Playoff scenarios

[JungRebel]

Playoff committee meets this week. Any predictions? Interesting scenarios? What if...

Lsu beats a tua less Bama, finishes 12-0.
Bama and Georgia go 11-1 but...
UGA beats LSU for the championship

Bama has the "best loss" (played w/o Tua)
LSU is close behind
UGA lost to USC, easily the worst loss

UGA wins the SEC, an automatic Playoff bid, but cant you imagine thinking they are the third best SEC team? Any possibility Bama jumps LSU in that scenario?

 

[MSUDC11]

At this point I feel pretty confident that the playoff will be Ohio State, Clemson, and two SEC teams. Winner of LSU/Bama gets in regardless of if they win in Atlanta. If Georgia wins the SEC, they get in. If not, the LSU/Bama loser gets in.

 

[39762]

I think we need to win out to have any shot of making the playoff

 

[BKCBully]

Dude that's solid!

 

[615dawg]

I'll go a little deeper because it is deeper

At this point I feel pretty confident that the playoff will be Ohio State, Clemson, and two SEC teams. Winner of LSU/Bama gets in regardless of if they win in Atlanta. If Georgia wins the SEC, they get in. If not, the LSU/Bama loser gets in.

SEC:
Alabama/LSU winner is in the drivers seat and is probably in the playoff unless something drastic happens.

Georgia has no room for error. But they control their own destiny. Win out and they are in the playoff.

The Alabama/LSU loser would need to win out and watch other conferences.


B1G
Ohio State is getting all the attention, but the B1G actually has two more unbeaten in Penn State and Minnesota, who play each other next week.

The loser of that game is out, but the winner will get a shot at Ohio State (Penn State in regular season, Minnesota in B1G title game).

Two teams aren't coming out of the B1G, so you can look at the Penn State/Minnesota game as a playin game for a quarterfinal matchup with Ohio State.


ACC
Clemson is the only team that can come out of the ACC. The question is do they have room for error?

Big 12
Baylor is unbeaten, but has a tough November ahead. Oklahoma already has a loss. If Baylor goes undefeated and wins the Big 12 title, then I think they get into the playoff over a 1-loss SEC team. If Oklahoma runs the table (which would mean beating Baylor twice), there will be much debate over a 1 loss Oklahoma vs. a 1 loss SEC non-champ.

Pac 12
Utah is still sitting out there with 1 loss. They would need to win out, have both Baylor and Oklahoma lose and one of the following:

Clemson lose twice
No unbeaten in Big 10 with West team winning title
Auburn beat Georgia and Alabama and LSU win the SEC as undefeated team.

 

[msstate7]

In your scenario, Bama would have 1 win over a current top 25 team. LSU would have 3 current top 25 wins including 1 over Bama and 1 over bama's best win. No way Bama would jump LSU

 

[Shmuley]

Run a scenario where Bama beats LUS but then loses to Auburn.

 

[THE Bruce Dickinson]

SEC:
Alabama/LSU winner is in the drivers seat and is probably in the playoff unless something drastic happens.

Georgia has no room for error. But they control their own destiny. Win out and they are in the playoff.

The Alabama/LSU loser would need to win out and watch other conferences.


B1G
Ohio State is getting all the attention, but the B1G actually has two more unbeaten in Penn State and Minnesota, who play each other next week.

The loser of that game is out, but the winner will get a shot at Ohio State (Penn State in regular season, Minnesota in B1G title game).

Two teams aren't coming out of the B1G, so you can look at the Penn State/Minnesota game as a playin game for a quarterfinal matchup with Ohio State.


ACC
Clemson is the only team that can come out of the ACC. The question is do they have room for error?

Big 12
Baylor is unbeaten, but has a tough November ahead. Oklahoma already has a loss. If Baylor goes undefeated and wins the Big 12 title, then I think they get into the playoff over a 1-loss SEC team. If Oklahoma runs the table (which would mean beating Baylor twice), there will be much debate over a 1 loss Oklahoma vs. a 1 loss SEC non-champ.

Pac 12
Utah is still sitting out there with 1 loss. They would need to win out, have both Baylor and Oklahoma lose and one of the following:

Clemson lose twice
No unbeaten in Big 10 with West team winning title
Auburn beat Georgia and Alabama and LSU win the SEC as undefeated team.

