ESPN Matchup Predictor

zebnatto

All-Conference
May 7, 2008
5,071
3,818
0
Gives us a 7.1% chance at Purdue. I don't know what the moneyline translation would be, but 7.1% seems way low. Seems to me like the 20-25% range would be more like it.
 

PSAL_Hoops

Heisman
Feb 18, 2008
13,312
12,632
78
The victory against Illinois didn’t move their needle I guess. It was 6.7% yesterday before the game.
 

fluoxetine

Heisman
Nov 11, 2012
23,529
16,898
0
Lol 7.1%

Result like this is why you can never be data only. Real odds are obviously not that low
I think virtually every factor needed to accurately handicap these games is represented in available data. ESPNs problem is that is apparently uses the data in a stupid fashion; even Bart, which hates us this year, gives us 11%. My data only thing gives us 21%.
 

Rokodesh

Heisman
Aug 30, 2007
16,007
13,141
73
Gives us a 7.1% chance at Purdue. I don't know what the moneyline translation would be, but 7.1% seems way low. Seems to me like the 20-25% range would be more like it.
Yesterday against Illinois was 29% at home, but the spread only 4.

these don't mean anything lol.
 

RC1991

All-Conference
Jul 31, 2003
3,770
1,724
81
Gives us a 7.1% chance at Purdue. I don't know what the moneyline translation would be, but 7.1% seems way low. Seems to me like the 20-25% range would be more like it.
I believe they had Rutgers at 22% to beat Illinois. That’s why they play the games!!
 

RUJMM78

Heisman
Jul 25, 2001
26,213
12,474
113
All these predictions are no surprise based on Rutgers having a mediocre road record and other Big Ten teams were ranked higher than Rutgers for games at the RAC.The impact of the RAC crowd has been largely ignored.