I think we'll run the ball a lot Saturday. They have a good d line and lead their conference in sacks and tackles for loss. The way to thwart this is to run straight at them and throw quick screens when you do drop back. The clock will run and it will be a short game. They are also replacing some of their O line so I don't think they will score a lot. I'm leaning towards betting the under.
You should go back and look at how many of those studs from their defensive front 7 are now gone.
If Dee Liner, who's fighting a groin injury, doesn't play, Arkansas State will only have one returning starter among their 5 offensive linemen and defensive front 7.
Now compare those matchups to Nebraska. One can justifiably argue how The Huskers could encounter growing pains with a new defensive scheme and a new QB. But in this game, all of that "new blood" for Ark State is going to face a lot of experienced Big Ten personnel up front.
Freedom, Carlos, and Mick have 35+ combined starts along the Dline. Cole Conrad has never started a game at Center for the Huskers, but he still has played in 13 games and started 5 games in 2016. DJ Foster, missed most of 2016 due to the knee injury. But he returned for the final 3 starts. he has more career starts than the whole Arkansas State offensive line combined!
Here's the biggest difference between Ark State and Nebraska up front:
The Starting LT for Arkansas State is a Grad Transfer from Iowa State named Jaypee Philbert. In 2 years with the Clones, he didn't start a game. In 2016, he only saw action twice. He's basically former Husker Dwayne the Rock Johnson.
