DSA - How Will this Work?

Rahskie

Senior
Jul 5, 2002
567
597
93
I was curious as how health care for all, 32 day work weeks etc, would work. I went to 3 different AI's to see how much the US spends on "Social Programs" annually...not just big 3, but all of them. It is approaching $5T annually and was confirmed by multiple AI sources.....I had no idea it was this much. Is this for real?


CategoryApprox. annual outlays
Social Security~$1.6T
Medicare~$1.0T
Medicaid & CHIP + other health~$0.7T–$0.8T
Income security (SNAP, UI, tax credits, etc.)~$0.5T–$0.7T
Veterans’ benefits and services~$0.33T–$0.38T
Education, training, employment, social services (incl. Pell, other tuition aid)~$0.2T–$0.25T
Housing & community development (HUD, related)~$0.07T–$0.10T
Other smaller social/assistance programs~$0.2T–$0.3T

So my question is....will this go to $6T-$7T to pay for all of the programs the DSA wants? How in the freaking hell would this be paid for?
 

baltimorened

All-American
May 29, 2001
7,697
5,738
113
I was curious as how health care for all, 32 day work weeks etc, would work. I went to 3 different AI's to see how much the US spends on "Social Programs" annually...not just big 3, but all of them. It is approaching $5T annually and was confirmed by multiple AI sources.....I had no idea it was this much. Is this for real?


CategoryApprox. annual outlays
Social Security~$1.6T
Medicare~$1.0T
Medicaid & CHIP + other health~$0.7T–$0.8T
Income security (SNAP, UI, tax credits, etc.)~$0.5T–$0.7T
Veterans’ benefits and services~$0.33T–$0.38T
Education, training, employment, social services (incl. Pell, other tuition aid)~$0.2T–$0.25T
Housing & community development (HUD, related)~$0.07T–$0.10T
Other smaller social/assistance programs~$0.2T–$0.3T

So my question is....will this go to $6T-$7T to pay for all of the programs the DSA wants? How in the freaking hell would this be paid for?
you don't even have to go that far...we take in about $5.3 trillion in taxes...our healthcare in the US costs $5.3 trillion...

Now the DSA folks will tell us that we're going to tax the rich to pay for all the programs. What they don't tell you is at what income level is "rich" Biden had it at $400k....not sure how many Americans will go for that.

By the way the DSA advocates won't lay out exactly how they get to the $trillion in revenue they need...because they don't know
 

FLaw47

All-Conference
Dec 23, 2010
3,727
4,831
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I'm not DSA and I'm not really in favor of a single payer healthcare plan at this juncture. However, the math for this isn't actually that complicated and a lot of people are just being willfully stupid.

Taxes would absolutely to have to go up on basically everyone. However:
*Employers would no longer be paying for healthcare at the same rates. That can be replaced with a tax or with higher salaries for employees.
*People on employer health plans would no longer have private premiums, that goes to either a tax or premiums for your public plan

The idea is that most people would pay less in increased taxes than they'd save in premiums and healthcare expenditures. That likely would not be true for some well off people (likely to include myself) because having progressive income tax increases is an easy lever to pull.

Please do not move the goalposts and ask about how good of an idea this is or isn't, or if I think it's fair to the ScotchTigers of the world. I asked the question that was asked.

For the record I agree that the strongest advocates for this aren't being serious in describing how it'd precisely be paid for. Elizabeth Warren tried and was punished for it. But let's not pretend that hand waiving away details is unique to the DSA. I've yet to see a GOP tax cut paid for either on paper or in reality.
 

baltimorened

All-American
May 29, 2001
7,697
5,738
113
DSA accounts for 2% of Democrats in Congress so… I wouldn’t spend too much time worrying about their crazy policies.

As much as the GOP wants you to believe it, the DSA is actually not the face of the Democratic Party.
well, to be fair, the DSA really isn't the Democrat party...they had their own convention and they have their own platform, but they're running as democrats to get the money.

Only 2% of the Congress...think about this, the democrats take the house, they have 220 seats....2% of 435 (members of the house) is just a little under 9, so lets say 8....democrats can only afford to lose 4 votes in order to pass their legislation...can't do it without the DSA members. So, if I'm one of the deciding votes I can pretty much get whatever I want either added, subtracted or modified from the bill. In effect Democrat leaders could be held hostage by only 1/2 of the DSA members

You can bet that as long as these DSA members run as democrats, and the Democrat party supports them, that republicans will for sure paint the DSA as democrats and the face of the party.
 

scotchtiger

Heisman
Dec 15, 2005
134,964
22,831
113
I'm not DSA and I'm not really in favor of a single payer healthcare plan at this juncture. However, the math for this isn't actually that complicated and a lot of people are just being willfully stupid.

