Interesting resume for us

[Tractorman]

We are one of only 2 teams in baseball with 0 quad 3 and quad 4 losses. I don't expect to climb to an 8 seed, BUT, if we beat Georgia and AL/FL we will be in the conversation for a national seed.

RPI (Live) 2026 College Baseball | WarrenNolan.com

2026 College Baseball RPI (Rating Percentage Index) Updated in REAL-TIME for Every Team at the Completion of Every Game.

www.warrennolan.com

 

[Willow Grove Dawg]

We have to make it till Sunday at a minimum to get a Top 8 seed and we probably have to win the tournament. Making it till Sunday would mean we beat Georgia & probably the Florida/Alabama winner which all have RPIs better than MSU today. We would need some help from Nebraska & USC losing to bad RPI teams on Friday in the Big 10 tournament to get a Top 8 without winning the SECT.

Assuming that we are not a Top 8 seed, the ideal match-up for us in USC which would probably require us to be #9, #10, or #11. USC will struggle to get out of a home regional.

 

[The Peeper]

We are one of only 2 teams in baseball with 0 quad 3 and quad 4 losses.

RPI (Live) 2026 College Baseball | WarrenNolan.com

2026 College Baseball RPI (Rating Percentage Index) Updated in REAL-TIME for Every Team at the Completion of Every Game.

www.warrennolan.com

Sounds to me like something the Black Bears would hang a banner for after they failed to accomplish their real goal

 

[HailStout]

It really has been astounding how well we have taken care of business against teams we should. Probably cost @dawgstudent a few flatscreens.

 

[She Mate Me]

I've got my own shorthand for comparing quality W-L records.

I look at the RPI Quad 1 & 2 records and then add in all Q3 and Q4 losses. You get no credit for low quality wins but are penalized for bad losses.

It's just my own little quirky analysis, but makes sense to me.

Even using that, we are still pretty clearly to me a 12-14 level National Seed.

If we win three more in a row at Hoover I could see us getting to 9 or 10 and forcing ourselves back into the Top 8 conversation. Love to see them do it.

 

[johnson86-1]

We are one of only 2 teams in baseball with 0 quad 3 and quad 4 losses. I don't expect to climb to an 8 seed, BUT, if we beat Georgia and AL/FL we will be in the conversation for a national seed.

RPI (Live) 2026 College Baseball | WarrenNolan.com

2026 College Baseball RPI (Rating Percentage Index) Updated in REAL-TIME for Every Team at the Completion of Every Game.

www.warrennolan.com

Semi-related, but USCw is 1-10 against quad 1, 8-1 against quad 2, and then 33-3 against quad 3 and 4.

We are 9-13 against quad 1, 4-3 against quad 2, and then 27-0 against quad 3 and 4.

They are not quite .6% better than us winning percentage against quad 1 and 2 and 8.3% worse than us winning percentagewise against quad 3 and 4, and played 33% more quad 3 and 4 games than us. Just how much worse were our lowest RPI opponents than USC's for them to be ahead of us despite way more quad three and quad four games, and not really win more against quad 1 and 2, for them to be 4 spots ahead of us in RPI. I know that might be a tiny difference in actual RPI, but they just stand out as not having a good argument to be ahead of us looking briefly at the records.

 

[Shmuley]

We are one of only 2 teams in baseball with 0 quad 3 and quad 4 losses. I don't expect to climb to an 8 seed, BUT, if we beat Georgia and AL/FL we will be in the conversation for a national seed.

RPI (Live) 2026 College Baseball | WarrenNolan.com

2026 College Baseball RPI (Rating Percentage Index) Updated in REAL-TIME for Every Team at the Completion of Every Game.

www.warrennolan.com

Unfortunately, we are not going to see a quad 3 or 4 in a super .... assuming we make it out of the regional.

 

[MSUDC11-2.0]

It’s not just that we’ve beaten all those teams… we’ve beaten 90% of them to a bloody pulp. When we win, we tend to win convincingly.

Close games have been our problem against good teams. But many of our legitimately good wins were not close games.

 

[HRMSU]

I've got my own shorthand for comparing quality W-L records.

I look at the RPI Quad 1 & 2 records and then add in all Q3 and Q4 losses. You get no credit for low quality wins but are penalized for bad losses.

It's just my own little quirky analysis, but makes sense to me.

Even using that, we are still pretty clearly to me a 12-14 level National Seed.

