Derby thoughts?

[Vek96]

…..I’m a huge horse racing fan. I’ve been following the sport since going to to Turfway Park for the first time in 1982 when I was 16.

This years Oaks, and Derby is the most wide open in the same year as I can ever remember. Just wondering if any of you are have any thoughts on these two races.

 

[Titpwhahi2014]

I’m going with Commandment and So Happy. Still trying to figure out the other two for my superfecta.

I’m not a fan of Renegade. Small horse and drew the dreaded 1 post. Which means he’s likely winning tomorrow haha.

 

[Vek96]

I’m going with Commandment and So Happy. Still trying to figure out the other two for my superfecta.

I’m not a fan of Renegade. Small horse and drew the dreaded 1 post. Which means he’s likely winning tomorrow haha.

I was lukewarm on Renegade before he drew the 1 post. Considering, he hasn’t broken sharply in any of his starts to date, I’m going to exclude him. I like both Commandment and So Happy. I’ll use them in a lot of my wagers. I really like Further Ado. I also like Emerging Market and Puma.

Tough race to call, but I have a feeling that Further Ado will be a major player.

 

[Monday Nitro]

I feel bad for Right to Party.

I bet he doesn't sleep til' Brooklyn.

What does "front lameness" mean, anyway? Bad wheel ?

 

[Glenn's Take]

I like Commandment. The 1 post isn't the death penalty like it was in the past since they got the new starting gate but I still don't think much of Renegade.

 

[UKBB4Ever]

…..I’m a huge horse racing fan. I’ve been following the sport since going to to Turfway Park for the first time in 1982 when I was 16.

This years Oaks, and Derby is the most wide open in the same year as I can ever remember. Just wondering if any of you are have any thoughts on these two races.

We are there now.

I agree on the openness this year. I usually bet $100 to win on one horse. In addition to other bets.

There’s not one I’m betting that on this year.

I do think Renegade is the best horse. But the 1 hole is tough.

Baffert has 2 horses. I never not bet Baffert.

There’s a Curlin son and that’s a weakness for me. I just have to bet them.

I like So Happy. I’ll probably put the most on him.

We love Churchill and all the trappings.

The Oaks under the lights for the first time.

 

[TeamAmerica]

tri Commandment, The Puma, Further Ado.

 

[The Nightman2]

Love So Happy's story.. watch out for Great White

 

[theBlues]

The favorites will probably be Renegade and Further Ado. I don't like Further Ado because Irad Ortiz opted off for Renegade and I don't like him because of the #1 post and recent heel problems. Further Ado looks like the best horse on paper but Irad Ortiz, Jr. doens't get off very many winners.

I like a couple longshots:

#14 Potente is 20/1 morning line and only has 3 races with no Grade 1 wins yet but he's gotten better each race and is a $2.4mil yearling trained by Baffert and ridden by the top California jockey Hernandez.

#15 Emerging Market, a 15/1 morning line horse, only has 2 races but won both and a repeat of the last race would put him near the lead, ridden by the great Flavian Pratt.

I'd say both are too lightly raced to be a likely winner but I won't leave either out of my trifectas.

 

[gobigblue812_rivals29381]

Golden Tempo

 

[UKBB4Ever]

Golden Tempo

Curlin son. I already bet him.

 

[theBlues]

Golden Tempo

Jockey Jose Ortiz is insanely hot right now; just won the Kentucky Oaks and that was about his 6th win of the day. I didn't think most of his winners today had much chance.

 

[rick64]

 

[gobigblue812_rivals29381]

Not surprising. People leave sporting events early all of the time.

 

[TheApostleSaulSmith]

It’s barbaric, decadent and depraved.

 

[WildcatfaninOhio]

Casual racing fan. As in, I watch the triple crown races each year. That's it. I might put some money on one of the grays, Pavlovian.

I'll also watch with interest as one of the most talented bands on earth, The Tedeschi Trucks Band, plays the national anthem before the derby.

 

[TeamAmerica]

The Puma scratched

 

[UKJenning]

Who you got?

 

[ukypug]

Danon Bourbon

 

[AllBall]

…..I’m a huge horse racing fan. I’ve been following the sport since going to to Turfway Park for the first time in 1982 when I was 16.

This years Oaks, and Derby is the most wide open in the same year as I can ever remember. Just wondering if any of you are have any thoughts on these two races.

Trifecta box: Further Ado, Commandment, Renegade.

Chief Wallabee to win on separate bet

 

[UKBB4Ever]

I’m betting several. But the more I learn about Further Ado the more I like him to win this.

 

[UKJenning]

I just placed a bet on six-speed

 

[Vek96]

Trifecta box: Further Ado, Commandment, Renegade.

Chief Wallabee to win on separate bet

Trifecta box: Further Ado, Commandment, Renegade.

Chief Wallabee to win on separate bet

The more I look at Chief Wallabee, the more I like him. I think Further Ado wins, but I’m going to bet on CW to win also.

 

[Madhuvan]

Golden Tempo

 

[Rainmaker]

I was lukewarm on Renegade before he drew the 1 post. Considering, he hasn’t broken sharply in any of his starts to date, I’m going to exclude him. I like both Commandment and So Happy. I’ll use them in a lot of my wagers. I really like Further Ado. I also like Emerging Market and Puma.

Tough race to call, but I have a feeling that Further Ado will be a major player.

Emerging market-15
Chief Wallabee 12
Further Ado- 18
So happy- 8
Renegade- 1
Great white- 21

 

[megablue]

Emerging Market is my pick

 

[Madhuvan]

There’s a Curlin son and that’s a weakness for me. I just have to bet them.

Bernardini on the bottom side. My pick.

 

[Beatle Bum]

It’s a nice highlight for Kentucky. The race is always exciting. That said, lived most of my life in Kentucky and I don’t care.

 

[BC_Wader]

Bet $5 across on Potente. And $5 to win on So Happy. I'm not a horse junkie and this race is usually a crap shoot anyway.

 

[theBlues]

It’s barbaric, decadent and depraved.

Thanks for reminding me; I forgot to reread the greatest sports related article ever written.

 

[Artlaibesghost]

Chief Wallaby

 

[theBlues]

I've had a terrible Derby day so far but I loaded up on Potente and Emerging Market on top of some trifectas and exactas. I feel good about my two horses. They each have one of the top 4 American trainers and one of the top 4 American jockeys; no other horse in the race can say that.

 

[Monday Nitro]

I'll run through a wall if Great White bests them all.

 

[Drogon]

Lets go 38-1 odds!!!

 

[Drogon]

LFG. That was exciting!!!

 

[BC_Wader]

First female trainer to win the Derby. So happy for that lady!

 

[Monday Nitro]

Gamblers burn money again, lol.

 

[theBlues]

Oaks/Derby double for Jose Ortiz; he's been crazy hot; can't keep him out of the exacta no matter what he rides.

 

[rick64]

What a finish!! Jockey brothers finish 1st and 2nd.

 

[theBlues]

What a finish!! Jockey brothers finish 1st and 2nd.

They do that a lot; maybe the top 2 jockeys in the country. The only legit reason to have bet the winner was the jockey.

One interesting thing I noticed: the 3rd place horse was only 22/1 but it seems like he should have been 99/1. He was a $12k yearling purchase who was still a maiden in 6 races with only one second in a cheap maiden race and just won a half million dollars with a 3rd place finish.