NCAA selection 101

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
247,870
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Here is a thread for all your answers

http://www.ncaa.org/about/resources/media-center/mens-basketball-selections-101-selections


Selection Criteria
The NCAA Evaluation Tool, known as the NET, is in its first year of existence and is one of many factors used by NCAA sports committees when evaluating team selection, seeding and bracketing.

The components of the NET include the Team Value Index, which is based on game results and factors game location, the opponent and outcome, as well as net efficiency, winning percentage, adjusted winning percentage and a capped scoring margin.

Other criteria the committee considers in the selections process:

  • An extensive season-long evaluation of teams through watching games, conference monitoring calls and regional advisory committee rankings.
  • Complete box scores and results.
  • Head-to-head results and results versus common opponents.
  • Imbalanced conference schedules and results.
  • Overall and nonconference strength of schedule.
  • The quality of wins and losses.
  • Road record.
  • Player and coach availability.
  • Various computer metrics.
Team Sheets
The committee often refers to "team sheets" when comparing team performance. The team sheets contain in-depth team information about strength of schedule, performance against teams sorted by quadrants and results.

Starting with the 2017-18 season, the team sheets took on a new look. They now not only include each team’s NET, but also include a team’s ranking in five other metrics: the ESPN strength of record and BPI rankings, as well as the KPI, KenPom and Sagarin rankings. In addition, a team’s schedule and results are now broken down in four quadrants that place greater emphasis on games played on neutral courts and in true road environments. The quadrant breakdown is as follows:

  • Quadrant 1: Home 1-30; Neutral 1-50; Away 1-75.
  • Quadrant 2: Home 31-75; Neutral 51-100; Away 76-135.
  • Quadrant 3: Home 76-160; Neutral 101-200; Away 136-240.
  • Quadrant 4: Home 161-plus; Neutral 201-plus; Away 241-plus.
Download team sheets

Seeding
The committee creates a seed list 1 through 68 — which is used to assess competitive balance of the top teams across the four regions of this national championship. Additionally, the seed list reflects the sequential order with which teams will be placed in the bracket.

Automatic Qualifiers: A total of 32 conferences will place an automatic qualifier in the NCAA tournament field. These qualifiers are determined by conference tournaments.

At-Large: With the tournament field of 68, there are 36 at-large spots after the automatic qualifiers. The committee selects the 36 best teams to fill the at-large berths. There is no limit on the number of at-large teams the committee may select from one conference.
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
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WHAT IS NOT ON A TEAM SHEET

Note what is not included on the team sheets:

  • Conference record and standings: There is a long held belief that how you do in your conference matters, but it doesn't. The only conference data on this page is a team's strength of schedule within its conference. That is a relatively recent addition resulting from nearly every conference having an unbalanced schedule.
  • Ken Pomeroy groupings:I cannot tell you how often I see people arguing for or against a team based how they have done based on some arbitrary grouping of teams in Pomeroy's rankings. And by arbitrary, I mean people draw lines wherever it suits them ("they have three sub-90 losses in KenPom"). As you can see, the committee does not consider that at all. All groupings are RPI-based.EDIT THIS IS NOW NET BASED SINCE 2019
  • Record in last X-number of games: A long time ago, the committee used to consider how a team finished the season and included a team's record in its most recent 12 games. Before that, it was 10 games. However, that was removed over a decade ago when the committee decided that it was necessary to take a more holistic approach to the season. Now, games in November mean just as much as games in March.
 
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Degaz-RU

Heisman
Dec 19, 2002
22,381
26,680
88
Glad to see that “quality of...losses” is a consideration. I think we are the only team in the conference that hasn’t been blown out in a loss.

Our largest margin of defeat is just 12 points (to MSU). And our losses have been by 6, 11, 12, 3, 5, 6, 5, and 6 points.

I think that our inability to win road and neutral site games — we’re 1-8 away from the RAC — will be SOMEWHAT offset by the “quality” of our losses. I don’t think quality of losses will completely neutralize our poor road record, but there should be some measure of offset there.
 

NewJerseyHawk

Heisman
Jan 11, 2007
24,466
38,772
113
I know it's not relevant to the discussion but there is a difference between having 2 road wins by 3 and 4 points respectively and then having 6 to 7 road losses where you lose by double digits or 36 (ie, Iowa losing at Purdue and losing at Nebraska).

