Luck - Kenpom

[Sideline20]

I was just noticing on kenpom that they now have a component called “Luck”. I don’t remember seeing that before. Rutgers is rated the 207th luckiest team in the country. I went to the glossary page and ithe definition is.....

Luck – A measure of the deviation between a team’s actual winning percentage and what one would expect from its game-by-game efficiencies. It’s a Dean Oliver invention. Essentially, a team involved in a lot of close games should not win (or lose) all of them. Those that do will be viewed as lucky (or unlucky).

 

[cubuffsdoug_rivals]

These analytics are getting out of hand. Why not create one on how refs impact the game.[winking]

 

[Russ Wood]

Kenpom has had luck for years. I think Maryland was No. 1 in luck 5 or 6 years ago. The more clothes games you win the higher you ranked in luck on kenpom

 

[RUforester72]

Obviously they have not heard about the RU Screw!

 

[BillyC80]

Any luck formula should include the propensity to bank in 3-pointers.

And conversely, the “unlucky” formula should include a metric for “team with the most 3-pointers banked in AGAINST them.”

RU has to be in the running for that one.

 

[Upstream]

The more clothes games you win the higher you ranked in luck on kenpom

When I was single, I thought getting lucky had to do with less clothes, not more clothes.

 

[soundcrib]

Luck is never on our side. We have to defeat them too.

 

[Mr_Twister]

Kentucky should be #1 for luck. Big-time talent doesn’t arrive there year after year by accident. One of these days one of the investigative TV shows (on a network that does not carry NCAA hoops) will identify the money trail and/or series of fortuitous events that a recruit and his family and hanger-ons experience that the NCAA never sees or chooses to ignore.