Gambling thoughts...

[missouridawg]

I led you astray last week and for that, I apologize. Bert and the hogs just weren’t up to the challenge of the 1-7 Chanticleers.

But Im back to make that wrong a right. Texas A+M hosts New Mexico. They are 19 Point favorites. aTm is bringing back Nick Starkle as the starter. Starkly got a couple of series against Bama, Us, and Auburn and looked significantly better than Mond in those spot series. Why it has taken until now to start him, is beyond me. But Starkle is going to lead aTm to a 30 Point rout of an overmatched opponent.

Enjoy.

 

[BiscuitEater]

Starkly got a couple of series against Bama, Us, and Auburn and looked significantly better than Mond in those spot series. Why it has taken until now to start him, is beyond me. But Starkle is going to lead aTm to a 30 Point rout of an overmatched opponent.

Especially enjoyed the 90 yard TD completion to Jamal Peters. Oh wait ..

 

[missouridawg]

Especially enjoyed the 90 yard TD completion to Jamal Peters. Oh wait ..

Over the course of 2 series, Starkle gained about half of aTms yards against us. That pick was bad but he was shaking off some rust. Their offense looks completely different with him under center.

 

[thatsbaseball]

I have some good news for State fans !

1) I am convinced Bama will cover easily against us.

2) As much as I watch and love college football, I am THE WORST at picking games against the spread in the free world. Enjoy !

 

[tatedog]

Believe it or not State has been one of the more popular "smart money" sides this year in college football. They like us again this week.

You might have just been a week early on Arkansas. They were looking ahead to LSU, which is the game on their schedule they take the most seriously.

 

[missouridawg]

Believe it or not State has been one of the more popular "smart money" sides this year in college football. They like us again this week.

You might have just been a week early on Arkansas. They were looking ahead to LSU, which is the game on their schedule they take the most seriously.

My trend on logic this year has been about coaches who want their fanbase to get off their back... and blow out wins is how that occurs. After Berts comeback against OM, I thought he had enough momentum to just run it down Coastal Carolina and have the D hold em to less than 14. I was way way way wrong last week.

Even though Fallica took New Mexico this week, I still think people aren’t appropriately valuing the return of a healthy, test driven Nick Starkle. Watching him throw against us for two series, even though one was a pick six.... the offense looked entirely different with how quick he made decisions and got the ball out. I think Sumlin is in a spot to where he will run up the score with Starkle and use this huge win as a way to explain away the losses with Mond.

 

[tatedog]

Along the lines of that logic, what do you think about Texas Tech at Baylor? KK is now in the top 10 of the coach's hot seat rankings and he's facing a Baylor team that has given up points by the bucket full to anybody with a pulse this season. He badly needs a win to settle the natives.

 

[patdog]

Agree about Starkle vs. Mond. I know it was garbage time, but they were a completely different offense with him at QB.

 

[missouridawg]

Along the lines of that logic, what do you think about Texas Tech at Baylor? KK is now in the top 10 of the coach's hot seat rankings and he's facing a Baylor team that has given up points by the bucket full to anybody with a pulse this season. He badly needs a win to settle the natives.

The key to my logic is finding a team that is overmatched up and down the roster. Baylor has a lot of losses, but they’ve been competitive in several of them, keeping scores close. TTech can run up the score with anyone in the country, but I’m not sure they’re good enough to do it on Baylor. We all have talked about TN, UF, OM, aTm, and Arky looking for new coaches.... TTech is likely headed that way too.

There isn’t one player on New Mexico that Sumlin would start at aTm. That’s why I like Starkle and Co to go balls deep cause they’ve had a tough few weeks.

 

[tatedog]

Thanks. Always love to find out what others who bet the games are thinking about.

 

[missouridawg]

Agree about Starkle vs. Mond. I know it was garbage time, but they were a completely different offense with him at QB.

It was night and day different against us, as well as Auburn. Mond made the offense look like they were playing in quicksand. Starkle made it look incredibly fast. I texted a few aTm buddies afterwards and told them they should fire Sumlin solely for not rushing Starkle back.

 

[missouridawg]

Thanks. Always love to find out what others who bet the games are thinking about.

