The odds for SEC Teams to make the final 4
UT- 22%
Auburn- 18%
Alabama - 16%
Kentucky - 6%
Make this make sense to me.
UT- 22%
Auburn- 18%
Alabama - 16%
Kentucky - 6%
Make this make sense to me.
Just seen on ESPN/SEC Network
- Thread starter *Fox2Monk*
- Start date
They went to Feinstein for the numbers. ESPN hates us. Always has.
According to what source/methodology? I’d be curious to know how they came up with those dubious percentages.
I can't help you on this one. That makes little sense to me to see UK listed that low among SEC teams. Until we meet and find out, I might place only UT with a better chance and I should know better than that with the history of both UT and Rick Barnes and how they both seem to flame out early in the tournament. Sorry, but I'm with you on this one, makes little sense to me.
Meanwhile, where do they put Puke and the rest of the ACC? I'm sure Puke has a higher % chance on ESPN than we do, because the majority of the employees at ESPN are ACC or Big East homers.
I would say recent lack of success in March and Cal has been inconsistent/less than successful in games against highly ranked opponents in recent years (I know we beat a ranked Miami and UNCheat this year so far... I am talking last 3-5 year sample).
UT has never made a FF and they sure as hell won’t this year with one guy carrying so much of the load imo.
That’s what I’m saying, recent history aside for us, UT has never made a final four so they should be like 1% lmfao. I have to see how they came up with this.
Yeah but UT has 100+ years of no final fours lol. Bama isn’t making one for sure, Auburn I could see but nobody know quite how good they are yet.
The only rationale I can think of is that they figure our Freshmen are going to struggle down the stretch.
They do it because they know people will talk about it is my guess.
Please, let's sticky this and make sure the team sees this every.single.day.
Keep fueling the fire, ESPN.
Just keep on.
Keep fueling the fire, ESPN.
Just keep on.
Likely from an AI built by the African American studies department at UNC.
Makes 0 sense. What success have those other 3 teams had ever at making a final four?
Calipari does well with high level freshmen led teams here.
They hate the lifetime party that keeps going on that they weren't invited to. It's that simple.
COW has at least made 4 final fours here and 6 overall.
They’re right not their. It’s Cal not Cow, a cow gives milk, a Cal gives banners.
That was Cal, he's been gone for 4 years, The guy we got now gives milk.
Probably due to having so many Freshmen … would be my guess. Simply have to prove the “experts” wrong !!
Well, the good thing about that eSpN prediction is that it means absolutely nothing.
Without looking it up, my guess is they are using their BPI ranking system as a data source for this. It's the reason why they give A&M a 66% chance to win on Sat.
BPI is like a watered down version of KenPom or NET rankings. I'm guessing our poor defensive metrics are pulling us down in those rankings.
Espn metrics is garbage. Same one gave us like a 15-20% chance to win at Florida. Likely the UNC Wilmington loss bringing us down in their system.
I agree with this post. There is no way to argue that the ESPN expectancy numbers aren't a strong indictment of Calipari. One can argue that that indictment of Calipari arises out of an ESPN bias against U.K., I suppose ... but that doesn't remove the fact that the underlying statement of the ESPN expectancy numbers is clearly based on the CCC acronym - and, in my judgment, rightly so.
Well, Mychal ... if seeing that in the title of a thread "loses you", then you'll probably be perpetually lost on this board. Sorry.
Bingo
This is the answer. Came to post this. @Fox2monk - makes people talk and makes people tune in. They know what it means to have BBN listening; and best way to do that is by throwing shade. Makes us crazy, and we notice. Looks like they did it right!
People are overlooking this for some reason, but it’s overwhelmingly likely to be the correct answer. It’s no conspiracy. The analytics just don’t like us as much as the pollsters for the time being.
You can certainly debate whether BPI is a good model or not, but even on something more reputable like KenPom, Auburn, Tennessee, and Alabama are ranked 4th, 5th, and 7th respectively while we’re 18th. That seems to roughly correlate to the odds cited in the original post.