I'm guessing he is somewhere between 9 and 11 ppg. That's essentially between Paul and Cliff's production last season.
This is probably a good guess.
Paul was at 9.0
Clif 11.9
Geo 12.9
The part most people miss is comparisons to prior years or the wider CBB/CFB landscape when making predictions.
For example - so many people said "Pacheco needs to get a minimum 20 carries a game" when less than 10 RBs nationally got that many carries as an average.
Or the "RHJ will should score a minimum of 20pts a game" when only 2-3 players in the Big Ten score that much usually.
I think I started a thread on this last year (or maybe minutes).
I should do another one and get consensus thought.