I know you catch some hell here (you're a Rebel, whaddya expect), but this is about as good of an analysis of who and where State football is as can be found on this site.
I’m perfectly fine with catching hell. To your point, I know where I am. But I do try to be fair, both ways. Me recognizing the positive things about MSU doesn’t somehow make it more or less true. It amazes me how many people (on both sides) take offense to a fan acknowledging the rival has some good things going for it.
Where it becomes difficult is when there are real negatives or obvious concerns to point out, if we are going to have a fair discussion. Because so many don’t want an “outsider” to point out anything negative about their program. I get it. But I think there’s value in an outside opinion, if they at least attempt to be fair/unbiased.
Here’s my take on Ole Miss - we are damn lucky to be 6-1, and we have very real injury concerns. We survived 2 last second plays and went 2-0 in those games. That’s lucky. Sometimes teams get lucky though. I am really excited about our defense coming along, now that it’s healthy. I’m extremely concerned about our offensive injuries. Especially as they cluster on an already thin OL and WR group. The odds of us going 11-1 are about 1 in 7 (or 14.4%), based on my predictions. I’d give us about a 40% chance to win @ Auburn. A 60% chance at home against Texas A&M, and about 60% chance @ MSU. And that’s of course assuming that Corral stays healthy, and we don’t get more beat up. So, in reality it’s probably more like 1 in 10. I do feel like we are very well coached and very well Quarterback’d. But we don’t have elite depth, or even good depth. We are absolutely being carried by Matt Corral, right now. Kiffin is trying to tell people how special he is, and he’s coached some pretty good ones. Without him, we are probably 3-4 and not 6-1.
I feel like MSU is the most underrated team in the country. They lost 2 really weird games to Memphis and LSU. They also won a really weird game they trailed by 20 in the 4th quarter. They also have the 2 best wins, by far, of any 4 win team in the country. They have a defense that can make teams one dimensional, and can take the ball away from you in the pass game, even though they’ll give up some yards. Like Ole Miss, they have some depth concerns. They’ve just, so far, avoided injuries there (at CB, particularly). They’re a very weird team. If you told me they beat Kentucky by 21 and then lost by 21 to Auburn, I’d believe you. Or anything in between. Going forward, I think MSU will continue to progress under Leach, and at times be a Top 15 or so program. IF, IF, like I said, they can continue to maintain the same talent level on defense. Leach and Arnett inherited some real talent there. And Arnett is an elite DC. But, there are some recruiting concerns, particularly in the defensive backfield. If they shore that up, and Kiffin stays (big if) I think there are going to be some incredible Egg Bowls in the next 4-5 years.