Double bye is out

[615dawg]

We are currently tied with Missouri for the No. 6 seed. They have the tiebreaker because they beat Tennessee, so we are the No. 7 seed if the tournament started now.

Win over LSU and we will be the No. 6 seed. Missouri playing Arkansas basically guarantees we will be in a two way tie with Missouri for 6th or a three way tie for fifth with Missouri and Arkansas. We lose tiebreakers to Missouri and win them over Arkansas.

Lose to LSU and we could be in a 5-way tie for sixth, in which we would be 3rd in the tiebreak so the No. 8 seed. The highest seed we can be with a loss to LSU would be No. 7 and that would involve South Carolina beating LSU tonight.

So, we will likely be the No. 6, No, 7 or No. 8 seed in the SEC Tournament.

If Ole Miss beats Kentucky, we could get the No. 5 seed with a win over LSU, a Florida win over Kentucky and a Missouri win over Arkansas.

 

[00Dawg]

Okay, so if we assume 6...

That puts us playing the winner of likely TAMU and Vandy. TAMU's RPI is 28, and beating them twice would give us a solid bubble edge, so we should hope for that matchup.
Up next is likely UF, with an RPI in the mid-40's, so not a lot of help there, but a win would give us another quality victory.
After that would be a rematch with UT...that would likely be win or NIT.

 

[57stratdawg]

TAM is @ UGA & LSU is @ South Carolina tonight. Those seem like our
last likely opponent on Thursday in St Louis.

It looks like we’re going to need 24 wins to get an at large bid.

 

[FlotownDawg]

We’re not getting an at large bid. That ended last night. Same situation as in 2010. We’re on the bubble and suffer a blowout home loss to Tennessee on senior night to end our chances. Just hope we win the SEC Tournament and if we don’t, enjoy the NIT. Any postseason basketball is good for the program after the past six years of hell.

 

[gymdawg.sixpack]

Disagree. You arent considering the committee's desire to put 7 sec teams in. If bama and txam tank and we make tge finals we're in

 

[the dog is on the loose]

I just can't understand how we can go on the road and beat TA&M but get blown out at home. Not just lose to tenn but get blown out.

 

[57stratdawg]

Probably. But wins 23 and 24 could be Group 1 and 2 wins for us. Seems like that would put us back on the bubble, but I’m not sure which side.

 

[klong-dog]

Matchup's. Plus we played our worst game of the season and Tenn played one of their best.

 

[msstate7]

I just can't understand how we can go on the road and beat TA&M but get blown out at home. Not just lose to tenn but get blown out.

We’re fortunate aTm didn’t keep just going to Davis and Williams. They were 13-17 in FGs... dominant.
Fortunately for us, Hogg and starks kept on shooting instead of going inside

 

[FlotownDawg]

Does the committee have a desire to put 7 SEC teams in? What makes you say that? The committee has said over and over that they don't look at conference affiliation when choosing teams to put in. You can believe that or not, but that's what they say. I know bracketology is fun, but I don't put much stock in it, because at the end of the day, it's one man's opinion. The committee releases one bracket, and that's the one on Selection Sunday. The committee has shown time and time again they will punish a team that plays a weak non-conference schedule. Many teams have been left out of the tournament with the non-conference schedule reasoning. That's why I think we won't get in. Perhaps tournament victories over Auburn, Kentucky and Tennessee will put us back in contention, but that's the only possible hope, and even then, I think it's a slim one. I'm not getting my hopes up, that's for sure.

 

[Drebin]

Disagree. You arent considering the committee's desire to put 7 sec teams in. If bama and txam tank and we make tge finals we're in

Not this **** again.

The only chance we have of making the tournament now is winning the SEC tournament. Let it go.

 

[patdog]

You arent considering the committee's desire to put 7 sec teams in.

There's a very good reason he's not considering that. It doesn't exist. The committee's desire is to put the 68 best teams in the tournament. If that's 5 SEC teams or 10, that's just what it will be.

 

[DAWG61]

I just can't understand how we can go on the road and beat TA&M but get blown out at home. Not just lose to tenn but get blown out.

Schofield and Williams were that dominant. If we play Tenn again we have to find a way to get both of them in foul trouble. We can't beat Tenn this year if those two guys stay in the game. They go through our players at will.