson or Miller without Paul in the game?
Yes, but I would have treated this game differently. I'm not the coach.

Pike said he treated it as a dress rehearsal and a real game. In a real game, Paul is going to play huge minutes
 
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fatsam98

Heisman
Mar 23, 2005
43,416
37,929
113
I said no change. My overly simplistic reasoning is that Simpson REALLY impressed me for it being his first or second college game action. Partially offset by Caleb not being ready to go.

Everything else was about what I was expecting beforehand.
 

Scarlet Shack

Heisman
Feb 3, 2004
26,272
15,943
73
We should be a better rebounding team this year. Harper 6 boards but also played 30+ minutes a night at 6'4 at the 4.

I would expect Mag Hyatt Dean Woolfolk to all be better rebounders than they were last year and all rebound at a higher rate with their minutes at the 4 than Harper did

We really weren't a good rebounding team last year

i have a lot of optimism for the year …but I am still concerned about rebounding . Especially when cliff is NOT on the floor
 
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bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
247,627
177,341
113
Same

I never take much from exhibitions

Cautiously optimistic and not putting any expectations on this group
 
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Scangg

Heisman
Mar 19, 2016
25,448
49,369
113
i have a lot of optimism for the year …but I am still concerned about rebounding . Especially when cliff is NOT on the floor
We should be better rebounding without Cliff on the floor this year than last year at least

Caleb will be a big help when he's back in terms of rebounding
 

PSAL_Hoops

Heisman
Feb 18, 2008
13,304
12,623
78
Wouldn't you have liked to see 10+ minutes of Simpson or Miller without Paul in the game?

I hear what your saying but I’m guessing neither of those guys will be running the show much in the pre-season without the support of either Paul or Caleb on the court. Cam seems like he can help more with the ball handling than I was expecting, but that’s not the role Pike is going to look for from him. We want Cam moving without the ball to get open for clean outside looks.

As for Caleb’s injury, it’s been announced that it’s his knee which is always a tricky one in terms of being careful not to return too soon because there’s a high reinjury risk. That’s probably the hold up as opposed to lingering pain keeping him out (like a back or finger injury).
 
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kcg88

Heisman
Aug 11, 2017
10,862
17,230
0
No change. We're in the 40-60 range, right near the bubble, and it depends what breaks go our way this season.

We won by 13 over Torvik's #154 team. He has us favored by 12 over Rider who is #178. Assuming the scrimmage was a 50th percentile outcome, which I think is fair, then he's got us rated fairly accurately at #56. Possibly a bit low if you think we win by 18 if Caleb plays.
 
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Eagleton95.99

All-American
Jul 25, 2001
7,552
6,473
113
Wouldn't you have liked to see 10+ minutes of Simpson or Miller without Paul in the game?
No. I think the new pieces have to learn how to play with the established pieces as that's how it's going to be in games. We aren't relying on the chemistry that Simpson and Miller develop together. We won't be relying on them playing together to win games. We care that Mulcahy learns what they can do so he can set them up etc. when they do play.
 
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Skull83

All-Conference
Jul 31, 2001
2,462
3,361
98
In the words of the immortal Allen Iverson - "practice, we talking about practice?!" Don't get too worked up about what happened or didn't happen in the exhibition game. There will be bumps in the road, but it should be another fun year. Enjoy the ride!
 

MLBash93

All-Conference
Jan 23, 2012
1,507
2,175
113
More bullIish, I think inserting Caleb into the lineup will help in all facets.

Also Derek Simpson being a day one contributor is so nice to see, I don't want to have to rely on Miller
 

Greene Rice FIG

Heisman
Dec 30, 2005
40,437
23,613
0
No change. We're in the 40-60 range, right near the bubble, and it depends what breaks go our way this season.

We won by 13 over Torvik's #154 team. He has us favored by 12 over Rider who is #178. Assuming the scrimmage was a 50th percentile outcome, which I think is fair, then he's got us rated fairly accurately at #56. Possibly a bit low if you think we win by 18 if Caleb plays.
Caleb will be a crucial piece in B1G play. I don’t know if he has quite the value in a OOC game. Hyatt and Mag playing together we’re tough to defend for Fairfield. In the flip side Fairfield doesn’t score 65 if he plays 31 minutes.
 

