I was playing around with seeding possibilities for Ole Miss earlier and a friend asked me to look at what State needed to make Hoover, so I figured I'd share with y'all.
In order to secure a spot in Hoover, MSU needs to:
1. Sweep Tennessee
AND
2. Arkansas beat Georgia twice
That would put MSU at 11-19 (.366), Georgia at 10-19 (.345), and Tennessee at 8-21 (.276).
OR
1. Beat Tennessee twice
AND
2. Arkansas sweeps Georgia
That would put MSU at 10-20 (.333), Georgia at 9-20 (.310), and Tennessee at 9-20 (.310).
This is assuming that no games get cancelled. But, if one of these scenarios happens, then MSU would benefit from Georgia and Tennessee both having a game cancelled (UGA vs LSU, UT at Ark).
Either of those would put MSU as the 12-seed. 11-seed isn't possible because the next lowest team is Alabama at 11-16 currently. The best that MSU could do is tie them at 11-19 (if MSU sweeps and Bama is swept), but Bama holds the tiebreaker. All other teams have at least 12 wins.
Let me know if you want me to run any other scenarios.
In order to secure a spot in Hoover, MSU needs to:
1. Sweep Tennessee
AND
2. Arkansas beat Georgia twice
That would put MSU at 11-19 (.366), Georgia at 10-19 (.345), and Tennessee at 8-21 (.276).
OR
1. Beat Tennessee twice
AND
2. Arkansas sweeps Georgia
That would put MSU at 10-20 (.333), Georgia at 9-20 (.310), and Tennessee at 9-20 (.310).
This is assuming that no games get cancelled. But, if one of these scenarios happens, then MSU would benefit from Georgia and Tennessee both having a game cancelled (UGA vs LSU, UT at Ark).
Either of those would put MSU as the 12-seed. 11-seed isn't possible because the next lowest team is Alabama at 11-16 currently. The best that MSU could do is tie them at 11-19 (if MSU sweeps and Bama is swept), but Bama holds the tiebreaker. All other teams have at least 12 wins.
Let me know if you want me to run any other scenarios.
