Yes, let’s look at the same two pundits (Lunardi and Palm) who have historically been mediocre to bad, and ignore the top 15-20+ historically who have us as a 10-12 seed consistently.
“Historically”? Many of the people have been doing it a few years or have had positive variance over a small time period. If they do bad for a few years, they quit. They do good, and they jump to the top of the list. There is a good chance that whoever is #1 today will be outside the top 25% moving forward, as I’ve mentioned, I’ve never seen a strong correlation between their results today and results moving forward.
The whole scoring part of the bracket matrix also doesn’t make sense to me. I’d put way more emphasis on teams In vs Out (and maybe be Dayton). I don’t think picking a 9 seed as a 9 or a 7 as a 7 is worth what they give it (especially when you need to move teams up or down a seed line to adhere to bracketing principles.