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Gambling Week 2

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itseasyas1-2-3

All-Conference
Sep 6, 2021
9,805
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113
Hugo_Stiglitz7 said:
Their starting QB is out, too.
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I know Rising, the nice Utah QB didn't play against Florida. Don't know if he is ready or not, (torn ACL 8-9 months ago), but Utah held a decent Florida team to 13 yards rushing. The Utah backup QB played pretty well filling in.

At the end of the day, its college football and about anything can happen. That's what makes it fun.
 
I

itseasyas1-2-3

All-Conference
Sep 6, 2021
9,805
2,137
113
king_kong_ said:
UTEP -2

1-0 in best plays so far!
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Thanks kong.

So I have Tuco with Oregon -6.5 and you have UTEP -2. If scarlet has a top pick and posts it before Friday night @ 6pm, I'll play the 3 teamer for the room.

**Edit. It has to be a spread play, no over/unders.**
 
K

king_kong_

Redshirt
Nov 3, 2021
24,413
4
0
TampaBaySkers said:
Vegas has really overacted due to week one games.. lots of money to be made this week
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I LOVE JMU this week, mostly because Virginia is Rutgers-level bad

Staying away from ILL-KU tomorrow but if forced to pick I’d take the Jayhawks. ILL were lucky to squeak by their MAC opponent at home as 9.5 point favorites last week. They stink

Both those lines look spot on to me
 
I

itseasyas1-2-3

All-Conference
Sep 6, 2021
9,805
2,137
113
TampaBaySkers said:
Vegas has really overacted due to week one games.. lots of money to be made this week
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Good point.

Like I said earlier this week, Vegas has about 1/3 of the teams overrated, 1/3 underrated, and about 1/3 just right.
Lots of top teams haven't played a real opponent yet. Vegas definitely is making corrections this week

The underrated teams appear to be CU, FSU, WASH., WASH ST., WYO., N. ILL., ORE ST., UTAH, TOLEDO, HOUSTON, NEBR.
(This group could actually have 3 Top Ten schools in it: Fla St/Wash/Utah (when Rising starts).

The overrated teams appear to be ILL., TEM., PUR., VA., BC., S. CAR., W. F., AF, OKIE ST.,
J. MAD., T. TECH., MARSH., BOISE, TCU, ASU., BAY., NW.

The teams they seem to have about right are PENN ST., GA TECH, UTEP., LOUIS., FLA INTL.

A lot of teams haven't played a real opponent yet, so this week provides some good bets if you can wash them out.
 
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ridge22

Junior
Oct 19, 2004
1,895
343
0
Georgia Southern -7 GSU 6-0 last 6 as non con favs
Cal +6.5 9-0 as non con dogs last 9 years
Oklahoma -15.5 10-2 non con favs less than 21
Cincy +7 Pitt 0-10 favs of more than 3 in 2nd of BB home games
Texas Tech +6.5 Tech is 15-1 as a home dog of more than 4 pts after ATS loss
 
K

king_kong_

Redshirt
Nov 3, 2021
24,413
4
0
ridge22 said:
Georgia Southern -7 GSU 6-0 last 6 as non con favs
Cal +6.5 9-0 as non con dogs last 9 years
Oklahoma -15.5 10-2 non con favs less than 21
Cincy +7 Pitt 0-10 favs of more than 3 in 2nd of BB home games
Texas Tech +6.5 Tech is 15-1 as a home dog of more than 4 pts after ATS loss
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I LOVE that Cal pick

I'm too weak to put it in, but that's the other line on this week's slate beside oregon that is just screaming RAT at first glance
 
Scott559

Scott559

Heisman
Mar 16, 2010
3,098
10,141
113
Iowa vs ISU 36.5. Under
Illinois ML
UTEP vs Northwestern 40.0 Under
Oregon -6.5 cover
 
L

leodisflowers

Senior
Feb 25, 2011
14,801
808
0
ridge22 said:
Georgia Southern -7 GSU 6-0 last 6 as non con favs
Cal +6.5 9-0 as non con dogs last 9 years
Oklahoma -15.5 10-2 non con favs less than 21
Cincy +7 Pitt 0-10 favs of more than 3 in 2nd of BB home games
Texas Tech +6.5 Tech is 15-1 as a home dog of more than 4 pts after ATS loss
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I'm liking that OU game more and more, just don't ****** trust Venables at all.
 
RealTucoSalamanca

RealTucoSalamanca

Heisman
Aug 18, 2016
16,632
10,906
113
ridge22 said:
Georgia Southern -7 GSU 6-0 last 6 as non con favs
Cal +6.5 9-0 as non con dogs last 9 years
Oklahoma -15.5 10-2 non con favs less than 21
Cincy +7 Pitt 0-10 favs of more than 3 in 2nd of BB home games
Texas Tech +6.5 Tech is 15-1 as a home dog of more than 4 pts after ATS loss
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How is Texas Tech as a home dog of more than 4 points after a SU loss as a double digit road favorite?
 
I

itseasyas1-2-3

All-Conference
Sep 6, 2021
9,805
2,137
113
king_kong_ said:
I LOVE that Cal pick

I'm too weak to put it in, but that's the other line on this week's slate beside oregon that is just screaming RAT at first glance
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A combined 50-3 is pretty tough to play against. Even though my 3 team parlay will not include any of those 3 teams, I would be more inclined to play the 25-0 teams such as GA Southern, Cal, and Cincy.

