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KenPom
- Thread starter Quavarius
- Start date
He's saying that's where we will start (35th on defense) to begin the season. Of course when we start playing actual games, that number will improve or get worse depending on how many points we allow on offense.
I think last year's defense finished 47th, so 35th isn't that bad to start the season.
I was thinking 15-3 or 14-4 based on Duke having a more favorable ACC schedule this season compared to the past. IIRC, we get Louisville and UVA at home only and of course we play UNC at home. I think we get Notre Dame at home only as well.
Can someone post the ACC schedule?
I can see that as well. I think I’m just trying to be a little bit more cautious due to how young this team is and how there will be the inevitable growing pains. My top concern is going to be limiting turnovers and how do we fare when things go bad. That’s a big unknown right now for me. Hopefully our FT shooting can be around 70% as a team.
Oh I understand and my prediction is based on favorable scheduling and no major injuries/suspensions/dismissals, etc.
Nothing wrong with being cautious. But, I'm eager, especially with how 2017 ended. We're built to dominate, but I'll be reasonable and temper my expectations.
No question about that. I’m definitely ready to roll and can’t wait to see them live on Friday. Been a long time.
I understand that its dynamic. However, unlike our pre-season ranking -- this one can actually improve.
@ BC
vs. FSU
@ NC State
@ Pitt
vs. Wake
@ Miami
vs. Pitt
@ Wake
vs. UVA
vs. ND
@ UNC
@ GT
vs. Va Tech
@ Clemson
vs. Lville
vs. Syracuse
@ Va Tech
vs. UNC
A few points....
-I think this is the last year of 18 conference games....isn't the ACC going to 20 next season?
-on paper, this conference schedule looks 'easier' than the one we had last year
-I think we should be prohibitive favorites in our first five games, with the game at State standing out the most...that's always a tough place for us to win
-our toughest stretch, IMO, is back-to-back home games against UVA and ND, then road trips to UNC and GT....also sandwiched in there is a game at St. John's
-if we stay healthy, then I don't think going 14-4 is totally unreasonable
14-4 / 15-3 / 13-5 ; Those are all fine with me. The ACC will be the strongest conference in the regular season. Hope it proves out in the final tournament as well.
16-2, worse case 15-3. Remember this one guys, and if I'm wrong post it back at me. Look at how the Old Polish Legend has done the year after our last really disappointing season, 2014. I believe he will have the kids focused every game.
Pittsburgh will not win 4 conference games. If they do, go ahead and give Stallings ACC Coach of the Year. Since going to an 18 game schedule in 2013, an ACC Regular Season Champ has never won fewer than 14 games (UNC the last 2 years)... Also, you may not believe me, but I think Boston College, if healthy, is an NCAA Tournament team. Jerome Robinson, Ky Bowman, and Deonate Hawkins could start for any team in America.
If we lose 5 games in the conference, I can live with it...as long as none of them are to the Heels. GTHC, GTH!
OFC
OFC
When it comes to losing conference games, I go straight to the away schedule first. @BC, NC St., UNC, Miami, VT, GT and UNC are all super tough games to win, especially because those teams will be tough and hungry. Quite honestly, BC and UNC may be the most winnable of those six (UNC only because that’s not a “let down” game for Duke).
I think 15-3 in the ACC with losses to FSU, Miami, and VT.
With a 10 day break at Christmas, I could see the team being a little rusty vs FSU even at home.
I could see a loss to Miami away. They seem to have our number.
I could also see a loss at VT on a Monday with playing Syracuse the Saturday before.
I could see a record of 26-4. with a loss to Michigan State as well as the 3 ACC losses.
With a 10 day break at Christmas, I could see the team being a little rusty vs FSU even at home.
I could see a loss to Miami away. They seem to have our number.
I could also see a loss at VT on a Monday with playing Syracuse the Saturday before.
I could see a record of 26-4. with a loss to Michigan State as well as the 3 ACC losses.
I hope you're wrong. I live in Michigan and while I think Izzo is a great coach and a class act, K's dominance over Izzo (10-1?) brings great joy to me every time I see my Spartan friends during the basketball season.
I like us at 16-2 in the conference with 3 losses overall. That loss being either in the ACC tournament or a random non-MSU game, we aren’t losing to MSU.
We outright win the league by 2 games minimum.
We get the overall #1 seed in the NCAAs and the whole world complains about our draw.
We outright win the league by 2 games minimum.
We get the overall #1 seed in the NCAAs and the whole world complains about our draw.
Love the optimism! I think it’ll be 14-4 and I like 26-4. That’s a hell of a regular season. Wouldn’t be surprised at 15-3 or 13-5, 16-2 is pretty nuts.
The worse these guys predict where we will be the better I like it. Motivation. OFC
I don't keep up with the other teams in the conference enough to know who they lose, have returning, and have coming in close enough to be able to make an educated prediction on how many we will win this year. I just want to win 6 in a row at the end of March and first of April.
I think K has a team this year built to play any style needed to win, whether it's a physical grind kind of game, or fast tempo, plus I think K has a chip on his shoulder. The last 2 seasons have been brutal, even the 15-16 team was hampered when Jefferson went down. Probably weren't gonna win it all, but it still hurt.
We are due a great season, and it just feels like something special is going to happen. Personally I think we beat teams like the 98-99 team did, I just hope and pray for a better outcome.
Thanks! So right now KenPom has us projected to go 16-2. I’d sign up for that if I could....not sure I’d hand over one of those losses to UNC, though.