We won't get swept both Series. Will 3-3 get us in post-season?
Right now, MSU, LSU, Vandy, and Mizzou fighting for likely two remaining bids. UT and Bama are out, and the other 8 teams are locks. SEC has never gotten more than 10 teams into the NCAA field (and never more than 9 before expansion)....so that is where the best case scenario of two remaining bids comes from (may be only one bid if multiple teams tank down the stretch).
Of the “bubble” teams, LSU has a clear upper hand over the other 3. They are currently the only one at .500 in league play and they have a cake series against Bama coming up. Sweep, and they become a lock. Take 2 of 3, and they will just need one against Auburn to get into the lock category. Looking at the other teams, Mizzou has a crap SEC record at 9-15, but still a decent RPI and a managable home stretch against UT / USC. 4-2 gets them in for sure, and 3-3 might as well. MSU and Vandy are about even from a resume standpoint (overall record, SEC record, and RPI are all just about identical). However, they swept us at home, so that gives them a clear leg up on us if it comes down to them vs. us. Going back to your original question, we really need to finish better than Vandy. They also have a pretty easy home stretch with a series against UT followed by UK at home, so I think they will easily get to 3-3. We need to go 4-2 or better, I think.
The problem we have is that we have the 2nd lowest RPI of all the bubble teams (meaning we need wins more than anyone except Vandy), but also the most difficult remaining schedule which means the wins are going to be hardest to come by. All the other 3 teams play at least one series against one of the two crap teams (UT, Bama), whereas we get two RPI Top 20 teams including the best team in America. It’s going to be very difficult for us.