This is right. There is a point there that's a theoretical maximum penalty on scholarships and bowl bans. They CAN NOT hit them as hard as their structure says they will. I think we see them somewhat follow the structure, but redistribute the load so to speak...
So instead of taking 70 scholarships, they extend the probation length to the longest we've seen. Instead of taking so many years of bowls, they take more financial penalties and go harsher on the back penalties. We're going to see very long show causes handed down to every coach name involved IMO.
I'd love to see a half dozen years worth of pure forfeits rather than the toothless "vacated games" penalty I'm expecting. THAT would be an incredibly harsh penalty. The greatest of anything they could hand OM in the overall test of time.