Iowa is blowing it...

Sheffielder

Senior
Sep 1, 2004
9,962
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21-9 in the 4th...making it difficult for a bowl to pick them ahead of us...Nashville could be in the conversation after all...
 

mikewebb68

Senior
Oct 24, 2009
9,813
504
113
Purdue, like most not-good teams has trouble finishing, though. We'll see if they finish today...
 

Sheffielder

Senior
Sep 1, 2004
9,962
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at this point I dont realistically see a scenario where Iowa is picked "ahead" of Northwestern where a choice would be in question. Sparty is still probably in the conversation, with a win over UMD and then Rutgers next week, but our shut out today along with a potential seven game winning streak and a solid Top 25 ranking could put us in a conversation about San Diego after all, especially if Michigan loses ugly to Ohio State next week, which is a legit possibility.
 

Hungry Jack

All-American
Nov 17, 2008
39,152
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And now an idiotic call for 2.

There is more stupidity caused by the 2 point option than alcohol combined with women in tight clothing

WTH Ferentz???
 

kaTNap

Junior
Nov 6, 2005
2,679
297
83
At this point I'd have to change my earlier prediction and think that we may well be the favorites for San Diego. Iowa losing to Purdue may have taken Foster Farms off the table.
 

cats234

Redshirt
Mar 6, 2005
24
1
0
The B1G Network guys are at a loss too.

I thought we were done this nonsense after Zook left
I mean, they were down by 9, so they needed a touchdown, 2 pt conversion, and PAT. What is the harm in going for two at that point instead of waiting?
 

Hungry Jack

All-American
Nov 17, 2008
39,152
6,396
67
I mean, they were down by 9, so they needed a touchdown, 2 pt conversion, and PAT. What is the harm in going for two at that point instead of waiting?
You kick the PAT and keep it a one possession game. Keeps pressure on PU and basically preserves the option value of the conversion.

Ferentz killed any chance of tying the game by turning it into a two possession game with one minute left. It was completely harebrained.
 

Sheffielder

Senior
Sep 1, 2004
9,962
764
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You kick the PAT and keep it a one possession game. Keeps pressure on PU and basically preserves the option value of the conversion.

Ferentz killed any chance of tying the game by turning it into a two possession game with one minute left. It was completely harebrained.

I get the strategy but if they would've converted on the two, at home, the crowd would've been in it big time and PU is not a world-beater this year. As a coach I would have followed conventional wisdom, but I don't think the Ferentz call was as atrocious as everyone is making it out to be.
 

Hungry Jack

All-American
Nov 17, 2008
39,152
6,396
67
I get the strategy but if they would've converted on the two, at home, the crowd would've been in it big time and PU is not a world-beater this year. As a coach I would have followed conventional wisdom, but I don't think the Ferentz call was as atrocious as everyone is making it out to be.
No. It was a terrible call. When your chance of converting two is less than 50%, you don’t go for it unless you absolutely must do so.

Fitz going for two in the first half was also dumb, but thankfully inconsequential.
 

hdhntr1

All-Conference
Sep 5, 2006
38,230
1,396
113
You kick the PAT and keep it a one possession game. Keeps pressure on PU and basically preserves the option value of the conversion.

Ferentz killed any chance of tying the game by turning it into a two possession game with one minute left. It was completely harebrained.
Unless he felt it gave them a chance for the win in regulation.
 

Hungry Jack

All-American
Nov 17, 2008
39,152
6,396
67
Unless he felt it gave them a chance for the win in regulation.
I was mulling that one too. Defies conventional wisdom of playing for OT when you are at home. Or maybe they felt that had the perfect play call for the conversion attempt.

Ultimately the best strategy is to keep yourself alive. Pursue the highest probability play that gives you another chance by getting you to the next step:
1. Kick the PAT - high probability
2. Recover inside kick - low probability
3. Score TD in 50 seconds - low
4. Convert 2 PAT - about 40%
 
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