Will climate change Gretta be forced to return her Nobel Prize as well as get a hair perm ?
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- Thread starter ILisBest
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Will climate change Gretta be forced to return her Nobel Prize as well as get a hair perm ?
What makes it easy is the Iranian people by at least a 90/10 ratio love America. We have the best military and frankly the IRGC are fools if they think they can beat our military. What makes it difficult is the Iranian regime are not fools. They think they can outlast Trump…at least thinking the Dems win the mid-terms and stop him. What makes it difficult is arming the Iranian people, who are disarmed by their totalitarian government. What makes it difficult are the squishies here who have no guts or enough intelligence to offer strong support to rid the world of the largest supporter of terrorism, which would make the world a lot safer for the next generation.
edited for grammar
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He should be, if he wants to have a chance to keep both chambers of congress in the mid-terms.
Wrong. North Central College in the Chicago burbs had an outstanding D3 program. They actually competed quite well against many D1 teams in the mixed XC meets. I don’t know where they stand today, but 20-45 years ago, they were a mark of excellence.
QAnon nut job is so obsessed with me he’s fabricated an entire fan fiction backstory for me.
It doesn’t really land very well when you criticize a running career you’ve completely made up.
You may want to explore current State AND US Supreme rulings about Dem efforts to Gerrymandering .
Correct, one outlier does not change the huge majority of stiffs thinking they are athletes !
I see them every day, boys and girls cross country jogging by my house on a slight upgrade about 1 mile from the high school. 50 % of them have quit the jog and are walking.
The NJSP academy had a platoon group jog, you could fall out of the group, but you had to look like you were still jogging. The class did the group jog a week before graduation. In jump boots, in cadence step, 5 miles in 35 minutes, mandatory.
Our resident jogger can't believe that time as a jogger athlete. He loves to point to the current time of 5 miles in 40 minutes, in sneakers, not in step, that is the newest standard as a result of a Federal Consent Decree to allow more women into the NJSP. (Many standards were lowered in that decree.)
Ukraine is in the news but not very prominently. Apparently the Russians are still attacking hard but the Ukrainians are increasingly hitting back.
"For the fifth consecutive month, Russian losses have outpaced the Kremlin’s ability to recruit replacements. Ukraine’s Defence Minister confirmed that over 35,000 Russian soldiers were killed or seriously wounded in April 2026 alone ..."
(causality numbers from either side are suspect but it probably is a big number, but likely not that big)
The other news is that Ukraine now has technology to attack deep into Russian territory with drones. I wonder if the Russian people ever will get tired enough of this for the war to change. Ukraine has been taking a beating for 4 years but is still ticking.
mickryan.substack.com
"For the fifth consecutive month, Russian losses have outpaced the Kremlin’s ability to recruit replacements. Ukraine’s Defence Minister confirmed that over 35,000 Russian soldiers were killed or seriously wounded in April 2026 alone ..."
(causality numbers from either side are suspect but it probably is a big number, but likely not that big)
The other news is that Ukraine now has technology to attack deep into Russian territory with drones. I wonder if the Russian people ever will get tired enough of this for the war to change. Ukraine has been taking a beating for 4 years but is still ticking.
Russia Has No Sanctuary Left. Ukraine's Deep Strike, the Beijing Summit and the Shape of a Contested Global Security Environment. The Big Five, 17 May 2026
My weekly update on war & competition. This week, Ukraine's continuing deep strikes, Russia's big hit on Kyiv, the Xi-Trump summit in Beijing and my Big 5 reading recommendations.
mickryan.substack.com
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This reads like Putin has the same issue Xi has had in China with high tech military development. Yes men (afraid men) tell him what he wants to hear as opposed to what os happening on the ground.Ukraine is in the news but not very prominently. Apparently the Russians are still attacking hard but the Ukrainians are increasingly hitting back.
"For the fifth consecutive month, Russian losses have outpaced the Kremlin’s ability to recruit replacements. Ukraine’s Defence Minister confirmed that over 35,000 Russian soldiers were killed or seriously wounded in April 2026 alone ..."
(causality numbers from either side are suspect but it probably is a big number, but likely not that big)
The other news is that Ukraine now has technology to attack deep into Russian territory with drones. I wonder if the Russian people ever will get tired enough of this for the war to change. Ukraine has been taking a beating for 4 years but is still ticking.
Russia Has No Sanctuary Left. Ukraine's Deep Strike, the Beijing Summit and the Shape of a Contested Global Security Environment. The Big Five, 17 May 2026
My weekly update on war & competition. This week, Ukraine's continuing deep strikes, Russia's big hit on Kyiv, the Xi-Trump summit in Beijing and my Big 5 reading recommendations.
Congratulations with the admission you are a squish. The comment was much more inclusive to the broader population outside of this forum.
K
Pretty confident the main issue in that part of the world is that a lot of people want to eliminate countries like the USA. It’s whack a mole. Nice that we took out some leaders, but the next group of leaders will likely still want to destroy the USA and the west.
Pretty confident the main issue in that part of the world is that a lot of people want to eliminate countries like the USA. It’s whack a mole. Nice that we took out some leaders, but the next group of leaders will likely still want to destroy the USA and the west.
If the Iranian neighbors(in the ME) and their citizens are smart, they will participate rn in taking out the very unpopular ideological regime terrorizing them. If they don't help, Trump will exit with the same type of leaders in charge. He has greatly harmed and set back the country, but if the region wants long term change, they need to participate in their own long term prosperity.