If we win three more in a row at Hoover I could see us getting to 9 or 10 and forcing ourselves back into the Top 8 conversation. Love to see them do it.

If we do that nobody will want to see us in their bracket regardless of our seed.

 

[QuadrupleOption]

This team reminds me of a lot of Mullen's football teams. Beat the **** out of bad teams, lose to everyone with a pulse (except Ole Miss).

 

[maroonmania]

Historically, the SEC tourney has had minimal to no impact on your seeding. I think we are where we are. Maybe if we win the whole thing we could move up a few spots but SEC tourney results will not get us a national seed. That ship has sailed.

 

[MSUDC11-2.0]

Historically, the SEC tourney has had minimal to no impact on your seeding. I think we are where we are. Maybe if we win the whole thing we could move up a few spots but SEC tourney results will not get us a national seed. That ship has sailed.

I don’t think we can crack the Top 8. But maybe we can move from the 13-14 range to the 9-10 range. Which matters both for Super pairings and quality of 2 seed now that they are seeding the 2 seeds 17-32 as well.

 

[golferdog]

Don't get your hopes up. We're playing UGA tomorrow. We don't fare well against top 10 teams, remember?

 

[josebrown]

I've got my own shorthand for comparing quality W-L records.

I look at the RPI Quad 1 & 2 records and then add in all Q3 and Q4 losses. You get no credit for low quality wins but are penalized for bad losses.

It's just my own little quirky analysis, but makes sense to me.

Even using that, we are still pretty clearly to me a 12-14 level National Seed.

If we win three more in a row at Hoover I could see us getting to 9 or 10 and forcing ourselves back into the Top 8 conversation. Love to see them do it.

Reminds me of the way Ed Murphy used to rank the basketball season. +1 for winning on the road and -1 for losing at home. I always kinda liked that way.

 

[theoriginalSALTYdog]

We are one of only 2 teams in baseball with 0 quad 3 and quad 4 losses. I don't expect to climb to an 8 seed, BUT, if we beat Georgia and AL/FL we will be in the conversation for a national seed.

RPI (Live) 2026 College Baseball | WarrenNolan.com

2026 College Baseball RPI (Rating Percentage Index) Updated in REAL-TIME for Every Team at the Completion of Every Game.

www.warrennolan.com

That ship has SAILED. . . . .

 

[dickiedawg]

No bad losses, no good wins.

 

[patdog]

We’re only 32 point away from #9 Nebraska right now. And #8 USC is 1-10 in Q1 games so they’re a lot closer ti the hosting bubble than the top 8 seed bubble. If we win tomorrow we’re at least in the real conversation for a top 8 seed.

 

[BTCMoonBoy]

The top 8 is settled. The tourney don’t mean dicck

 

[BTCMoonBoy]

I don’t think we can crack the Top 8. But maybe we can move from the 13-14 range to the 9-10 range. Which matters both for Super pairings and quality of 2 seed now that they are seeding the 2 seeds 17-32 as well.

We want the 12 seed vs NC

 

[blacklistedbully]

We are one of only 2 teams in baseball with 0 quad 3 and quad 4 losses. I don't expect to climb to an 8 seed, BUT, if we beat Georgia and AL/FL we will be in the conversation for a national seed.

RPI (Live) 2026 College Baseball | WarrenNolan.com

2026 College Baseball RPI (Rating Percentage Index) Updated in REAL-TIME for Every Team at the Completion of Every Game.

www.warrennolan.com

AI says if we make it to the SECT final we are in discussion for Top 8 seed, and if we win it we are a lock. If USC &/or FSU lose to low RPI teams in their tourney we probably pass them by just getting to the final.

Considering this, do we set up our pitching to go for it? What if we beat UGA? Do we go for it then? Is it worth the risk of using arms if it gets us a real shot at a top 8 seed?

 

[Xenomorph]

This thread is why we will get run ruled today.

 

[thekimmer]

That ship has SAILED. . . . .

Right. Not going to happen. We had a ample opportunities over weeks of conference play to win our way to a top 8 and couldn't do it. Four days in May is not going to move that mountain.

 

[Bulldog from Birth]

We’re only 32 point away from #9 Nebraska right now. And #8 USC is 1-10 in Q1 games so they’re a lot closer ti the hosting bubble than the top 8 seed bubble. If we win tomorrow we’re at least in the real conversation for a top 8 seed.

Georgia is going to leap frog us for sure though. So we really have to get to 7 in the current RPI ranking. There just isn’t a path to a Top 8 anymore.