Gamblers (MizzouDawg)

[RingN2012]

Anyone have any good picks today? I always see MizzouDawg making good picks and I need some help.
Anyone else, feel free to chime in. I was thinking FSU -1.5 over Mizzou

 

[missouridawg]

I like FSU, as well.

NMSU and CoC, too. Take the points.

 

[tatedog]

Congrats on retirement to those who took UMBC on the money line.

 

[missouridawg]

Congrats on retirement to those who took UMBC on the money line.

Only paid 25-1

 

[tatedog]

Only paid 25-1

The guy looking to invest his house proceeds would've done okay.

 

[jethreauxdawg]

Only paid 25-1

I'm not a gambler, is that about normal for a 1 vs 16 game? Seems low to me

 

[tatedog]

I'm not a gambler, is that about normal for a 1 vs 16 game? Seems low to me

Most casinos/books don't offer money lines on games beyond 15:1. If they do offer money lines beyond those odds, the max bet is likely to be capped relatively low. I'd guess books made a killing on this game because what little money they lost to any brave soul taking UMBC to win, they more than recouped with futures on UVA and UVA ML wagers.

 

[missouridawg]

I'm not a gambler, is that about normal for a 1 vs 16 game? Seems low to me

What Tatedog said about casinos is right but they always offer money lines on NCAAT games. Typically, those 16 vs 1 games are always around 20 or 25 to 1.

 

[ShrubDog]

The odds for the total number of #1 seeds in the final four were O1.5 (+150) U1.5(-190). Get your popcorn and extra butta.

If you wanted to play a #16 with better odds these are the plays

A #1 seed loses round of 64
Yes +1150
No -5000

Lowest seed to advance out of 64
12 (-140), 13 (+270), 14 (+290), 15 (+880), 16 (+4625)


Seed to win it all
1 (-135), 2 (+200) , 3 (+635) , 4 (+1245) , 5 (+2100) , 6 (+3100) , 7 (+4200) , 8 or Higher (+1800)

 

[RingN2012]

Talked myself out of FSU because I’m an idiot.
Any more today?

 

[missouridawg]

Talked myself out of FSU because I’m an idiot.
Any more today?

Im a favorites guys n the round of 32. Teams see the shocking upsets of round 1 and refocus.

Kansas, TN, and Michigan all cover today.

 

[VegasDawg13]

A #1 seed loses round of 64
Yes +1150

Lowest seed to advance out of 64
16 (+4625)

Am I missing something? Isn't that effectively the same bet with a drastically different payout?

 

[ShrubDog]

You lay down on those two odds and cover all 4-16’s instead of spreading it out across 4 or get lucky guessing. Pick your poison.

 

[o_dawgnabit]

Im a favorites guys n the round of 32. Teams see the shocking upsets of round 1 and refocus.

Kansas, TN, and Michigan all cover today.

I bet the Kansas cover. What a terrible beat....

 

[o_dawgnabit]

Not sure if y’all saw but we are a 6 point dog tomorrow against Baylor. I like us against that. We haven’t lost many games by more than six this year

 

[missouridawg]

I bet the Kansas cover. What a terrible beat....

Yep. TN was a dud bet, but the Kansas one was a brutal loss. I knew when the first three favorites of the day easily covered that my three bets were in trouble.

 

[ShrubDog]

This year has been unbelievable so far. Nothing is off the table.

 

[tatedog]

Sharps are hitting us over night. Down to 5'. Stanford +7' at Okie State looks inviting as well... a little too inviting.

 

[o_dawgnabit]

Not a good day for the picks...

 

[ShrubDog]

Yep

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