OT: stock market

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TheBeav815

All-American
Feb 19, 2007
18,955
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Was looking at the DJIA movements earlier today. It has taken 3 years to recover to the previous high the last two times the market took a big dip.

Unless you MUST HAVE the money right away my advice is just about always to accumulate and hold. People my age (mid 30s) are freaking out about their 401(k)s this week and it makes me want to slap them.

Don't touch it, keep contributing, switch to less volatile asset classes as you near retirement if you need to tap the money immediately and you're risk averse.

People act like they need to activate some armageddon strategy when the Dow sheds a few thousand points. Either it will do what it did every other time and recover all its losses and then some, or civilization will collapse and we'll all just be busy trying not to starve to death in the dark anyhow. Why worry?
 

Redscarlet

Heisman
Jun 17, 2001
33,100
11,116
113
When you’re that young why panic in your 401K.. Don’t they know they get more shares when the market is down..That’s a good thing.. Stay the course don’t jump off the ship in stormy weather.
 
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9and4_rivals188421

All-Conference
Dec 4, 2013
4,216
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As long as the roots are not severed, all is well, and all will be well, in the garden. In a garden, growth has its season. First comes spring and summer, and then we have fall and winter. And then we get spring and summer again.
 

Kleitusbpn

Sophomore
Apr 27, 2008
903
192
0
This is flat screaming to me to duck after new year. Relief rallies like this happen because things are short term overdone... but today was nuts. It flat screams that it isn't real (mostly short covering for tax purposes and because pushing bets into a santa claus rally is stupid when you can reset higher).

Enjoy santa claus... while it lasts. All the shorts are doing is taking their profits/losses before the new year so they can reset them the day after.

Also... the big boys aren't even there right now. Extremely light volume.

Enjoy it until jan 2. Then duck (or short if you are comfortable).
 

Maui2022

All-Conference
Jan 2, 2005
2,452
1,406
113
This is flat screaming to me to duck after new year. Relief rallies like this happen because things are short term overdone... but today was nuts. It flat screams that it isn't real (mostly short covering for tax purposes and because pushing bets into a santa claus rally is stupid when you can reset higher).

Enjoy santa claus... while it lasts. All the shorts are doing is taking their profits/losses before the new year so they can reset them the day after.

Also... the big boys aren't even there right now. Extremely light volume.

Enjoy it until jan 2. Then duck (or short if you are comfortable).
Completely agree. This isn't a park and forget it market
 

HuskerO58

All-Conference
Sep 11, 2006
14,110
2,309
113
@PeliniTheCrutch said; "Good deal. Give me any time when Obama was president and he took credit for the Dow number. Once you do that, I will give you maybe 6000 tweets from your boy taking credit for the stock market."

Now you're moving the goal post. I clearly stated that both Obama & Trump try to take credit for when the economy does well. You said I was wrong, I said prove it and you narrow it down to only 1) when Obama was POTUS and 2) who claimed it more often.

Obama, "When you hear how great the economy's doing right now, let's just remember when this recovery started...." He wasn't POTUS when he said it, but he still said it which is what my claim was. Trump talks about it much more than Obama. I never claimed that he didn't.

I went to bat and it worked out just swell.
 
Jul 4, 2016
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@PeliniTheCrutch said; "Good deal. Give me any time when Obama was president and he took credit for the Dow number. Once you do that, I will give you maybe 6000 tweets from your boy taking credit for the stock market."

Now you're moving the goal post. I clearly stated that both Obama & Trump try to take credit for when the economy does well. You said I was wrong, I said prove it and you narrow it down to only 1) when Obama was POTUS and 2) who claimed it more often.

Obama, "When you hear how great the economy's doing right now, let's just remember when this recovery started...." He wasn't POTUS when he said it, but he still said it which is what my claim was. Trump talks about it much more than Obama. I never claimed that he didn't.

I went to bat and it worked out just swell.

Noted.
 

Lincoln100

All-Conference
Jun 16, 2010
12,989
2,077
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@PeliniTheCrutch said; "Good deal. Give me any time when Obama was president and he took credit for the Dow number. Once you do that, I will give you maybe 6000 tweets from your boy taking credit for the stock market."

Now you're moving the goal post. I clearly stated that both Obama & Trump try to take credit for when the economy does well. You said I was wrong, I said prove it and you narrow it down to only 1) when Obama was POTUS and 2) who claimed it more often.

Obama, "When you hear how great the economy's doing right now, let's just remember when this recovery started...." He wasn't POTUS when he said it, but he still said it which is what my claim was. Trump talks about it much more than Obama. I never claimed that he didn't.

