Based on that video?Saw that video on IG yesterday, there is no way he lasts 4 years in college. Things come way too easy for him on the court.
Based on that video?
He had the chance last year to take minutes from Paul and Caleb and Montez and Geo and didn't. Things are not that easy on the court in the B1G. I don't care who you are.
I get all that. The poster is making it seem like it is a given he will leave in less than 4 years to be a pro. It would have been unreasonable to expect he would take minutes away. It is also unreasonable to expect that he will be leaving RU in 3 years to play pro ball.His first collegiate practice was on 1/16, coming in at 195 and having just turned 18. Pike said after his first 2 practices at the time: “He’s trying to figure out our drills, our offense in the middle of a season. It’s a hard time to just jump in and know what you’re doing. He’s in the back of the line learning everything.”
Not sure why you think he had a legit chance to take minutes from Mulcahy, McConnell, and Mathis at that point.
He took the second half of last season putting in the work to get competitive - hitting the weight room, running drills, learning expectations, and understanding the culture - and he's now gotten a full offseason with the team, and a lot more reps with the departure of 43% of our guard minutes at the 1-3. He's put on 25 lbs through S&C, adding strength and endurance he didn't have last year.
I'd expect him to be giving us 20+ minutes off the bench to start the season, possibly 25+, and in line to be our starting SG after Baker's departure at the end of the year.
I get all that. The poster is making it seem like it is a given he will leave in less than 4 years to be a pro. It would have been unreasonable to expect he would take minutes away. It is also unreasonable to expect that he will be leaving RU in 3 years to play pro ball.
He could have a great career here and be one of the all time greats. I just don't think that should be expected. Rutgers place in the college basketball world have definitely improved a ton. We still are far away to be the place where top guys go to the school. If a player ends up at Rutgers currently it is because top schools didn't want the player or see him as a definite guy in the rotation.
I haven't done this.Greene.....the worse thing one can do, is determine someone's talent level based on what they look like as a frosh. We have already well documented stat lines showing RHJ started his RU career at something like 3 for 26 from 3.....and he was hailed as a shooter out of HS.
Yes. There are only a small finite spots available for 5s or any position for the top 10-15 teams.You really think that top schools didn't want Omouryi?
Yes. There are only a small finite spots available for 5s or any position for the top 10-15 teams.
I do think he is a unique situation that is drawn to RU because of Engineering and having Myles as the example.
That's for sure. That was not the case 2-4 years ago.We're not the island of misfit toys - we're a competitive program in one of the best conferences in the country.
I interpreted your post saying that because Jones didn't walk into the lineup on January 17th and outperform sophomores and juniors in Paul and Caleb, that we should temper expectations......I am stating that making that statement for someone arriving mid season isn't an accurate way to assess Jones or his skillset/talentI haven't done this.
I interpreted your post saying that because Jones didn't walk into the lineup on January 17th and outperform sophomores and juniors in Paul and Caleb, that we should temper expectations......I am stating that making that statement for someone arriving mid season isn't an accurate way to assess Jones or his skillset/talent
It can eliminate a player as a can't miss talent that is an almost certainity to play professionally.I interpreted your post saying that because Jones didn't walk into the lineup on January 17th and outperform sophomores and juniors in Paul and Caleb, that we should temper expectations......I am stating that making that statement for someone arriving mid season isn't an accurate way to assess Jones or his skillset/talent
Guys are almost positionless. Everyone is 6'6''. You have 4 spots which is 160 minutes.I'm not counting on Jones providing much of anything on offense. Before he gets increased minutes, he'll have to show that he can pass and defend at an acceptable level. If he's going to play guard, he has Geo, Paul, Caleb, and maybe Ron ahead of him, depending on the matchups. Unless those guys can't increase their scoring output to make up for JY, and MM, Pike is going to bring Jones along slowly.
There is a big leap playing at this level. Some find the transition easy and some don't. Only time will tell. It seems like we have had countless recruits that can flat out shoot the ball until they start playing D1 and everything is .2 seconds quicker and shots that were mildly contested are contested by guys 4 inches longer.There are Jaden Jones video's out there since middle school. George Mason sent him a recruiting letter in 5th grade. You can see the growth of Jaden's play over the years on YouTube by comparison. If you followed his IG since he committed here, he looks and plays on a different level from footage over the summer in between his junior and senior year of high school, August 2020 or any game you can find he played in 2018-20 against good competition at Prolific Prep, St Louis Christian, Texas or AAU. He is a big guard in close to a SF/PF body, There is a reason Jon Rothstein is raving about him.
