Interesting exercise in decision making and cofirmation bias

[WhiteTailEER]

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...VREMARK&kwp_0=22769&kwp_4=168396&kwp_1=167199

I'll admit I got it wrong.

 

[bornaneer]

you big dummy.....

 

[op2]

I got it right but partly because considering the context in which the question was asked I figured that simply doubling each previous number seemed too obvious. It gave us that 2,4,8 was true. I tried 1,2,4 and it said yes. I tried 4,8,16 and it said yes. Then I tried 2,4,9 and it said yes. Then I tried 100, 1000, 1001 and it said yes.

I don't know why they used this for an example of confirmation bias though. I think there are lots better out there.

 

[WhiteTailEER]

I got it right but partly because considering the context in which the question was asked I figured that simply doubling each previous number seemed too obvious. It gave us that 2,4,8 was true. I tried 1,2,4 and it said yes. I tried 4,8,16 and it said yes. Then I tried 2,4,9 and it said yes. Then I tried 100, 1000, 1001 and it said yes.

I don't know why they used this for an example of confirmation bias though. I think there are lots better out there.

I did 1,2,4 then 4,8,16 then 3,6,12 essentially only trying the things that fit what I already thought it was. In my head, if was as simple as I thought it was, then the 3,6,12 would work, but if it was more complicated it wouldn't. Didn't really occur to me that it would be even SIMPLER than that.