I went to bat and it worked out just swell.

@Pelini is a homer, so I feel for him. Each side of the aisle has them. Every politician in the history of politics takes credit for the good, and minimizes their involvement/culpability in the bad; that's what makes them perfect politicians. But it sure is fun to see the Rachel Maddows and Sean Hannitys of each side blow a gasket.
 
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HuskerO58

All-Conference
Sep 11, 2006
14,110
2,309
113
@Pelini is a homer, so I feel for him. Each side of the aisle has them. Every politician in the history of politics takes credit for the good, and minimizes their involvement/culpability in the bad; that's what makes them perfect politicians. But it sure is fun to see the Rachel Maddows and Sean Hannitys of each side blow a gasket.
Totally agree.

Also, I'm sorry I'm probably going to get your thread locked...
 

JohnRossEwing

All-American
Jul 4, 2013
11,899
5,284
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I love when people get mad about other people for taking credit about things...only to later try and call out people for what they said and taking credit for being correct about the opposite.
 

Lincoln100

All-Conference
Jun 16, 2010
12,989
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Totally agree.

Also, I'm sorry I'm probably going to get your thread locked...

Not a chance. You aren't paying attention to this board! You're a fat old white man, like 98% of this board, including all of the mods, so we're (me fat old white too) are good.
 

SoFL Husker

All-Conference
Sep 16, 2017
8,101
3,691
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I work (currently) in construction labor, and it is absolutely on fire in Florida.

These projects are 1-2 years out.

I would look for weakness into late 2020. I think we are good till then, ASSUMING Trump gets this trade gaffe cleaned-up and the government back online.

Who knows with that guy's ***.

Shot across the bow here. Get ready to re-allocate in a year. Passive investors beware.
 

GretnaShawn

All-Conference
Sep 28, 2010
6,329
4,182
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Like previously said, if you’re not close to retirement, stop looking at your statements. I don’t. Once a year I look at the balance. Just keep feeding your 401k and IRAs and close your eyes.

Also, get ready, a recession is coming. It would have happened no matter who is in the White House. We’ve been in an artificial bull market for too long. The government has been proving up the economy since the last recession and it is going to correct sooner than later.

The current White House has helped in certain areas and hurt in others. The tariffs are a problem (and I say that as somebody that benefits with steel mills doing well). The tax cuts were great. The spending, as always, is a problem. Cutting ridiculous and overreaching regulations has been great. If the president would stop pulling out of nowhere left turns and saying asinine things on Twitter, the market would have more stability.

If you’re close to retirement, don’t listen to anybody on here, myself included. There ar too many variables that are specific to you. Get with a financial advisor and read a lot of books and websites. Ask questions. Don’t gamble late.
 

GretnaShawn

All-Conference
Sep 28, 2010
6,329
4,182
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Not a chance. You aren't paying attention to this board! You're a fat old white man, like 98% of this board, including all of the mods, so we're (me fat old white too) are good.

How dare you assume my gender. And I’m in my early 30’s, thank you very much. However, you have me pegged, I’m as pale as a ghost.
 
Jul 4, 2016
8,269
3,869
0
@Pelini is a homer, so I feel for him. Each side of the aisle has them. Every politician in the history of politics takes credit for the good, and minimizes their involvement/culpability in the bad; that's what makes them perfect politicians. But it sure is fun to see the Rachel Maddows and Sean Hannitys of each side blow a gasket.

Sorry I called out your boy for incessantly bragging about the market.
 

Baxter48_rivals204143

All-Conference
Sep 22, 2010
8,892
2,089
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Not a chance. You aren't paying attention to this board! You're a fat old white man, like 98% of this board, including all of the mods, so we're (me fat old white too) are good.
So I that it you have a problem with old fat people?
“B” movie? Get the F outta here with that classification. Kelly Lynch doesn’t get naked in “B” movies.
what ever happened to Kelly lynch?
 

Lincoln100

All-Conference
Jun 16, 2010
12,989
2,077
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Sorry I called out your boy for incessantly bragging about the market.

My boy? That's so Hannity of you. Or is it Maddowy? No need to apologize for being presumptive and uninformed, it's a big part of the I'm-so-much-smarter-and-they-couldn't-possibly-have-a-good-point-about-anything-ever group that you associate yourself with.
 