I love how there are four more paragraphs even after the A, B, C paragraphs. And two before it. And another explanatory post right after this one. This is a top 5 Hawk post.The minimum production for a wing or SG in the Pike era, for someone playing at least 22 minutes a game was Montez Mathis as a frosh in 2018-19 at around 7.4PPG. That covers a handful of players and 5 years of play.
I don't want to say it's a foregone conclusion that Jones exceeds 7.4 PPG, but if the player projects to be a better 3 point shooter than Mathis was as a freshman and can become a better FT shooter, then it comes down to whether to 3 things.
A) Can Jones attack or create his own offense 1 on 1.....?? All indicators are he is more likely than not, to be able to do so, in comparison to Mathis as a frosh......I am not saying Jones as a frosh would be better than Mathis as a senior, but an frosh season to frosh season with similar minutes, should result in similar or better numbers.
B) Can Jones score in the open floor?? Mathis was able to score in transition as much as any player outside of Jacob Young. However, the opportunity to get consistent transition baskets, becomes more unlikely as you get into B1G play. You are more likely going to have to execute and earn your points in a half court offense, vs relying on blocked shots, turnovers and a fast break. Jones should be more effective in half court, vs being reliant on transition points padding stats.
C) Home vs Away splits......(I am not an analytical guy, but something to consider).....I believe Mathis had the biggest difference in production as a player at home vs a player away, as anyone on the roster......does that mean anything, is it a trend, coincidence or just a factor that RU performs better at home and is more likely to win at home, which lines up with Mathis playing better at the RAC.
Mathis (I believe) averaged 10.7 PPG in 14 RAC games.....and it was 9.5PPG if I remove the 1st 3 games that are non Power 5 teams (Hofstra, FDU, Sacred Heart)
Mathis in away or neutral games (14 total games, 10 road, 2 B1G tournament, 2 NCAA tournament)......had 5.7 PPG....3 of the 14 road games were double figures, the 1st road game vs Ohio State, when RU was undefeated, Mathis had 16......at Minnesota where the NCAA birth was sealed (12 PTS) and the finale vs Houston, where Mathis had 2 huge 3 pointers, and gave RU 10 PTS in 23 solid minutes.
Jaden Jones and Aundre Hyatt should be more consistent players IMO, home and away. I believe RU getting transition points helped Mathis average around 8.5PPG. But I think Hyatt and Jones should exceed 8.5PPG, because I don't think you'll see such a large gap in home vs away.
Add in the 3 point and FT shooting and that should make up for not getting the steals and dunks. If RU is able to score in transition and turns it over less in half court with better 3 PT shooting (Jones and Hyatt), then RU should be better than last year, replacing the departing players. The bar of 8.5PPG isn't unreasonable to expect from Jones and Hyatt.
It's completely different than some posters who want to yell or post "Pike is this or that", the "recruiting is this or that".I love how there are four more paragraphs even after the A, B, C paragraphs. And two before it. And another explanatory post right after this one. This is a top 5 Hawk post.
Mathis is gone. He was a very flawed offensive player and should not be any sort of bar.
we know Geo and Ron and what they can be offensively. We know Cliff has to be on the court as a 5. The other guys are going to need to be willing defenders and provide offense. We know what Caleb and Paul can and can not do. There is a golden opportunity for Jones to make a big impact and have 22-25% of the offensive looks when he is on the floor.
if he plays 25 minutes and takes 23% of shots when on floor and we have 70 possessions and he is a 1.05 points per offensive attempt you get 10.5 PPG. Lower that to 20 MPG you get 8.5 PPG.
Ah the off season . . . Throw in a promotional video, and boy oh boy . . .
If Jones isn’t contributing offense this year in a big way our offense may be in serious trouble.I'm not counting on Jones providing much of anything on offense. Before he gets increased minutes, he'll have to show that he can pass and defend at an acceptable level. If he's going to play guard, he has Geo, Paul, Caleb, and maybe Ron ahead of him, depending on the matchups. Unless those guys can't increase their scoring output to make up for JY, and MM, Pike is going to bring Jones along slowly.
I hope you're right, but I think it's a lot to ask of a freshman (basically) who is 6'8" to play guard in the B10. Not only would he have to defend smaller guys, but he'd have to be a decent passer and decision maker on offense, and, on top on that, score around 10 points a game for him to meet the expectations of many. I actually think he would be more suited to small forward and would have less competition for PT.If Jones isn’t contributing offense this year in a big way our offense may be in serious trouble.
I believe he will though. Hyatt and Jones are big pieces. Really needed Hyatt last year in a big big way.
Jones is also critical for our future success based on recruiting to date. If he were for some reason not live up to expectations it would spell trouble. Again, I don’t think that’s the case.
100%seriously. He may be a great player, but that video was useless. You can make me look good in that kind of video