Taxes would absolutely to have to go up on basically everyone. However:
*Employers would no longer be paying for healthcare at the same rates. That can be replaced with a tax or with higher salaries for employees.
*People on employer health plans would no longer have private premiums, that goes to either a tax or premiums for your public plan

The idea is that most people would pay less in increased taxes than they'd save in premiums and healthcare expenditures. That likely would not be true for some well off people (likely to include myself) because having progressive income tax increases is an easy lever to pull.

Please do not move the goalposts and ask about how good of an idea this is or isn't, or if I think it's fair to the ScotchTigers of the world. I asked the question that was asked.

For the record I agree that the strongest advocates for this aren't being serious in describing how it'd precisely be paid for. Elizabeth Warren tried and was punished for it. But let's not pretend that hand waiving away details is unique to the DSA. I've yet to see a GOP tax cut paid for either on paper or in reality.

I think the math is more complicated than you suggest.

*Employers would no longer be paying for healthcare at the same rates. That can be replaced with a tax or with higher salaries for employees.

Employee health insurance premiums and employee wages have completely different tax implications. Insurance premiums are more tax efficient and also don't require FICA match, for example. Employees will have to pay income and FICA taxes on the additional income. And will the feds mandate this automatic compensation increase for everyone?

A replacement tax might actually make more sense. I assume it would have to be a flat tax amount per employee. But implementing this would have its own challenges. Employers offer widely ranging levels of benefits today. How rich is the plan, what is the mix of PPO/HDHP/etc, what are the deductibles, what is the employee % of premium, etc. How do you implement a tax across all employers that adequately accounts for all of these variables? Do you tell employers offering modest benefits "too bad, pay more" and employers offering rich benefits "congrats on the raise?"

*People on employer health plans would no longer have private premiums, that goes to either a tax or premiums for your public plan

Not exactly. Nearly every scenario I've seen would still require supplemental insurance to reach equivalent coverage seen in better employer plans.

Please do not move the goalposts and ask about how good of an idea this is or isn't, or if I think it's fair to the ScotchTigers of the world. I asked the question that was asked.

It's quite obviously not fair to the scotchtigers of the world. Massive amounts of premium cost will be shifted to the top tax brackets. On top of that, I don't think it would actually improve health outcomes in the US. We need changes FAR beyond who pays the premiums to do that.
 

BelemNole

Heisman
Mar 29, 2002
37,104
10,968
113
I think the math is more complicated than you suggest.

*Employers would no longer be paying for healthcare at the same rates. That can be replaced with a tax or with higher salaries for employees.

Employee health insurance premiums and employee wages have completely different tax implications. Insurance premiums are more tax efficient and also don't require FICA match, for example. Employees will have to pay income and FICA taxes on the additional income. And will the feds mandate this automatic compensation increase for everyone?

A replacement tax might actually make more sense. I assume it would have to be a flat tax amount per employee. But implementing this would have its own challenges. Employers offer widely ranging levels of benefits today. How rich is the plan, what is the mix of PPO/HDHP/etc, what are the deductibles, what is the employee % of premium, etc. How do you implement a tax across all employers that adequately accounts for all of these variables? Do you tell employers offering modest benefits "too bad, pay more" and employers offering rich benefits "congrats on the raise?"

*People on employer health plans would no longer have private premiums, that goes to either a tax or premiums for your public plan

Not exactly. Nearly every scenario I've seen would still require supplemental insurance to reach equivalent coverage seen in better employer plans.

Please do not move the goalposts and ask about how good of an idea this is or isn't, or if I think it's fair to the ScotchTigers of the world. I asked the question that was asked.

It's quite obviously not fair to the scotchtigers of the world. Massive amounts of premium cost will be shifted to the top tax brackets. On top of that, I don't think it would actually improve health outcomes in the US. We need changes FAR beyond who pays the premiums to do that.
Republicans: We're the greatest country in the world!

Also republicans: That thing most the other countries in the world manage to pull off? Yeah, impossible here.
 

