LSU -24

[fishwater99]

I just layed the wood on it...
We might get shut out again 45-0..

UF -23 vs Ole Miss in the Swamp...</p>

 

[fishwater99]

I just layed the wood on it...
We might get shut out again 45-0..

UF -23 vs Ole Miss in the Swamp...</p>

 

[patdog]

Which is why I'd stay away from the UM-UF game. Snead's a dangerous enough QB that that game could easily be closer than 23 points. But I think I'd have to put some cash down on LSU at -24.

 

[Dawg725]

DUDE....I am all over -24! I am puttin my money on a 56-0 WIN...by the Tigers

 

[Brutius]

Anyone remember Florida -27 in 2004? MSU was horrible and hadn't covered a game in who knows how long. Betting on Florida was an easy win; MSU was going to lose by 50 points. It would be over at halftime!

The rest as they say....is history.

With that being said, I think -24 on the road at Baton Rouge is about as close to a sure bet as you can ever get.

 

[Optimus Prime 4]

UF doesn't give a **** about this game.

 

[RebelBruiser]

I think both UM and MSU would be good bets this week. LSU and UF are both coming off big game wins. Both of them watched us both suck this past weekend, so they aren't expecting much. There is a good chance that neither of us gets the best shot that LSU and UF have to offer. I especially like us to cover because it's an 1130 game. The 1130 start time means the crowd will be even less into it and the players will be more likely to be sleep walking as well.

I could be way off on that, but I wouldn't be shocked for either of us to cover. Neither team is as bad as it looked last week, and neither LSU nor Florida are quite as good as the betters think they are.

 

[patdog]

nm</p>

 

[Brutius]

that I lost 1000 dollars that day. Sometimes.....things suck.

 

[Coach34]

that line opened at 21....people are really betting the farm on LSU.

 

[BuyGuyatooth]

when looking at lopsided lines on your team. Weren't you guys -4 on the turnover margin Saturday. We had a freakin' 100+ yard opening drive that manage to only get a field goal ( 3 big penalties ), and ZERO offensive TDs. We were also -4 on the turnover margin. Both opponents are coming off big (emotional) road SEC victories. If State or Ole Miss doesn't turn the ball over, both should beat the spread this week - IMHO.

 

[thunderclap]

the question is do you believe they'll score more than 24?

My answer: Yes.

 

[patdog]

nm

 

[TilloDawg]

you will ever make in your lifetime, just like it has been every year along with the Arkansas game. Lay the points...it won't be close, and the line will only grow bigger the longer you wait.

LSU 48 MSU 3

Edited to add: If the UF-UM line grows just a bit more, I will take the Rebs.....UF will be off a little after the Tenn game last week.

 

[fishwater99]

Well, we have something in common after all.

I lost a bundle on it too, and I was there on the 45 yrd line...

I was happy we won, but my bank account was a little lighter that day.

That being said, we are going to LSU for their first SEC home game.
LSU will kill us Saturday. 45-3

I am not sure about the UF vs Ole Miss..

 

[Agentdog]

I have researched this game in the past. I pretty sure. LSU has covered every game they have been a favorite vs State going back to the early 90s. Only once have we been a favorite in that time and that was 99. We did not cover.

 

[HD6]

*

 

[ShrubDog]

<h3><span id="ctl00_ctl00_ATSorWL">ATS Trends</span></h3> <div> <table class="data" id="ctl00_ctl00_tblTrendsVisitorATS" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="2" width="100%" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td class="datahead" colspan="2">Mississippi State</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datacell" colspan="2"> <ul class="more"> [*]Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. [*]Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. [*]Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September. [*]Bulldogs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. [*]Bulldogs are 16-35-2 ATS in their last 53 games following a S.U. loss. [*]Bulldogs are 8-19-1 ATS in their last 28 games on grass. [*]Bulldogs are 5-12-2 ATS in their last 19 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. [*]Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. [*]Bulldogs are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. [/list] </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> <div> <table class="data" id="ctl00_ctl00_tblTrendsHomeATS" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="2" width="100%" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td class="datahead" colspan="2">Louisiana State</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datacell" colspan="2"> <ul class="more"> [*]Tigers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. [*]Tigers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games. [/list] </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> <h3>OU Trends</h3> <div> <table class="data" id="ctl00_ctl00_tblTrendsVisitorOU" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="2" width="100%" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td class="datahead" colspan="2">Mississippi State</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datacell" colspan="2"> <ul class="more"> [*]Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. [*]Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. [*]Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a S.U. loss. [*]Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games overall. [*]Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 conference games. [*]Under is 6-2 in Bulldogs last 8 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. [*]Over is 6-2 in Bulldogs last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. [*]Under is 24-9-1 in Bulldogs last 34 games following a ATS loss. [*]Under is 5-2 in Bulldogs last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. [/list] </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> <div> <table class="data" id="ctl00_ctl00_tblTrendsHomeOU" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="2" width="100%" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td class="datahead" colspan="2">Louisiana State</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datacell" colspan="2"> <ul class="more"> [*]Over is 8-1 in Tigers last 9 games following a S.U. win. [*]Over is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 games on grass. [*]Over is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 conference games. [*]Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. [*]Over is 9-2 in Tigers last 11 games overall. [*]Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games in September. [*]Over is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 home games. [*]Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. [*]Under is 7-3 in Tigers last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. [/list] </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> <h3>Head to Head</h3> <div> <table class="data" id="ctl00_ctl00_tblHeadToHead" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="2" width="100%" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td class="datacell" colspan="2"> <ul class="more"> [*]Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. [*]Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. [*]Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Louisiana State. [*]Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. [*]<font size="5">Bulldogs are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings.</font> [/list] </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div>

 

[thunderclap]

in Baton Rouge, which is always a little rougher than those 11:30 JP games down in Red Stick.

 

[karlchilders.sixpack]

They did not need it, but ...it beat the line. Humm....
Does that mean they were after Miami, or do they try to beat the line?

 

[bizZaX]

Im saying LSU 42-7 over us.. LOOK, WERE SCORING A TOUCHDOWN

 

[QuaoarsKing]

Case in point: 2006 @ LSU, LSU is favored by 32.
Late in the game, the Tigers score a TD to take a 48-17 lead...and the holder fumbles the XP snap and LSU doesn't cover.

Also, if you bet $1000 against the team you're a "fan" of, you're a jackass. Losing the money is called karma.

 

[KurtRambis4]

we'll never get embarrassed anymore...

/crooms

 

[cowbell9]

nm

 

[drunkernhelldawg]

Stallion warned us that LSU offense is still a work in progress. I wouldn't be betting any farms unless I had two farms.

I don't bet. Good luck to those who do. I think that the people that set those lines have made some good money over the years.

We did see LSU have a magical offensive half Saturday night. But every game is different. It'll be interesting, I hope.