How many games will Rutgers win?

[RU_bhustlin]

Here are my guesses on win probabilities, giving Rutgers 4 wins this year. Agree/disagree?

Win Prob
H Washington 0.05
H E Michigan 0.98
H Morgan State 0.98
A Nebraska 0.2
H OSU 0.05
A Illinois 0.5
H Purdue 0.65
A Michigan 0.02
H Maryland 0.5
A PSU 0.1
A Indiana 0.4
H MSU 0.2
Wins = 4.63

 

[bigmatt718]

Here are my guesses on win probabilities, giving Rutgers 4 wins this year. Agree/disagree?

Win Prob
H Washington 0.05
H E Michigan 0.98
H Morgan State 0.98
A Nebraska 0.2
H OSU 0.05
A Illinois 0.5
H Purdue 0.65
A Michigan 0.02
H Maryland 0.5
A PSU 0.1
A Indiana 0.4
H MSU 0.2
Wins = 4.63

I think 4 or 5 wins. Just curious why the percentage for Michigan is lower than OSU. Is the fact that it's a road game factored in? I think we win EMU, Morgan State, Illinois, Purdue and at least 1 of Maryland/Indy/Sparty. Just think Sparty is going to be down this year just like last with all the off field stuff going on there.

 

[ScarletDave]

5 wins would be a bowl which would be huge for this program so that people can shut up a little bit. It's not how you want to get there but can be a big deal for Ash & co. I agree, EMU (closer game than people think), Morgan St, Purdue, and then you need 2 of UMD (Yankee), Illinois, home MSU, Indiana (road). I could see that last MSU game being for a bowl. I could also see us having one in hand sooner. If Grant & Gio stay healthy it's not unreasonable. We were a stepped-on ankle and 6 seconds away from having 4 wins last year and that was with the Drew Meringher Offense. We can get 5 this year.

 

[TommyB17]

5 wins would be a bowl which would be huge for this program so that people can shut up a little bit. It's not how you want to get there but can be a big deal for Ash & co. I agree, EMU (closer game than people think), Morgan St, Purdue, and then you need 2 of UMD (Yankee), Illinois, home MSU, Indiana (road). I could see that last MSU game being for a bowl. I could also see us having one in hand sooner. If Grant & Gio stay healthy it's not unreasonable. We were a stepped-on ankle and 6 seconds away from having 4 wins last year and that was with the Drew Meringher Offense. We can get 5 this year.

Very intelligent perspective!!

 

[RUInFlorida]

Did a recent poll on this. Out of around 200 who responded, 3-9 narrowly came out ahead. 4-8 was a close second.

https://rutgers.forums.rivals.com/threads/predict-rutgers-footballs-2017-record.122011/#post-2697062

 

[Rokodesh]

6 wins

 

[DJ Spanky]

I put the range between zero and fifteen.

 

[RUInFlorida]

6 wins

That would be an incredible turnaround.

 

[Caliknight]

Same amount as last year. Only we look slightly better doing it.

Next year I might pay attention to the scores. Probably year 4 though.

 

[Waldo73]

I am looking at 3 wins, with losses being closer games than last year.

 

[RUforester72]

6 wins.

 

[superfan01]

3-9

 

[Bamm Bamm Rubble]

9 wins

 

[RUchip]

5 wins would be a bowl which would be huge for this program so that people can shut up a little bit. It's not how you want to get there but can be a big deal for Ash & co. I agree, EMU (closer game than people think), Morgan St, Purdue, and then you need 2 of UMD (Yankee), Illinois, home MSU, Indiana (road). I could see that last MSU game being for a bowl. I could also see us having one in hand sooner. If Grant & Gio stay healthy it's not unreasonable. We were a stepped-on ankle and 6 seconds away from having 4 wins last year and that was with the Drew Meringher Offense. We can get 5 this year.

We nor any other team in college football deserve a bowl with a losing record. Not to mention 5 wins would not guarantee a bowl.

 

[RU05]

5 wins.

Mitchell's injury takes away a bit of my optimism, but I see this team much better then last year.

 

[RU05]

Same amount as last year. Only we look slightly better doing it.

Next year I might pay attention to the scores. Probably year 4 though.

Imo, another 2 win season would be a major disappointment. Can't be losing to Purdue at home.

 

[NYCFootballFan]

I am looking at 3 wins, with losses being closer games than last year.

I agree, we will beat Morgan State, have a close win over E. Michigan and possibly pull an upset over Purdue or Illinois. Other than that I don't see how we can pull off wins against the rest of the schedule. The sky isn't falling, but I don't like looking up these days.

 

[soundcrib]

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