Covid 5.0

Status
Not open for further replies.
Jan 9, 2011
932
316
0
That is correct. We have some natural advantages here in Nebraska, in that we have two small cities that do not experience a ton of international travel, and a huge rural state. That will "probably" help us flatten our curve.
And the disadvantage is that rural hospitals are extremely vulnerable because they are under equipped and under staffed. Many already operate in the red. Even if the virus itself doesn't hit rural areas as hard as big cities, the fallout could have devastating long-term consequences for the rural health system.
 

mwulf

All-Conference
Dec 15, 2013
8,787
1,641
0
I don't think it's a garbage article, but we keep hearing all of this doom and gloom that has yet to materialize... I guess the worst can still happen, but outside of Lincoln and Omaha there are only like 20 confirmed cases. I agree with all of the numbers that folks are posting if we hit the worst case senario, but we aren't there yet as are many states. With millions probably already being affected and dealing with it at home I don't quite think the mass hospitalization is going to be the ginormous problem we are making it out to be. I'm probably entirely wrong, I'm still just waiting for this to materialize to the levels a lot experts in this field keep projecting.
Thing is the numbers we are seeing today are a result of 14+ days ago. Hopefully with people distancing the numbers in 2 weeks take a decline
 

HamptonHusker

Redshirt
Feb 4, 2004
94
6
28
Is it possible to trade DudsSuds to the UCF board? I would take Mikesi back in a heartbeat over this "'world is ending" BS...
 
Aug 27, 2006
27,799
5,563
0
There is a pattern developing here....certain people associated with a certain political side of the isle keep making it sound like the sky is falling. I wonder why? What could their end game possibly be? Is it possible they want to make it seem like it's the worst thing that's ever happened in the hopes that blame can be laid mostly at one persons feet for an event that's coming in November? Or is that a "wild conspiracy theory"?
 

dinglefritz

Heisman
Jan 14, 2011
51,592
13,018
78
https://www.ft.com/content/5ff6469a-6dd8-11ea-89df-41bea055720b - I have no idea how this works, how long it would take or anything. Maybe @dinglefritz could weigh in, but it sounds like we really need to beef up antibody testing to actually see the magnitude. Now that probably brings in another layer of red tape, but it sounds like in Britain and other countries that there has been a mystery "flu" going around and no one could put their finger on it. Probably has been Corona the entire time and not as doom and gloom as people say.
We're a ways away from worrying about doing serology to ascertain population immunity. Right now we have too much to do trying to take care of sick people whether it's from CV or other issues. I doubt the "mystery flu" was CV. Maybe in late December and early January that would have been possible but not before that. We would have recognized in hindsight the lung lesions radiographically IMO. I think it is likely we had cases here in late very late December that weren't diagnosed.
 

GBRforLife1

Redshirt
Feb 18, 2020
13,913
3
38
There is a pattern developing here....certain people associated with a certain political side of the isle keep making it sound like the sky is falling. I wonder why? What could their end game possibly be? Is it possible they want to make it seem like it's the worst thing that's ever happened in the hopes that blame can be laid mostly at one persons feet for an event that's coming in November? Or is that a "wild conspiracy theory"?

I have tried to keep politics out of it.
 

leodisflowers

Senior
Feb 25, 2011
14,801
808
0
We're a ways away from worrying about doing serology to ascertain population immunity. Right now we have too much to do trying to take care of sick people whether it's from CV or other issues. I doubt the "mystery flu" was CV. Maybe in late December and early January that would have been possible but not before that. We would have recognized in hindsight the lung lesions radiographically IMO. I think it is likely we had cases here in late very late December that weren't diagnosed.

Good insight. That's why I tagged you as you know a lot about this. This mystery flu I am referencing was happening a lot in the January/February time frame so it makes me curious, but don't have much insight about it. Thanks for all of your info in these threads. Good stuff.
 

dinglefritz

Heisman
Jan 14, 2011
51,592
13,018
78
There is a pattern developing here....certain people associated with a certain political side of the isle keep making it sound like the sky is falling. I wonder why? What could their end game possibly be? Is it possible they want to make it seem like it's the worst thing that's ever happened in the hopes that blame can be laid mostly at one persons feet for an event that's coming in November? Or is that a "wild conspiracy theory"?
This is a very very bad situation but with the steps that have been taken we'll get through this. It's very ugly in New York right now and their heatlhcare systems are stretched incredibly. A HUGE problem is going to be having enough healthy medical staffers to take care of patients. You take the influenza burden and then add in 10X as many CV patients to that mix and you've got a problem in a given area. The other thing is that just because new cases start to slow that doesn't mean that the healthcare system is out of the woods. This is going to provide terrible strain on our healthcare system and workers for months. No the sky isn't falling but even with the measures we've taken, it will just be a matter of maybe not having a bunch of people die at home in some locations because we couldn't deliver care.
 

