Good stats/analysis : Iowa vs. MSU

[bulldognation]

This goes into waaaaay too much detail. But I eat this sort of stuff up in the long run-up to the bowl.

https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/matchup/2019-outback-bowl-iowa-mississippi-state/

Numbers wise, we look very similar. MSU has the edge due to defense.

Based on the figures, MSU should win by a TD.... something like a 24-17 or 27-20 type of game.

 

[Ranchdawg]

Excellent site. I, too, enjoying seeing the data as well. Guess it comes with being an engineer.

 

[TheStateUofMS]

I don't see Iowa scoring 20 or 17 on us. If it's close: MSU 17-10. If it's lopsided, MSU 27-7.

 

[bulldogbaja]

How many touchdowns have we given up this year? Like 12, all year? After playing three NY6 teams along with the usual compliment of the SECW schedule.

 

[Trojanbulldog19]

i certainly don't expect them to be able to score more than 10. i think the defense holds their TD's allowed to current number. i'm guessing maybe a few field goals. If their defense lives up to their ranking, which i'm still suspect, I'm guessing we score in the teens. Maybe low 20s. May be a 9-3 game. Just depends on how good their defense really is. Penn State scored 30, Purdue 38, Nebraska 28, Minnesota 31, Wisconsin 28. They did hold Maryland to 0, Iowa State to 3, Northwestern to 14. That was Iowa State's lowest score all season. That may be just on the fact the Big 12 defenses that Iowa State were non existent this season. it isimpressive that they did hold those 3 down in scoring. I'm not as impressed with a blowout win over Illinois or Indiana. We had two games of opponents score in the 20s. Both of those being an anomaly with lots of penalties or convenient non fumbles according to the refs. They've allowed 3 games of allowing 20+ more than us. Wisconsin not ranked, Minnesota not ranked, Nebraska not ranked. They never got blown out by anyone. Largest loss was to Wisconsin at home. In those losses, They lost to teams with decent to good passers. We tended to pass better against teams who didn't pass rush great and didn't have all american db's. I don't think they have that considering teams that passed well beat them. that Maryland blowout perplexes me, although some teams just get blown out in the big 10 for no reason.

 

[RocketDawg]

How many touchdowns have we given up this year? Like 12, all year? After playing three NY6 teams along with the usual compliment of the SECW schedule.

And the 12 counts the 1-yard drive after the interception (LSU game, I think). That TD was really on the offense. As I recall, Fitz had 3 or 4 interceptions in that game.

 

[NWADawg]

I find it interesting that black birds throw the ball more often and with a higher completion percentage but we have higher yards per play and points per play.