How Iowa's two backups at OT play will be a big factor (RT and LT are both out). If they play well in pass pro, I see Iowa winning by 10-14. It could be argued both of them are better in the run game than those starting over them, but they struggle in pass pro. Especially true freshman James Daniels at RT. He's a freak 4* recruit that had offers from OSU/Alabama, and has played well this year, but he's a center/guard that is being forced to play as a true freshman at tackle. If he struggles in pass pro, Iowa will struggle and it'll be a very close game.