Jerome Silberman

All-American
Dec 19, 2022
3,116
7,022
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Is this the part where everyone from moderate independents to the Christian nationalists and all the libertarians in between demand internet nobodies explain how the 15 DNSers in Congress will be able to get their ideas fully implemented while also giving the GOP the longest of leashes and an evergreen benefit of the doubt?
 

tarheelbybirth1

Heisman
Jul 4, 2025
5,197
15,263
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we pay 1.5X what any other country spends on health care...for our unique system that doesn't deliver better results

but sure...there's no way to afford what every other country does for much less
 
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FLaw47

All-Conference
Dec 23, 2010
3,727
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I think the math is more complicated than you suggest.

*Employers would no longer be paying for healthcare at the same rates. That can be replaced with a tax or with higher salaries for employees.

Employee health insurance premiums and employee wages have completely different tax implications. Insurance premiums are more tax efficient and also don't require FICA match, for example. Employees will have to pay income and FICA taxes on the additional income. And will the feds mandate this automatic compensation increase for everyone?

A replacement tax might actually make more sense. I assume it would have to be a flat tax amount per employee. But implementing this would have its own challenges. Employers offer widely ranging levels of benefits today. How rich is the plan, what is the mix of PPO/HDHP/etc, what are the deductibles, what is the employee % of premium, etc. How do you implement a tax across all employers that adequately accounts for all of these variables? Do you tell employers offering modest benefits "too bad, pay more" and employers offering rich benefits "congrats on the raise?"

*People on employer health plans would no longer have private premiums, that goes to either a tax or premiums for your public plan

Not exactly. Nearly every scenario I've seen would still require supplemental insurance to reach equivalent coverage seen in better employer plans.

Please do not move the goalposts and ask about how good of an idea this is or isn't, or if I think it's fair to the ScotchTigers of the world. I asked the question that was asked.

It's quite obviously not fair to the scotchtigers of the world. Massive amounts of premium cost will be shifted to the top tax brackets. On top of that, I don't think it would actually improve health outcomes in the US. We need changes FAR beyond who pays the premiums to do that.

The specifics are complicated, the principles are not. It's not some magically impossible thing to handle.
 

GesterHawk

Heisman
Jan 3, 2023
20,507
39,882
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Is this the part where everyone from moderate independents to the Christian nationalists and all the libertarians in between demand internet nobodies explain how the 15 DNSers in Congress will be able to get their ideas fully implemented while also giving the GOP the longest of leashes and an evergreen benefit of the doubt?
Tom Cruise GIF
 
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Rahskie

Senior
Jul 5, 2002
567
597
93
I'm not DSA and I'm not really in favor of a single payer healthcare plan at this juncture. However, the math for this isn't actually that complicated and a lot of people are just being willfully stupid.

Taxes would absolutely to have to go up on basically everyone. However:
*Employers would no longer be paying for healthcare at the same rates. That can be replaced with a tax or with higher salaries for employees.
*People on employer health plans would no longer have private premiums, that goes to either a tax or premiums for your public plan

The idea is that most people would pay less in increased taxes than they'd save in premiums and healthcare expenditures. That likely would not be true for some well off people (likely to include myself) because having progressive income tax increases is an easy lever to pull.

Please do not move the goalposts and ask about how good of an idea this is or isn't, or if I think it's fair to the ScotchTigers of the world. I asked the question that was asked.

For the record I agree that the strongest advocates for this aren't being serious in describing how it'd precisely be paid for. Elizabeth Warren tried and was punished for it. But let's not pretend that hand waiving away details is unique to the DSA. I've yet to see a GOP tax cut paid for either on paper or in reality.
Taxes go up on everyone? How does that make things more affordable for those who cannot afford the things they want now? 32 hour work weeks? How are people going to afford to get the things they want AND pay more taxes if they are working less? This is MUCH larger than just health care. We spend almost $5T on social programs today....that number will have to go up a lot. I suspect the number would be closer to $7-8T to keep what we have today and enable these other programs.

I asked AI how much money the government would raise by raising taxes of people making over $50K (eliminates the $20/hr workers) and Corporate rates to 50%. Still wouldn't get there.


**Still no — not even close.**

Here’s the updated arithmetic with the broader base you suggested.

### 1. Higher taxes on everyone making over $50,000
This group is much larger — roughly **70–80 million** tax returns (a big chunk of the working and middle class, not just high earners).

CBO-style scoring shows that a broad surtax or rate increase starting at this level raises substantially more money than one starting at $100k:

- A **1-percentage-point** surtax on AGI above roughly $20k–$40k (married) is scored at about **$1.5 trillion over 10 years** (~$150 billion per year).
- Starting the surtax higher (around $50k–$100k) still produces large sums. Aggressive multi-point rate hikes across this broad base could realistically raise **$400–800+ billion per year** under optimistic static assumptions.