It sounds crazy but I feel RUs winning by 17 at Nebraska matches Penn State's, Wisconsins, Michigan's ability to handle them in a similar fashion. If that didn't happen, I would feel that the road win nonsense would be more relevant. But we're close on the road which matters....and against elite home teams.
 
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GoodOl'Rutgers

Heisman
Sep 11, 2006
123,974
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Top 25 Rankings can work their way in there. You say no but everything in the OP says otherwise:

- regional advisory committee rankings.

- ESPN strength of record and BPI rankings

You second post on what is NOT on the team sheets conflicts with your OP. Your OP says teams sheets have a bunch of stuff on them and then you say something lie KenPom is not on them.

Which is it?

From OP:

Starting with the 2017-18 season, the team sheets took on a new look. They now not only include each team’s NET, but also include a team’s ranking in five other metrics:
-the ESPN strength of record and BPI rankings,
-as well as the KPI, KenPom and Sagarin rankings.
...​
 

DHajekRC84

Heisman
Aug 9, 2001
30,709
19,818
0
Thanks for those stat sheets. Really cool. (although my wife rolled her eyes lol).
Have you ever heard of the SRS in the attached? I assume it means nothing but according to this we are off the charts compaired to prior seasons including the 76 year.
https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/rutgers/

Also, I can't find SOS IN CONF. Would you happen to know?
and now I understand why playing Caldwell made zero sense.
 

DHajekRC84

Heisman
Aug 9, 2001
30,709
19,818
0
I know it's not relevant to the discussion but there is a difference between having 2 road wins by 3 and 4 points respectively and then having 6 to 7 road losses where you lose by double digits or 36 (ie, Iowa losing at Purdue and losing at Nebraska).

It sounds crazy but I feel RUs winning by 17 at Nebraska matches Penn State's, Wisconsins, Michigan's ability to handle them in a similar fashion. If that didn't happen, I would feel that the road win nonsense would be more relevant. But we're close on the road which matters....and against elite home teams.
I hope you get a vote :ThumbsUp
 

seels2662

Heisman
Aug 16, 2005
24,499
17,045
113
Thank you Bac.

And I'll say it for the hundredth time, our OOC will not hurt us unlike what the dozens of posters have said in the past few months. OOC or in conference makes no difference and our 20 game conference schedule trumps our OOC. Its like we played Michigan State and Wisconsin in our OOC schedule.
 

Scangg

Heisman
Mar 19, 2016
25,448
49,369
113
we have like all the other metrics in our favor...there is one we suck in, alot of the schools around the bubble are mediocre in alot of the catagories.
This is a very simple dumbed down explanation but it frames it nicely. Sooo if people can't wrap their head around that, there isnt much else you can do.

This should be pinned.
Agreed
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
247,870
177,566
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Top 25 Rankings can work their way in there. You say no but everything in the OP says otherwise:

- regional advisory committee rankings.

- ESPN strength of record and BPI rankings

You second post on what is NOT on the team sheets conflicts with your OP. Your OP says teams sheets have a bunch of stuff on them and then you say something lie KenPom is not on them.

Which is it?

From OP:

Starting with the 2017-18 season, the team sheets took on a new look. They now not only include each team’s NET, but also include a team’s ranking in five other metrics:
-the ESPN strength of record and BPI rankings,
-as well as the KPI, KenPom and Sagarin rankings.
...​

Ken pom groupings..please read again

The other ranking numbers are on the team sheet but thats it. To what extent they are actually used is up for debate but it is clear the NET is the sole method for the quads and determing how schools compare vs each other.
 

GoodOl'Rutgers

Heisman
Sep 11, 2006
123,974
19,586
0
Ken pom groupings..please read again

The other ranking numbers are on the team sheet but thats it. To what extent they are actually used is up for debate but it is clear the NET is the sole method for the quads and determing how schools compare vs each other.
It says all the groupings are RPI based.. is RPI still a thing? I thought NET replaced RPI..
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
247,870
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Yes NET replaced RPI..the article was 2018 so that was the last year rpi was used. The same elements on the team shhet remain unchanged. Sorry for the confusion

I have not been able to come up with a sample team sheet example on google with that nice table and explanation since they went to the NET..
 

DHajekRC84

Heisman
Aug 9, 2001
30,709
19,818
0
Bringing this BAC up as it is a great resource thread and already halfway off page 3 after just 2 days. The facts sheet link is awesome.