I fear that while Kentucky, Louisville, Kansas and the Carolina schools will reap benefits due to this, football will be further taken by Alabama, Florida, Ohio State, Texas and Oklahoma.
Basketball schools will be bigger factories, Football powerhouses will leave everyone in the dust.
Hope I'm wrong....
The issue with football will be the transfers. High school football players aren't stars on the level of basketball players. In-state and hometown kids will be more hyped up. Like a Bush and Brohm combo would be MASSIVE in Louisville & have a lot more opportunities. But say they're at a Bama, they're competing with 3-4 other guys for their spot and not as special.
Football's transfer portal will cause some big stars to leave, but also could even out with the depth. Bama, Ohio State, Clemson, etc can stockpile top recruits in their 3-4 deep and they'll stay because they don't want to sit out. Maybe a 2nd string corner at Clemson may think he can better show his skills as the star of the UofL defense. Ohio State's 3rd string running back might think he could be 1st Team All-ACC at UofL if he can get more carries.
What happens is that you get to a point where you may fear losing the stars, but the depth stays the same. Like say in 2013, Teddy sees no path in the AAC to win a title or play in big games, but say Florida has NFL talent at every position and an elite defense just needed a QB to put them in contention. Or maybe Ohio State tells Tutu Atwell that he's the deep threat they need to make them the favorites to win a title? The money they could make as star players at programs like that would be tempting.
So there's pros and cons, but overall I think it can be a positive. The type of guys we get aren't going to want to transfer down, but they aren't the guys that transfer up. Football players know that play-time matters more for their brand than the program.