This is real money, but it hits tens of millions of ordinary dual-income households, teachers, nurses, skilled tradespeople, small business owners, etc.

### 2. Corporate tax rate to 50%
Current rate is 21%. Raising it all the way to 50% is extreme by modern standards (most developed countries are in the 15–30% range).

- Raising the rate from 21% to 35% is typically scored at roughly **$200–250 billion per year**.
- Going further to 50% would raise more on paper, but the incremental revenue diminishes sharply because of strong behavioral responses (less investment, profit shifting, reduced economic activity). Realistic dynamic estimates put the total new revenue from a jump to 50% in the **$300–450 billion per year** range at best — and quite possibly less once the economy shrinks.

### Combined optimistic revenue
Even stacking the most favorable static numbers:

- Broad individual tax increases on >$50k: ~$500–800 billion/year
- Corporate rate to 50%: ~$350–450 billion/year

**Total new revenue: roughly $850 billion – $1.25 trillion per year.**

### Cost of the programs
Medicare for All alone is still estimated in the **$2.5–4+ trillion per year** range in new federal spending. Adding large-scale affordable housing, expanded child care, free college, and other DSA priorities pushes the total well higher.

**$850 billion – $1.25 trillion in new taxes does not cover a $3 trillion (or larger) annual spending increase.**

### Key realities
- These tax changes would be extremely broad and economically damaging. A 50% corporate rate would be among the highest in the developed world and would strongly discourage investment and hiring in the United States.
- Dynamic effects (people and companies changing behavior) would reduce the actual revenue collected below the static estimates.
- Even under the most generous assumptions, you are still short by **$1.5–3 trillion per year** for the core Medicare for All agenda alone.

The gap remains very large. Closing it would require either much steeper and broader tax increases (hitting lower into the middle class) or accepting permanently higher deficits on top of the already large existing social spending.
 
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TC_Nole_OX

All-American
Mar 29, 2002
253,124
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DSA victories just caused Super PAC groups to dump 650,000 dollars into a race in a congressional district that contains parts of all three South Florida counties

Oliver Larkin DSA

 

TC_Nole_OX

All-American
Mar 29, 2002
253,124
8,288
113
DSA candidate running in tomorrow’s election in heavily gerrymandered Tennessee. Jim Crow 2.0 features elections on a Thursday

 

FLaw47

All-Conference
Dec 23, 2010
3,727
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Taxes go up on everyone? How does that make things more affordable for those who cannot afford the things they want now? 32 hour work weeks? How are people going to afford to get the things they want AND pay more taxes if they are working less? This is MUCH larger than just health care. We spend almost $5T on social programs today....that number will have to go up a lot. I suspect the number would be closer to $7-8T to keep what we have today and enable these other programs.

I asked AI how much money the government would raise by raising taxes of people making over $50K (eliminates the $20/hr workers) and Corporate rates to 50%. Still wouldn't get there.


**Still no — not even close.**

Here’s the updated arithmetic with the broader base you suggested.

### 1. Higher taxes on everyone making over $50,000
This group is much larger — roughly **70–80 million** tax returns (a big chunk of the working and middle class, not just high earners).

CBO-style scoring shows that a broad surtax or rate increase starting at this level raises substantially more money than one starting at $100k:

- A **1-percentage-point** surtax on AGI above roughly $20k–$40k (married) is scored at about **$1.5 trillion over 10 years** (~$150 billion per year).
- Starting the surtax higher (around $50k–$100k) still produces large sums. Aggressive multi-point rate hikes across this broad base could realistically raise **$400–800+ billion per year** under optimistic static assumptions.

This is real money, but it hits tens of millions of ordinary dual-income households, teachers, nurses, skilled tradespeople, small business owners, etc.

### 2. Corporate tax rate to 50%
Current rate is 21%. Raising it all the way to 50% is extreme by modern standards (most developed countries are in the 15–30% range).

- Raising the rate from 21% to 35% is typically scored at roughly **$200–250 billion per year**.
- Going further to 50% would raise more on paper, but the incremental revenue diminishes sharply because of strong behavioral responses (less investment, profit shifting, reduced economic activity). Realistic dynamic estimates put the total new revenue from a jump to 50% in the **$300–450 billion per year** range at best — and quite possibly less once the economy shrinks.