SLOHusker

Sophomore
Aug 7, 2001
2,740
123
0
The stock market is reacting primarily to the rise in interest rates (which is indicative of a very good economy after a decade of near-0 interest rates). I believe the fed should be more measured in raising rates since we have been in a cooling period over the past 6 months, but they will do what they do. There are other factors at work including the China tariffs, the government shutdown and the potential for gridlock in Washington with the dems in control of the house, and the natural ebb and flow of the market. The stock market likes a stable and generally republican-led government.
Obama really did little to nothing to improve the economy. The stimulus packages were started by Bush Jr and were carried on with little benefit by Obama. The collapse of the subprime lenders, end of the tidal wave of foreclosures engendered by these lenders, and stabilization of the housing market in the ensuing years brought about the recovery. Obama's stimulus measures (Cash for Clunkers) were a joke, really.
 
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TheBeav815

All-American
Feb 19, 2007
18,955
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If you all haven't read how Buffet's basket of passive S&P stocks absolutely destroyed all the active managers in his million dollar bet, look it up.

Gretna is correct, we are due for a recession. The tarriffs along with rate hikes are speeding it into existence. Credit card defaults are ticking up, more bells are ringing.
 

TheBeav815

All-American
Feb 19, 2007
18,955
5,101
0
The stock market is reacting primarily to the rise in interest rates (which is indicative of a very good economy after a decade of near-0 interest rates). I believe the fed should be more measured in raising rates since we have been in a cooling period over the past 6 months, but they will do what they do. There are other factors at work including the China tariffs, the government shutdown and the potential for gridlock in Washington with the dems in control of the house, and the natural ebb and flow of the market. The stock market likes a stable and generally republican-led government.
Obama really did little to nothing to improve the economy. The stimulus packages were started by Bush Jr and were carried on with little benefit by Obama. The collapse of the subprime lenders, end of the tidal wave of foreclosures engendered by these lenders, and stabilization of the housing market in the ensuing years brought about the recovery. Obama's stimulus measures (Cash for Clunkers) were a joke, really.
Lol your bias is flapping out there in the wind. Crediting Bush for the recovery and ignoring the near-depression itself is amazing.

Somebody lock this thing...
 
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JohnRossEwing

All-American
Jul 4, 2013
11,899
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If you all haven't read how Buffet's basket of passive S&P stocks absolutely destroyed all the active managers in his million dollar bet, look it up.

Gretna is correct, we are due for a recession. The tarriffs along with rate hikes are speeding it into existence. Credit card defaults are ticking up, more bells are ringing.

Rate hikes are going to happen, we all know that. Here is what I want to know...How the **** did people buy houses when the ******* rate was over 15%? Good lord.
 
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dinglefritz

Heisman
Jan 14, 2011
51,591
13,015
78
The stock market is the most consistent thing of all time, it goes up about 10percent a year over the long run. It may lose 25 percent one year and gain it back the next.

The bottom line is stay the course and watch your money double every 7.2 years. It's worked good for me.
The historical average is more like 8% I believe if you take out the ridiculous run up we've had most recently. We're WAY overcooked and it will come back to the long term trend line. The Fed will make sure of that with interest rate hikes.
 

dinglefritz

Heisman
Jan 14, 2011
51,591
13,015
78
Rate hikes are going to happen, we all know that. Here is what I want to know...How the **** did people buy houses when the ****ing rate was over 15%? Good lord.
We bought our first house with no money down at 18% interest. The builder was very happy to come down about 12K, finish the basement and put in a fireplace just to get it off the books. We should have held on to that house about 2 years longer than we did. Had to relocate for 2 years and didn't want to rent it out. By the time we moved back rates were down and the RE market was taking off.
 

Baxter48_rivals204143

All-Conference
Sep 22, 2010
8,892
2,089
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The stock market is reacting primarily to the rise in interest rates (which is indicative of a very good economy after a decade of near-0 interest rates). I believe the fed should be more measured in raising rates since we have been in a cooling period over the past 6 months, but they will do what they do. There are other factors at work including the China tariffs, the government shutdown and the potential for gridlock in Washington with the dems in control of the house, and the natural ebb and flow of the market. The stock market likes a stable and generally republican-led government.
Obama really did little to nothing to improve the economy. The stimulus packages were started by Bush Jr and were carried on with little benefit by Obama. The collapse of the subprime lenders, end of the tidal wave of foreclosures engendered by these lenders, and stabilization of the housing market in the ensuing years brought about the recovery. Obama's stimulus measures (Cash for Clunkers) were a joke, really.
Also the democrats threats on impeachment, the stock market doesn't like
 

HCHTown

Freshman
Oct 21, 2012
137
84
0
IMO. One of the biggest risks is not taking enough risk. Jumping out of the market is not a high return option.

As John Bogle says. Don’t just do something, stand there. As long as your thesis on your position is valid.
 
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