For clarity purposes here is what I mean. The structure itself does not appreciate. The location does. If I build a million dollarsl home on an island nobody can get to it's worthless. If I build it on a desirable lot in a booming community, it will appreciate.
A house is falling apart from the day it is built. If demand stayed constant the value would track inflationary pressures within the home construction industry for a few years now matter what. But once it starts:
A. Falling in disrepair
B. Falling out of style
C. Not meeting current building expectations
It either begins to depreciate or you have to start pumping money into it to just to get it to appreciate again.
Think of it this way. The most a house can be worth is what it costs to rebuild it. If it's 20 years old it's not worth quite as much as newly built home of similar quality. No the land it sits on can skyrocket.
My home was built on out in a cow pasture 15 miles from civilization 35 years ago. The lots were selling for $10k or so. Fast forward to today, we are in the middle of the fastest growing city in the country with huge lots. Builders are paying 50+ times the original lot value to tear down the house and build monsters. In that case, the house actually has negative value because of the demo costs.
This is a really interesting analysis. I’ve never thought of it that way, but it makes sense. However, you’ve also got to factor in that you need to live somewhere. So there’s going to be basic costs associated with that, through either mortgage and repairs, or rent. At least with the mortgage and repair costs you own the asset.
Houses can most definitely be good investments, and you can make a lot of money buying and selling them. But, like most things, you make the money during the buying process. I sold a house last year that I had owned for 9 years. I sold it for 107% more than I paid for it. The land value had not increased much at all, maybe 20%? But, I stole the house when I bought it. So, I’m not sure how much it was appreciation of the asset, and how much was dumb luck and good timing.
But, to your broader point, owning a house can also be a money pit. The new house I bought after selling that house was a significant upgrade in terms of land value, size and quality of the house itself, etc. And I was there less than two weeks before I had to significant work done on one of the central units. I also had to replace pool liner and pool pump within first 6 months. That’s money I’ll never get back in the sell.