Lunardi now has us

[57stratdawg]

In the ‘First 4 out’ group. Gotta think a W on Tuesday and we’ll be in at least on that day.

 

[She Mate Me]

In the ‘First 4 out’ group. Gotta think a W on Tuesday and we’ll be in at least on that day.

It's fun to read that stuff, but like many have been saying for a month, finish 11-7 in the SEC and we're in, 10-8 and we gotta do serious work in the SECT.

 

[msudawg200]

Yep. A win vs Tennessee and we’re in at that moment, but a loss to LSU would put us right back out. And I’m of the opinion that a first game loss in the SEC tournament would drop us back out, but that’s at least debatable.

 

[MSUDC11]

Yep. A win vs Tennessee and we’re in at that moment, but a loss to LSU would put us right back out. And I’m of the opinion that a first game loss in the SEC tournament would drop us back out, but that’s at least debatable.

It probably depends on who the loss would be against. Lose to Kentucky? We might still be ok. Lose to anyone who isn’t safely a tournament team? That’s probably really bad.

 

[Willow Grove Dawg]

Our tourney resume would not be totally destroyed by a loss to Tennessee & a win vs LSU. Tennessee RPI is #12, so even a home loss to them probably improves our RPI several spots. We just cannot lose @ LSU and a win vs. Tennessee would probably get our RPI to around 50 maybe high 40's.

 

[TwoDawgs]

Where do you find the latest up to date projections by Lunardi? All I can ever find are the Monday and Thursday updates on the ESPN website.

 

[BulldogBlitz]

Maybe Twitter or catching his latest interview on the TV. I believe our song will remain the same until selection Sunday. Just keep winning.

 

[Willow Grove Dawg]

He tweeted last night that he would have an updated Bracketology posted this morning

 

[Drebin]

No it kills us. The one thing this team needs is quality wins. The Tennessee game would give us a signature win. It's an opportunity to improve our resume. A loss is a missed opportunity.

The Tennessee game is a must win if we are going to get in.

 

[Philly Dawg]

Who was the last SEC team to play their way in at the tourney without winning it?

 

[VegasDawg13]

It's up now.

 

[VegasDawg13]

That question is impossible to answer because the committee rarely makes any definitive statements like, "Team X was not in the tournament until they won two games in the conference tournament." However, I agree with your implied point that getting in based on a conference tournament run is much rarer than the media, and therefore we fans, seem to think it is.

Dozens of games will be declared "potential play-in games" next week.

 

[G-Dawg]

Has there been any analysis of how Lunardi's projections matchup to what is actually announced on Selection Sunday over the past few years? Everyone talks about Lunardi like he's Bracket-God. I wanna know does he deserve the title?

 

[mount lefroy]

Maybe Twitter or catching his latest interview on the TV. I believe our song will remain the same until selection Sunday. Just keep winning.

Nice zeppelin reference. Yes, I’m 51 years old.

 

[stateu1]

Yes. Misses a team or two a year.

 

[MSUDC11]

He’s got A&M as a 7 seed right now.... Um, heck no.

 

[msu]

His bracket projections are fluid. If the decision was made today, his brackets would likely match well. But they are not predictors for two weeks from now. So, his brackets can only reflect what is known and not the unknown. All is relative to today and today only.

 

[DawgatAuburn]

Has there been any analysis of how Lunardi's projections matchup to what is actually announced on Selection Sunday over the past few years? Everyone talks about Lunardi like he's Bracket-God. I wanna know does he deserve the title?

2013 he got all 68
2014 67 of 68
2015 66 of 68
2016 65 of 68
2017 67 of 68

Those numbers are strong but the serious bracket predictors are equally focused on the seeding as well. When they score brackets to see who did the best, you get three points for getting the team right but also three points for getting the seed right. One point if you are a line off. Point being, there are a bunch of bracket guys out there that can match Lunardis performance, but they don’t have the platform that Lunardi has to talk about it.

 

[DAWG61]

Who was the last SEC team to play their way in at the tourney without winning it?

I think for the most part the SECT can't really help you but it can hurt you. They tend to not put weight on wins in the SECT but they will punish you if you don't win any.

 

[o_1984Dawg]

Yeah, a quick google search suggests Lunardi's results are fairly pedestrian --> Bracket Matrix

#40 out of 113 over the last 5 years. Assuming that site and their metrics have some validity. (I have no clue)

Regardless, what gets you on the ESPN platform is definitely not your accuracy. It's can you drive revenue.

 

[G-Dawg]

WORD

2013 he got all 68
2014 67 of 68
2015 66 of 68
2016 65 of 68
2017 67 of 68

Those numbers are strong but the serious bracket predictors are equally focused on the seeding as well. When they score brackets to see who did the best, you get three points for getting the team right but also three points for getting the seed right. One point if you are a line off. Point being, there are a bunch of bracket guys out there that can match Lunardis performance, but they don’t have the platform that Lunardi has to talk about it.