The nation is going to see bias first hand when a 1 loss SEC west team gets in over a 1 loss Big10 East team.

And please spare me with "Well it's the SEC though". Aside from 4 teams , the SEC sucks this year.

 

[BingleCocktail]

OR...How about this which is what the world wants:

Bama beats LSU
UGA loses to AUB,
AUB beats Bama
UGA loses in to West in SECC
Assuring all SEC teams have 2 losses

Meanwhile Clemson, Ohio State and Baylor go 13-0 and truckload of 1-loss teams

Then what?

 

[Sixpackcommenter]

SEC:
Alabama/LSU winner is in the drivers seat and is probably in the playoff unless something drastic happens.

Georgia has no room for error. But they control their own destiny. Win out and they are in the playoff.

The Alabama/LSU loser would need to win out and watch other conferences.


B1G
Ohio State is getting all the attention, but the B1G actually has two more unbeaten in Penn State and Minnesota, who play each other next week.

The loser of that game is out, but the winner will get a shot at Ohio State (Penn State in regular season, Minnesota in B1G title game).

Two teams aren't coming out of the B1G, so you can look at the Penn State/Minnesota game as a playin game for a quarterfinal matchup with Ohio State.


ACC
Clemson is the only team that can come out of the ACC. The question is do they have room for error?

Big 12
Baylor is unbeaten, but has a tough November ahead. Oklahoma already has a loss. If Baylor goes undefeated and wins the Big 12 title, then I think they get into the playoff over a 1-loss SEC team. If Oklahoma runs the table (which would mean beating Baylor twice), there will be much debate over a 1 loss Oklahoma vs. a 1 loss SEC non-champ.

Pac 12
Utah is still sitting out there with 1 loss. They would need to win out, have both Baylor and Oklahoma lose and one of the following:

Clemson lose twice
No unbeaten in Big 10 with West team winning title
Auburn beat Georgia and Alabama and LSU win the SEC as undefeated team.

Add Oregon in PAC12 mix too. Gonna be hard to get 2 SEC teams if PAC12 has a 1 loss conference champ.

 

[Oak23]

I think LSU is the best 1 loss team chance Because they play at bama. If they play Bama within a field goal or better but lose,(passing the eye test) but not making the SEC championship game, they could very well have another shot at the sec champion in a playoff semi final game. ( a rematch in other words). I could definitely see that possibility.

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

Ohio State still has not "Ohio Stated" this season. I would love to see it happen because Kirk Heirbstreet is on the verge of orgasm every time he talks about them on camera.

LSU is the best team I have seen unless Tau is playing and then Bama gets the nod because of their defense. Georgia is not in their league.

That last spot is going to piss a lot of people off.

 

[mstateglfr]

I would take a 1 loss lsu or bama over a 1 loss OU or Baylor(with whatever record they finish).
Utah, Minnesota, PSU, Oregon, etc- nope.



Once again, the playoffs need to expand to 8. Yes yes, someone will always be left out, but there are 8 legitimately solid teams each season. Maybe only 3 elite, but then there are 5 with arguable right to that 4th spot.

 

[Bulldogg31]

Just food for thought, Clemson is AT South Carolina this year.

 

[Go Budaw]

I’ve been tossing around a scenario in my head where it may actually be a better path for the LSU / Bama loser to get to the CFP than the winner. Especially if its LSU, and even more especially if UGA loses to Auburn. LSU loses in Tuscaloosa, no big deal, everybody does. They have nothing but cake matchups the rest of the way with OM on the road and A&M/Ark both at home. They’ll still be 11-1 with W’s over Auburn and Florida, two likely CFP Top 12ish teams. If UGA loses to Auburn, the SECCG becomes nothing more than a trap game for the West winner. Worst case, they lose and then its debated who between LSU / Bama gets to go if its only 1 SEC team. Even if they win, its still a high risk for injury to a Tua or Joe Burrow.

All that said, I don’t see any way possible that the SEC doesn’t get two teams in. I can’t see the B1G, ACC, and Big 12 all three delivering a solid contender when its all said and done. There is going to be some attrition there.