Damn Irma now a Cat 5

[57stratdawg]

NFL having a call this morning to determine if Miami / Tampa Bay should be postponed or relocated.

 

[jethreauxdawg]

The liberty bowl is dry enough. Come on over.

 

[MaroonCrusader]

FIU and UCF games might be postponed too

 

[SwampDawg]

Let's hope it continues to turn off to the right and miss us and Florida. Looks like Florida doesn't have much of a chance though. Damn, a Cat 4 maybe 5 right up the middle.

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

Gfs trended back east some. It's going to be difficult to get this one to miss everyone unfortunately.

View attachment 7786

 

[rem101]

We really need that cold front to come through and push it over some.

 

[57stratdawg]

Looks like there is another one coming right behind it.

 

[Msubulldogfan1]

Irma is a monster. Prayers for Florida. If it takes the same path hurricane Donna did in 1960, they're 17ed.

 

[Dawg1976]

I don't wish anything bad on FL, but I hope it stays out of the Gulf.

 

[57stratdawg]

I'm hoping it kicks out east of Florida. If it gets into the Gulf, it's going to be a nightmare.

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

It's going to be a fish storm. No threat to anyone

 

[Hugh's Burner Phone]

Air Force recon flight just found 185mph surface winds. Normally, hurricanes can't maintain this level of intensity for prolonged periods of time. Hoping Irma starts to weaken before it gets close to land. Of course weaken is a relative term here.

 

[RocketDawg]

Air Force recon flight just found 185mph surface winds. Normally, hurricanes can't maintain this level of intensity for prolonged periods of time. Hoping Irma starts to weaken before it gets close to land. Of course weaken is a relative term here.

If I recall correctly, Camille was 200+, and Katrina may have been. Irma still has time to intensify, and if it gets in the Gulf it's Katie bar the door with the hot water there.

 

[Hugh's Burner Phone]

If I recall correctly, Camille was 200+, and Katrina may have been. Irma still has time to intensify, and if it gets in the Gulf it's Katie bar the door with the hot water there.

Camille officially had max sustained at 190, but it broke all the anemometers. Highest I remember sustained on Katrina was 175, but it weakened right before landfall.

 

[GhostOfJackie]

Gfs trended back east some. It's going to be difficult to get this one to miss everyone unfortunately.

View attachment 7786

It's not a trend until the euro catches up with it. Euro still showing it in the gulf with a landfall on the West Coast of Florida.

ETA: Euro now agrees. This is bad news for Miami area. Maybe the worst news they could get.

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

Camille officially had max sustained at 190, but it broke all the anemometers. Highest I remember sustained on Katrina was 175, but it weakened right before landfall.

This is correct from what I have read. Camille hit her peak right at the impact and some wind speeds gusted over 200 and then broke the instruments.

Irma looks just like Katrina did at its peak and then it went down to 135 at landfall, but it was a huge storm and spread water and wind over a very large area.

From what I have seen and heard there is nothing to bring Irma's intensity down except eye wall reconstruction phases. And... there is warmer water in front of it with no upper-level shear.

If it follows the GFS path out now, the entire east side of Florida will be a shambles because the eye will never stay completely inland as it churns north towards Savanah or SC. If that happens, it will lose little power because the right side will stay over water and continue to feed the storm.

If it goes more west before the turn you have a similar scenario with the west side of Florida.

All in all, a nightmare scenario for the entire state. I hate to even imagine the possible loss of lives and total destruction dollars.

 

[tbaydog]

I don't wish anything bad on FL, but I hope it stays out of the Gulf.

I live in Tampa and thats my thought too. Stay the hell out of the Gulf.

 

[TheStateUofMS]

Live in Orlando here. Hoping this one takes the track of the one last year where it churned about 40-50miles offshore, maybe closer on wobbles, but as far as I can remember, there was no widespread catastrophic damage.

 

[Shmuley]

185 at the surface creates hellacious surge. That's the death knell.