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Always a squsih that Rill. There would be no 250th with “men” like Rill in 1776.
Iranians need to shed some more of their own blood to secure freedom.
Trump has accomplished a ton taking out two full sets of leaders. He will soon prove that Obama and Hillary provided Iran with the Uranium to enrich.
just moronic to think nothing has been accomplished when Israel and the USA bombed so many targets in March.
Yes, if the wrong leaders keep power, they will hate the USA. But their ability to lob missiles across the globe has been severely degraded and round 2 will be worse
The crime drop that began in earnest in 2023 (as stated by one person here) continues unabated. We are getting close to final data from 2025, and crime is at 60 year lows (as we the US didn't record this stuff nationally until the early 60s), it's basically recorded history lows.
Congrats to all the losers and the haters for all the attacks on this position a few years back, it turned out just as wonderfully as one could expect.
Congrats to all the losers and the haters for all the attacks on this position a few years back, it turned out just as wonderfully as one could expect.
Figuring Out Last Year's Crime Counts with Help From Rent
Four things stand out to me from the FBI’s first look. First, violent crime fell 9.3 percent while property crime fell 12.4 percent in 2025 which matches the Real-Time Crime Index sample covering all of 2025 (released in mid-February) extremely closely. The RTCI had violent crime down 10.4 percent and property crime down 12.6 percent.
There was a murder every 37.3 minutes in 2025 which works out to a murder total between 14,073 and 14,110 (depending on rounding) and a murder rate of 4.1 per 100,000. Back patting time again — this take from March is holding up pretty well! We can work backwards for each crime type and get the below ranges. The FBI’s data confirms that 2025 had the lowest murder rate ever recorded — surpassing the reported 4.4 per 100,000 in 2014.
There will likely be about 13,000 more violent crime in the 2024 revised number when it is released with the 2025 figures later this year. The 2024 murder count will almost certainly be revised upwards by a fair amount too as part of that. There were 16,935 murders in 2024 in the FBI’s initial report, which would mean a 16.8 percent drop from 2024 to 2025. All evidence is that the decline will be bigger than that, so expect an upwards revision in the neighborhood of 700 or so more murders added to the 2024 estimate. Before we get to the last point, I would like to note that the crime clock isn’t new to FBI crime reporting. Here’s one from 1961 as proof of just how long they’ve been doing them:
This first look has some important information about how many crimes there were in 2025, but it doesn’t quite tell us exactly how many there were in 2025 and what the revised counts for 2024 will be. And it creates the somewhat humorous position of having a better idea how how many murders the FBI estimates there were in 2025 than they estimate were in 2024. Still, we know all of this in May now and could accurately predict basically all of it as it was happening in 2025. I’ve been doing this type of work for more than a decade now, and it’s incredible to see how the battle over describing trends has basically been won. If only we could better and quicker explain the why... |
Good post. Lots of great data summarized here! A couple of questions, when we say 96% agency participation, I assume that to not mean we are getting 96% representation of the population? If NYC, Chicago, LA are not included for example that could skew as they are larger population centers.
As previously discussed, we were trending down from all time highs(covid), but now we are at historically low numbers. Bravo! I assume it helps having cameras recording everything people do. Also, we do have idealogical prosecutors/ judges helping soften the numbers. Trump had some nice crackdowns in larger, bad cities along with a first year of rounding up criminal illegals.
Not all crime is in a good place. Fraud is on a historical tear which ought not be ignored. I am glad this administration cares enough to try and tackle this problem as opposed to the previous knuckleheads.
Key US Data from FTC Consumer Sentinel Network
- 2025: Consumers reported $15.9 billion in losses to fraud — a record high, up from $12.5 billion in 2024 (about a 27% increase).
- 2024: $12.5 billion reported, a 25% jump from 2023. Investment scams alone accounted for $5.7 billion.
- This represents massive growth: Losses have risen nearly 430–558% since around 2020 (when they were far lower, e.g., roughly $1.9 billion reported in 2019). Social media-related scam losses, for example, increased eightfold since 2020
I'm not here to parse white collar crime. Unlike violent crime, I think a lot of it goes undiscovered and even when discovered not criminally punished. The more government largesse there is, the more fraud with respect to government spending, for sure. In terms of consumer victimization unrelated to government, I suspect many such scams are not based in the USA (so they are not a story of crime in America even if the victims are here, with the US being targeted more due to its wealth).
On a separate note, the decline of traditionally-reported violent and property crimes continues unabated in 2026. Honestly, the drops didn't even seem sustainable, but thus far this year many big cities continue to report more dips across crime categories. Expect another drop in crime rates in 2026, unless something dramatic reversed momentum (highly unlikely).
And yes, Trump's deployments in DC and Memphis absolutely enhanced public safety in those locales. I doubt we have the resources for that nationally, but it's a sensible policy decision where the President and state/local leaders get on the same page regarding a city struggling with safety in certain places.
On the reporting agencies, I believe it is far likelier that non-reporting agencies are small, rural departments. There may be an occasional exception, but it's probably a decent bet that 96% of the data being in means we are just 4% under the total amount of reported crime (not a bunch of big cities not included). The Real Time Crime Index the author references (it's his data) is based upon the reporting from the 200 (or 300) biggest departments in the country.
Just think how low crime would be, if they actually prosecuted the repeat offenders in blue states and sent them to prison instead of what they are doing now? It’s the repeat offenders and illegals/gangbangers. Pretty simple solution to much of the crime.