I'm sure we all can't wait til Saturday. I haven't seen them a lot. How do they compare to South Carolina?
Looking ahead to Texas A&M
- Thread starter Rush2112 UK
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anon_q409idbs5m40a
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They hit the boards hard, shoot the three well and up until their "slump" they had been limiting turnovers. The problem seems to be lack of consistency at PG, which is definitely in our favor. However, I'm certain that we'll get their best game regardless since it's at College Station. They have better overall talent that USC but haven't shown it the past few games.
Got to imagine they'll be playing desperate as they try to keep from imploding and make a move toward a decent seed.
Outside of the Kansas game, this will be the hardest road game of the year. That said, other than the UK game, they've got a complete cakewalk the rest of the way.
Ole Miss
Miss State
@ Missouri
@ Auburn
Vandy
Outside of the Kansas game, this will be the hardest road game of the year. That said, other than the UK game, they've got a complete cakewalk the rest of the way.
Ole Miss
Miss State
@ Missouri
@ Auburn
Vandy
They have lost 5 in a row in an avg. SEC.
Something is rotten in Denmark.
They wont get right playing UK.
Something is rotten in Denmark.
They wont get right playing UK.
That haslametrics site that came closest to calling the USCjr game has us beating Aggies 73-66.
http://haslametrics.com/ratings.php
http://haslametrics.com/ratings.php
We have to play Tennessee this Thursday.
I was aware of that. I'm assuming we'll beat them; the alternative is unthinkable. Losing that game- at home, at this point in the season and with so much to play for- would just about render the rest of the season meaningless.
Hence my inquiry about Texas A&M.
I'm thinking we throttle Tenn .
I saw them earlier in the year and they looked like a TOUGH matchup for us . Evidently something has happened .
I believe we have the toughest schedule with our six remaining regular season games.
I will say this: I noticed that of the 5 straight Ls in the SEC for aTm only one was at home and all 5 were v pretty tough SEC teams and all but 1 of the gms were close.
I would just like to see a fair whistle for once. They have House and a really good freshman big man (Jones I think). If the refs try to protect them we are in for a long night.
I'm not sure who they have on the bench behind Jones but if we can get a couple of fouls on him the vice on their genitals will be extremely tight.
UK is scaling hot right now and our guys know this is an important game so I expect them to be fully engaged.
I'm not sure who they have on the bench behind Jones but if we can get a couple of fouls on him the vice on their genitals will be extremely tight.
UK is scaling hot right now and our guys know this is an important game so I expect them to be fully engaged.
It'll be tough to win this game.
I'm thinking that we'll lose 2 of our remaining road games and we'll win out at home.
If we can win this game, then I'm gonna start rekindling my dreams of a title this season.
I'm thinking that we'll lose 2 of our remaining road games and we'll win out at home.
If we can win this game, then I'm gonna start rekindling my dreams of a title this season.
A&M is a much more talented team. I don't think it's good that they've been in a slump, they'll come out of it against us and play their best. I think it could go either way.
The only thing that concerns me is that we are playing UT on Thursday night and have to travel on Friday to Texas and play Saturday. That is not a conducive recipe for preparing for a tough road game. But if we play with the toughness we displayed in Columbia, we will be OK.
Yep... Probably by 30, it's what we've done to the last two:sunglasses:
That would be a huge let down and the 3 game winning streak would be for naught then if we lost 2 more . 1 more is forgivable but we are past losing 2 out of 6 games IMO. I think we might drop the game at Vandy but I feel good we can contain Jones and House enough to beat A&M .
I disagree Ole Miss and Vandy are cakewalks...but they do get both at home so advantage A&M on paper.
Yes prices are higher than a Georgia pine tree! Been this way for about over a month or better. I've gone past 2 visits and afraid can't make this one due to family illness. Aggies aren't dumb, they now realize that the BBN invades road games and are charging accordingly. Maybe at last few days before game prices may drop a bit so keep an eye on it
I disagree about being a disappointment.
Road games are tough and EVERYBODY is losing on the road.
My point is that we could lose 2 more games and STILL be primed for a March run!!
I'm a aTm graduate... I'm thankful for a good education but I hope they die like a dirty dog...
Someone already posted this info in another thread but for convenience:
"First of all, I have sworn off several of the more popular methods endorsed by hoops stats enthusiasts to rate teams. This includes, most notably, Dean Oliver's "Four Factors of Basketball Success" (effective field goal percentage, turnover percentage, offensive rebounding percentage, and free throw rate). Together, these variables are frequently utilized to construct a regression equation to predict offensive and defensive efficiency. After experimenting with linear and logistic regression for years, I have chosen to reject that methodology in my predictive analysis based on the opinion that sample sizes for one particular team in one single season are just too small. I believe there just isn't enough data available to properly formulate a reliable equation that way.
Second, I have narrowed my analysis down to the bare necessities.....specifically, how often teams shoot, how close to the basket each shot is, how well teams shoot from different locations on the floor, and how often steals and offensive rebounds affect the shot selection and success. One must also factor in those same traits from a defensive perspective (e.g. how often, how well, and from where a team's opponent shoots). Using this shooting data alongside an estimate of the number of trips upcourt a team and its opponent will make, I can scientifically make a prediction for the result of any contest.
Third, based on play-by-play logs that I have collected and parsed, I only utilize data for a particular game where the outcome of said contest is still in question. Using a formula to determine when a game is essentially "over," I can truncate data that is likely to be contaminated by bench players ("scrubs") getting time on the floor when a lead is out of reach."
Thanks for that.
Very interesting way to rate teams. What was his line on the south Carolina game?
I assume you are describing their talent is much better than USCJr?? I don't agree with that analysis - not to mention they just lost at home to that less talented team. They have some nice inside talent, but I would say Similiar to SC.
It was 10 or 11; he was the only one who had us winning that by double digits. That's why I give him more credence now.
Their guards are turning the ball over at a high rate. We also happen to have the best defensive guards in America. That is a match-up nightmare for them
Early TOs lead to easy buckets and our guards get going and UK wins by 7.
They will be super tough on the boards and under neath. Should be another foul fest on our bigs, especially on the road after the BBN has destroyed an official this week. They'll be after us.
Early TOs lead to easy buckets and our guards get going and UK wins by 7.
They will be super tough on the boards and under neath. Should be another foul fest on our bigs, especially on the road after the BBN has destroyed an official this week. They'll be after us.
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