I love taking bout the spreads. Just hope I’m right more than I’m wrong!

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

Most of my picking sites are showing lots and lots of money going down on the Bammer.

I hope we disappoint a bunch of folks. I never bet on teams I care about.

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

I led you astray last week and for that, I apologize. Bert and the hogs just weren’t up to the challenge of the 1-7 Chanticleers.

But Im back to make that wrong a right. Texas A+M hosts New Mexico. They are 19 Point favorites. aTm is bringing back Nick Starkle as the starter. Starkly got a couple of series against Bama, Us, and Auburn and looked significantly better than Mond in those spot series. Why it has taken until now to start him, is beyond me. But Starkle is going to lead aTm to a 30 Point rout of an overmatched opponent.

Enjoy.

I don't believe you anymore.**

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

I love taking bout the spreads. Just hope I’m right more than I’m wrong!

I give you a bit of **** about the last two you put up, but I too like to hear what the SixPack say about the weekly picks.

 

[missouridawg]

I give you a bit of **** about the last two you put up, but I too like to hear what the SixPack say about the weekly picks.

Im 2 for my last 3! Mizzou, Mizzou, and Arky. I’m almost gave y’all Mizzou again cause I don’t TN can score with them.

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

I must have missed the others or gave you credit for the post saying UAB vs CCarolina was a sure pick.

It WAS great on paper as CC was winless going into the game.

I'm going with South Kerolina over FL.

 

[missouridawg]

I must have missed the others or gave you credit for the post saying UAB vs CCarolina was a sure pick.

It WAS great on paper as CC was winless going into the game.

I'm going with South Kerolina over FL.

Yea, the UAB one was a miss, for sure. But I’m only counting my individual posts here where I’m using the “get off the coaches back” logic. I throw 5-6 games out in the threads you’ve been starting and am treading slightly above .500 in those (I think).

 

[tatedog]

I must have missed the others or gave you credit for the post saying UAB vs CCarolina was a sure pick.

It WAS great on paper as CC was winless going into the game.

I'm going with South Kerolina over FL.

South Carolina is one that jumped at me as well. Muschamp is in a great spot to get revenge on his former employer. What worries me is that S Carolina can rarely be trusted to get the job done in obvious situations like this. They fell flat on their face in a revenge role against Kentucky earlier this season. That worries me.

eta: Based on the line/money moves in this game I might even end up going with Florida.

 

[Willow Grove Dawg]

Washington -6 Stanford
Georgia -2.5 Auburn
Notre Dame -3 Miami

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

South Carolina is one that jumped at me as well. Muschamp is in a great spot to get revenge on his former employer. What worries me is that S Carolina can rarely be trusted to get the job done in obvious situations like this. They fell flat on their face in a revenge role against Kentucky earlier this season. That worries me.

eta: Based on the line/money moves in this game I might even end up going with Florida.

https://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncf/teams/team161.html

 

[scdog1]

Consensus books are 90% bama cash and ticket count. Early sharp money was on state, drove the line down to 13 1/2, now moving back up. I never bet against my team but at 13 1/2 you gotta like bama.

 

[Center Z]

For all your gambling needs visit mybookie.ag. You play, you win, you get paid.

.

 

[ShrubDog]

Yall are a bunch of reckless bandits

 

[fishwater99]

CFB
STANFORD (+6.5) over #9 Washington
#21 IOWA ST. (+6.5) over #15 Oklahoma St.
#8 WISCONSIN (-12.5) over #20 Iowa
New Mexico (+18.5) over TEXAS A&M
#16 MISSISSIPPI ST. (+14.5) over #2 Alabama
#7 MIAMI FLA (+3.5) over #3 Notre Dame
#6 TCU (+7.5) over #5 OKLAHOMA

NFL
NY Jets (-2.5) over TAMPA BAY
JACKSONVILLE (-4.5) over LA Chargers
ATLANTA (-2.5) over Dallas

 

[tatedog]

Did you buy some half points? Haven't seen TCU getting 7.5 or Miami getting 3.5 anywhere.

 

[missouridawg]

Sometimes I give you Arkansas and sometimes I give you a 48-7 halftime lead. Starkle is going to allow them to beat OM as well as give LSU a lot of trouble.