That's why my interest is in 3-4-5-6 team parlays initially vs the spread.

When you have an asymmetrical info advantage, the odds should be in your favor. As long as you can come up with 1-2 teams in West Coast play, you always have a chance to hedge your bets the deeper you get in the parlay. That's why I do cascade wagers.

Despite being what some/many may think what could be a dumbass move, I can see some 8-9-10 team parlays when things get more clear.

I may not hit one this year, but for $ 100.00 and a $ 72K payoff, I'm unlikely to resist taking a few shots at it.

If you can accurately assess low risk/high benefit, the right numbers can work for you.

Since I'm a football wagering newbie and conducting an experiment, I plan to find out. LOL
 
S

SuperBigFan

Redshirt
Jun 10, 2021
7,267
0
0
itseasyas1-2-3 said:
A combined 50-3 is pretty tough to play against. Even though my 3 team parlay will not include any of those 3 teams, I would be more inclined to play the 25-0 teams such as GA Southern, Cal, and Cincy.

That's why my interest is in 3-4-5-6 team parlays initially vs the spread.

When you have an asymmetrical info advantage, the odds should be in your favor. As long as you can come up with 1-2 teams in West Coast play, you always have a chance to hedge your bets the deeper you get in the parlay. That's why I do cascade wagers.

Despite being what some/many may think what could be a dumbass move, I can see some 8-9-10 team parlays when things get more clear.

I may not hit one this year, but for $ 100.00 and a $ 72K payoff, I'm unlikely to resist taking a few shots at it.

If you can accurately assess low risk/high benefit, the right numbers can work for you.

Since I'm a football wagering newbie and conducting an experiment, I plan to find out. LOL
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My god, you remind me of me when I first started betting CFB!

The most fun wagers. Riding back on Sunday from a Husker road trip with like 5-6 friends, we would all pick one NFL team and make it a parlay and listen to the games driving home. God help the person that lost if all the other games won!
 
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itseasyas1-2-3

All-Conference
Sep 6, 2021
9,805
2,137
113
SuperBigFan said:
My god, you remind me of me when I first started betting CFB!

The most fun wagers. Riding back on Sunday from a Husker road trip with like 5-6 friends, we would all pick one NFL team and make it a parlay and listen to the games driving home. God help the person that lost if all the other games won!
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The difference is I'm not relying on 5-6 friends to make my wagers. LOL

That's why you cats should have learned how to cascade wagers.

Not that it would happen, but in my world if 6 guys were picking games and one of them sucked, we would stop for a piss break at an interstate station, and only 5 of us would be in the car when we left.
 
S

SuperBigFan

Redshirt
Jun 10, 2021
7,267
0
0
itseasyas1-2-3 said:
The difference is I'm not relying on 5-6 friends to make my wagers. LOL

That's why you cats should have learned how to cascade wagers.

Not that it would happen, but in my world if 6 guys were picking games and one of them sucked, we would stop for a piss break at an interstate station, and only 5 of us would be in the car when we left.
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Trust me...it has almost come to that! Haha
 
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K_Y_E

Junior
Sep 9, 2018
1,469
267
0
We lose to Colorado this weekend. I’ve never been more sure of a bet in my life. Ok maybe when we play Michigan this year. Bet the farm.
 
S

SuperBigFan

Redshirt
Jun 10, 2021
7,267
0
0
K_Y_E said:
We lose to Colorado this weekend. I’ve never been more sure of a bet in my life. Ok maybe when we play Michigan this year. Bet the farm.
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Do you or have you ever placed a bet as a reverse jinx?

I have! This sounds like that.
 
K

K_Y_E

Junior
Sep 9, 2018
1,469
267
0
TampaBaySkers said:
Luckily for you all you own is an ant farm so you’ll recover
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True, it’s a small farm, but still. I’d love to be wrong but I just don’t see how we win. Bad matchup, on the road, bad o line, qb who clearly has issues with turnovers, continued penalties etc…. I can’t stand Deion and beating his *** at home would be a nice step for us.
 
K

K_Y_E

Junior
Sep 9, 2018
1,469
267
0
king_kong_ said:
we shall see
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Given our many faults, if I would’ve seen Sims really sling it I’d feel different. He is our biggest liability on top of all our other problems. I don’t think CU is that good though. They will be lucky to get to a bowl no matter what happens this weekend, imo.
 
K

king_kong_

Redshirt
Nov 3, 2021
24,413
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0
K_Y_E said:
Given our many faults, if I would’ve seen Sims really sling it I’d feel different. He is our biggest liability on top of all our other problems. I don’t think CU is that good though. They will be lucky to get to a bowl no matter what happens this weekend, imo.
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he has slung it in the past
 
RealTucoSalamanca

RealTucoSalamanca

Heisman
Aug 18, 2016
16,632
10,906
113
itseasyas1-2-3 said:
Not to jump in here, but T Tech lost on the road favored by -13.5, and is now -6.0 dog at home. My guess.
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Sorry, I wasn't clear. What I meant is what is Texas Tech's record coming off a SU loss when they were a double digit road favorite. The poster I quoted showed what Tech was as a home dog, coming off an ATS loss. That isn't a deep enough trend, IMHO. For example Tech could have been a 10 point favorite, but only won the game by 7. That would qualify for the trend that the poster used to justify taking Tech.
 
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