 

[mcdawg22]

No water or gas here outside of Pensacola already. I'm all for preparedness but damn.

 

[1msudawg]

Canadian models have it coming into the gulf. Good Lord I hope not. Also there is a new tropical depression that is being forcast to become a tropical storm in the gulf just off the coast of Mexico. There could be 2 major storms in the gulf at the same time.

 

[RocketDawg]

No water or gas here outside of Pensacola already. I'm all for preparedness but damn.

TWC just showed gas lines in Miami. They are very, very long.

 

[T-TownDawgg]

If that monster is 960 mb now with 185 mph winds, and they project 943 mb just off Orlando, Ho Lee Chit, this may be the worst storm in a 50 years to hit US

 

[DerHntr]

I live in Tampa and thats my thought too. Stay the hell out of the Gulf.

Godspeed to you tbaydog. If it follows the most updated path, I hope you are somewhere in Alabama when it does.

 

[WrappedinMaroon&White]

Folks in S. Fl having trouble finding gasoline to evacuate. Shortages left over from Harvey. Not a lot of gas pipelines in FL - everything is brought in via tanker. Not an optimal scenario.

 

[harrydawg.sixpack]

I was told last week by someone who really follows this stuff that 4 barges with thousands of gallons of fuel each were used to deplete coastal tanks in Galveston (before Harvey). Those tankers were moved down the coast to Pensacola. The thought was to protect those assets and provide fuel to the FL and east coast in case of a shortage caused by Harvey.....thought that was cool. I really hopes this helps FL fuel up......let's pray for the best.

 

[Shamoan]

This one is going to wreck ****. Get out fl dawgs, bears, eagles, gators, noles, canes, bulls, knights, and everything between.

 

[patdog]

I'm afraid I agree with you on this one. Could easily be in the Katrina, Camille, Galveston category.

 

[katfsh]

We are at Disney with a flight scheduled to leave sat evening. Watching close trying to decide when we need to pull out.

 

[MaroonCrusader]

FIU/Alcorn St Canceled.
FSU/ULM moved to Noon in Tallahassee
UF/N. Colorado will be updated tomorrow

 

[Hugh's Burner Phone]

Latest track has it going right up the center of FL. I don't think it'll be as strong as it is now, but that will still cause massive amounts of damage.

 

[kired]

There's a couple from Tupelo stuck in St Thomas on their honeymoon... should receive an almost direct hit today. Thoughts & prayers to them. I can't imagine being in something like this.

 

[thatsbaseball]

The latest track tells me the NHC is still not quite sure where it's going and wants the entire state to stay on alert...which I think is very smart for the present. Both the Euro and GFS are leaning east...massive puckering starting in the Carolinas this AM. This storm could still end up surprising everyone..... best to stay vigilant.

 

[MaroonNation]

Hurricanes-proof from God you should never get married during football season.

 

[Lettucexxxx]

canceled

 

[patdog]

That's actually probably better than going up either coast of FL. Maybe the Everglades can absorb some of the surge. It's going to be real bad no matter where it goes though.

 

[coach66]

Starting to look like Florida will be spared the worst.

nm

 

[RocketDawg]

Not so sure about that. If it runs up the east coast it'll still be devastating for all those huge population centers. And the central pressure has dropped again ... down to 912 now. Still at 185.

 

[UpTheMiddlex3Punt]

Track is trending east. My money on the 11PM forecast is that the center of the prediction line will miss Florida. It will still have a lot of winds and could make a mess in South Carolina.

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

Not so sure about that. If it runs up the east coast it'll still be devastating for all those huge population centers. And the central pressure has dropped again ... down to 912 now. Still at 185.

Riding north on the Gulf Stream with the center just offshore will be a nightmare for any coastal areas on the Atlantic side. The storm surge will be crazy and it will not lose strength till far inland in Georgia, SC or NC. Storm surge is the killer.

The beach erosion alone will cripple the tourism trade from Miami to Jacksonville.