dinglefritz

Heisman
Jan 14, 2011
51,592
13,018
78
Good insight. That's why I tagged you as you know a lot about this. This mystery flu I am referencing was happening a lot in the January/February time frame so it makes me curious, but don't have much insight about it. Thanks for all of your info in these threads. Good stuff.
I'm reading much of the same reports as everybody else but I have quite a bit of background education to know what it really means. Dudsnsuds is way over the top and I think he's continuing down that road for political reasons. Even suggesting that he read the LA Times article on this topic from a Nobel prize winning biophysicist didn't slow his roll. Yes this is a terrible deal but the administration is doing what needs to be done. That said, I do fear tremendously for our country because of what this is doing to our economy. People have to eat and the government can't support us all. This isn't going to end when we get past the new case peak around the end of May. I'll be surprised if we're able to resume sporting events this fall in a normal fashion.
 

NorthwoodHusker

Sophomore
Jun 20, 2019
3,526
156
0
This is the biggest garbage article ever. Somehow over 10% of the state is all going to be in hospital at the same time? Wrong. This is negligent and irresponsible.
At 100% infection rate, 10-20% need greater care. How many cases already that wont make it 100% because they already have it before 100% do?
 

50Front

Freshman
May 4, 2011
253
60
0
So a shortage of masks during a crisis that became obvious at least 2.5 months ago is the fault of the president who left office over 3 years ago, based on a pandemic that happened 11 years ago?

Why didn't we start prepping for this in January? As well as test kits? Ventilators? That Obama's fault, too? If the stockpile needed to be replenished to prepare for a pandemic, and that actually mattered to this administration, wouldn't that have been done already?

Linking fiery garbage like Breitbart and Fox News says a lot.

Let me post Breitbart sources you little dipsh*t.

The Washington Examiner, citing Bloomberg News and the Los Angeles Times, reported Monday that the Obama administration used millions of N95 masks in the fight against the H1N1 virus in 2009, but did not replace them.
Phucking LA Times is your bible. Did you see the Pandemic coming??? Did ya? Where did you pick up your ventilator and test kit in advance of the Pandemic? You're looking back in hindsight like you're some kind of genius.

Now try reading the John Hopkins study. We were as prepared as we could have been considering the dumpster fire we inherited.

The former senior director for counterproliferation and biodefense at the NSC, Tim Morrison said:

"It is true that the Trump administration has seen fit to shrink the NSC staff. But the bloat that occurred under the previous administration clearly needed a correction," he continued.
Morrison explained that "one such move at the NSC was to create the counterproliferation and biodefense directorate, which was the result of consolidating three directorates into one, given the obvious overlap between arms control and nonproliferation, weapons of mass destruction terrorism, and global health and biodefense."

He added, "It is this reorganization that critics have misconstrued or intentionally misrepresented. If anything, the combined directorate was stronger because related expertise could be commingled."
You're such a dumbphuck. Disingenuous...a fake.
 

NorthwoodHusker

Sophomore
Jun 20, 2019
3,526
156
0
This is a very very bad situation but with the steps that have been taken we'll get through this. It's very ugly in New York right now and their heatlhcare systems are stretched incredibly. A HUGE problem is going to be having enough healthy medical staffers to take care of patients. You take the influenza burden and then add in 10X as many CV patients to that mix and you've got a problem in a given area. The other thing is that just because new cases start to slow that doesn't mean that the healthcare system is out of the woods. This is going to provide terrible strain on our healthcare system and workers for months. No the sky isn't falling but even with the measures we've taken, it will just be a matter of maybe not having a bunch of people die at home in some locations because we couldn't deliver care.
Mixing typical flu with wuhan wont work.
Just look at typical seasonal flu periods, the typical flus are dying out.
 

dinglefritz

Heisman
Jan 14, 2011
51,592
13,018
78
And the disadvantage is that rural hospitals are extremely vulnerable because they are under equipped and under staffed. Many already operate in the red. Even if the virus itself doesn't hit rural areas as hard as big cities, the fallout could have devastating long-term consequences for the rural health system.
Right now Beadle county South Dakota has11 positive cases. They have confirmed community spread. The county's population is just over 17K. IF they double cases every couple of days like other places have and do it for 2 weeks, that could amount easily to over 300 hundred cases. The county seat Huron's population is I think around 11k.