### Combined optimistic revenue
Even stacking the most favorable static numbers:

- Broad individual tax increases on >$50k: ~$500–800 billion/year
- Corporate rate to 50%: ~$350–450 billion/year

**Total new revenue: roughly $850 billion – $1.25 trillion per year.**

### Cost of the programs
Medicare for All alone is still estimated in the **$2.5–4+ trillion per year** range in new federal spending. Adding large-scale affordable housing, expanded child care, free college, and other DSA priorities pushes the total well higher.

**$850 billion – $1.25 trillion in new taxes does not cover a $3 trillion (or larger) annual spending increase.**

### Key realities
- These tax changes would be extremely broad and economically damaging. A 50% corporate rate would be among the highest in the developed world and would strongly discourage investment and hiring in the United States.
- Dynamic effects (people and companies changing behavior) would reduce the actual revenue collected below the static estimates.
- Even under the most generous assumptions, you are still short by **$1.5–3 trillion per year** for the core Medicare for All agenda alone.

The gap remains very large. Closing it would require either much steeper and broader tax increases (hitting lower into the middle class) or accepting permanently higher deficits on top of the already large existing social spending.

That's a big response for someone who didn't bother comprehending what I wrote.
 

fatpiggy

Heisman
Aug 18, 2002
26,102
25,068
113
DSA accounts for 2% of Democrats in Congress so… I wouldn’t spend too much time worrying about their crazy policies.

As much as the GOP wants you to believe it, the DSA is actually not the face of the Democratic Party.
It’s just 2%


It’s a disease bro. It’s going to spread because people will vote themselves free things.

Democrats would be wise not to caucus with the socialists. It will backfire tremendously.


I started the “call them what they are thread” and the DSA was a figment of my imagination I was told by the lefties. Now it’s “only 2%”



It’s like a disease without any cure. People never stop voting themselves free stuff.
 

fatpiggy

Heisman
Aug 18, 2002
26,102
25,068
113
Republicans: We're the greatest country in the world!

Also republicans: That thing most the other countries in the world manage to pull off? Yeah, impossible here.
What other country are you talking about?

Is this another Finland is so great thread? No, no they are not

We just need to so socialism the right way 🙄
 

Rifler

All-American
Jan 26, 2011
5,478
6,326
113
OP seems blissfully unaware that the rest of the developed world has already figured out how to make it work.

Having government sponsored health care is one thing,... Having it "work" is another thing,... Having it work to a level that would satisfy what most Americans have become accustomed to, is yet another totally separate thing on top of everything else.
 

Moral

Heisman
Dec 16, 2022
10,670
38,901
113
Having government sponsored health care is one thing,... Having it "work" is another thing,... Having it work to a level that would satisfy what most Americans have become accustomed to, is yet another totally separate thing on top of everything else.

The US has 27 million uninsured people, our healthcare costs double other developed nations, the US trails those nations in life expectancy, we by far lead the world in medical bankruptcies, and we have people that avoid care because of costs. No politician outside of the US advocates for their nation to have a system like ours. Our system is like fear porn for some people.
 

Rahskie

Senior
Jul 5, 2002
567
597
93
OP seems blissfully unaware that the rest of the developed world has already figured out how to make it work.
I am not saying it cannot be done, it's just that the US is much, much harder (expensive) than other countries that have done this due to population. Also, DSA is proposing much more than just healthcare for all so the costs would be astronomical.
  • U.S. population is currently ~343 million.
  • Most European countries with universal systems are much smaller: Germany ~84 million, France ~68 million, UK ~68 million, Canada ~41 million, Sweden ~10 million, etc.
Finally I doubt those other countries are spending at the levels of social program spending that the US is today. We wonder why we have deficit spending when we spend the MAJORITY of tax revenues on social programs already today.


Fiscal YearSocial Program Spending (Human Resources)Total Federal Tax Revenues / ReceiptsSocial Spending as % of Revenues
2020$4.34$3.42127%
2021$4.81$4.05119%
2022$4.71$4.9096%
2023$4.16$4.4494%
2024$4.55$4.9292%
2025$4.71$5.2490%
 

Rifler

All-American
Jan 26, 2011
5,478
6,326
113
The US has 27 million uninsured people, our healthcare costs double other developed nations, the US trails those nations in life expectancy, we by far lead the world in medical bankruptcies, and we have people that avoid care because of costs. No politician outside of the US advocates for their nation to have a system like ours. Our system is like fear porn for some people.

While certainly expensive, our healthcare system works quite well for a majority of working Americans,... Replacing it with a single payer system covering everyone that provides the same level of services to those same working Americans will be difficult and likely even more expensive,... It will become a choice between cutting services or spending more.
 
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