Scarlet83

Heisman
Feb 4, 2004
9,541
10,700
103
1 can make the arguement that Caleb not being healthy enough to play is enough to being bearish. One would think the odds of him not being completely healthy this year is slightly elevated.

Same for Dean playing only 2 minutes

Also would have like to see in a scrimmage or exhibition minutes being allocated to Chol Woolfolk Miller and Oskar. Why wouldn't he play them more to get experience? Only explanation is they arent ready.

Why would Paul and Cliff play any more than 20 minutes?
Pike looked at this game as a regular OOC game as far as playing time. He didn’t look at it as a scrimmage. Each player had to earn more time within the game. With the first game 8 days away, I really like that approach.

And Woolfolk played a lot.
 
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PSAL_Hoops

Heisman
Feb 18, 2008
13,304
12,623
78
Caleb will be a crucial piece in B1G play. I don’t know if he has quite the value in a OOC game. Hyatt and Mag playing together we’re tough to defend for Fairfield. In the flip side Fairfield doesn’t score 65 if he plays 31 minutes.

Agree on the defense though I think your biasing the offense based on his poor preseason last year. If anything close to the ND version of Caleb shows up, the score would’ve been something like 78-53 RU in a laugher. Fairfield doesn’t get those open looks from 3 if Caleb absorbs Hyatt’s minutes defending the perimeter.

Also - you should watch the scrimmage to see Simpson’s speed if nothing else. He’s a frosh - def turnover prone alla JY style at this point but having an explosive kid like that who can run the floor to play along side Caleb has really good potential. Last year’s team was missing that piece who could convert elite defensive play into fast break offense. Miller may be fast, but he didn’t provide this. Nobody on the team did. For me - that was the biggest positive take away from the game.
 
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Eagleton95.99

All-American
Jul 25, 2001
7,552
6,473
113
Seemed like Fairfield didn't penetrate much. One fear going into this year was that Spencer and Mulcahy would be weak with on-ball man D and easy to blow by. Simpson wasn't challenged in that way in the game either. So the perimeter D of the guards (outside Caleb) is still a question mark.
 

Greene Rice FIG

Heisman
Dec 30, 2005
40,437
23,613
0
PSAL,

I watched the 1st half and it was obvious watching 1 defensive possession that Simpson is a willing defender.

imagine a lineup of (on 1/2 of the court)
Miller Simpson Caleb Mag Cliff

I think we will actually see it at times if Pike gets pissed
 

PSAL_Hoops

Heisman
Feb 18, 2008
13,304
12,623
78
PSAL,

I watched the 1st half and it was obvious watching 1 defensive possession that Simpson is a willing defender.

imagine a lineup of (on 1/2 of the court)
Miller Simpson Caleb Mag Cliff

I think we will actually see it at times if Pike gets pissed

Yes - but his defense was just an added bonus since Cam looks to be servicable. Once Caleb returns, we’re not going to be stuck with Hyatt defending in the backcourt for major minutes unless he’s really killing it on offense.

The transition element of Simpson’s game is something last year’s team really lacked. To me - that’s a big reason to be cautiously bullish. Again - it’s only one game.
 
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Scangg

Heisman
Mar 19, 2016
25,448
49,369
113
Yes - but his defense was just an added bonus since Cam looks to be servicable. Once Caleb returns, we’re not going to be stuck with Hyatt defending in the backcourt for major minutes unless he’s really killing it on offense.

The transition element of Simpson’s game is something last year’s team really lacked. To me - that’s a big reason to be cautiously bullish. Again - it’s only one game.
Yup. Simpson brings an element this team desperately needed. Seeing him live up to my expectations and more was huge for my expectations of what this team can do.

Simpson is the perfect spark plug energy guy off the bench and can bring some scoring. He's even faster and more explosive than he looked in his HS tape IMO
 

Greene Rice FIG

Heisman
Dec 30, 2005
40,437
23,613
0
Simpson may have the ability to play defense better than Geo at some point in his career. It is going to be very difficult for Simpson in Year 1 to defend anywhere near as efficiently as Geo did in Year 5.

To your point......Simpson did jump out at me as a piece to be VERY excited about.

My bullish case for this team will have Simpson and Mag as major contributors.