Now we've got COVID-19 in an assisted living complex in Blair. Things are getting real in our area.
 

Harry Caray

All-American
Feb 28, 2002
71,001
7,232
113
Nebraska is not Italy or New York City.

Washington State had several severe outbreaks in Nursing Homes a few weeks back. Their curve has since been flattening. There is no serious person who believes Nebraska will have hundreds of thousands of cases after the social distancing measures that have been taken.
 

dinglefritz

Heisman
Jan 14, 2011
51,592
13,018
78
Mixing typical flu with wuhan wont work.
Just look at typical seasonal flu periods, the typical flus are dying out.
The typical flus are not "dying out". Flu is still going strong ironically the social distancing thing is going to help that deal immensely as well. The nursing home in my area was already on lockdown before the CV because of influenza. I have a friend diagnosed with influenza B 2 weeks ago after babysitting his grandkids. He's got a secondary bacterial pneumonia to boot but so far has avoided the hospital. It helps that a good friend of his is a pulmonologist.
 

dinglefritz

Heisman
Jan 14, 2011
51,592
13,018
78
Let me post Breitbart sources

The Washington Examiner, citing Bloomberg News and the Los Angeles Times, reported Monday that the Obama administration used millions of N95 masks in the fight against the H1N1 virus in 2009, but did not replace them.
Phucking LA Times is your bible. Did you see the Pandemic coming??? Did ya? Where did you pick up your ventilator and test kit in advance of the Pandemic? You're looking back in hindsight like you're some kind of genius.

Now try reading the John Hopkins study. We were as prepared as we could have been considering the dumpster fire we inherited.

The former senior director for counterproliferation and biodefense at the NSC, Tim Morrison said:

"It is true that the Trump administration has seen fit to shrink the NSC staff. But the bloat that occurred under the previous administration clearly needed a correction," he continued.
Morrison explained that "one such move at the NSC was to create the counterproliferation and biodefense directorate, which was the result of consolidating three directorates into one, given the obvious overlap between arms control and nonproliferation, weapons of mass destruction terrorism, and global health and biodefense."

He added, "It is this reorganization that critics have misconstrued or intentionally misrepresented. If anything, the combined directorate was stronger because related expertise could be commingled."
.​
play nice or you'll be unable to refute his nonsense in the near future.
 

HUSKERFAN66

All-Conference
Dec 8, 2004
21,241
3,580
113
So a shortage of masks during a crisis that became obvious at least 2.5 months ago is the fault of the president who left office over 3 years ago, based on a pandemic that happened 11 years ago?

Why didn't we start prepping for this in January? As well as test kits? Ventilators? That Obama's fault, too? If the stockpile needed to be replenished to prepare for a pandemic, and that actually mattered to this administration, wouldn't that have been done already?

Linking fiery garbage like Breitbart and Fox News says a lot.
Easy now. Wouldn't call Fox news necessarily fiery garbage
 
Aug 27, 2006
27,799
5,563
0
I have tried to keep politics out of it.

I honestly do not remember a single thing you've post
Let me post Breitbart sources you little dipsh*t.

The Washington Examiner, citing Bloomberg News and the Los Angeles Times, reported Monday that the Obama administration used millions of N95 masks in the fight against the H1N1 virus in 2009, but did not replace them.
Phucking LA Times is your bible. Did you see the Pandemic coming??? Did ya? Where did you pick up your ventilator and test kit in advance of the Pandemic? You're looking back in hindsight like you're some kind of genius.

Now try reading the John Hopkins study. We were as prepared as we could have been considering the dumpster fire we inherited.

The former senior director for counterproliferation and biodefense at the NSC, Tim Morrison said:

"It is true that the Trump administration has seen fit to shrink the NSC staff. But the bloat that occurred under the previous administration clearly needed a correction," he continued.
Morrison explained that "one such move at the NSC was to create the counterproliferation and biodefense directorate, which was the result of consolidating three directorates into one, given the obvious overlap between arms control and nonproliferation, weapons of mass destruction terrorism, and global health and biodefense."

He added, "It is this reorganization that critics have misconstrued or intentionally misrepresented. If anything, the combined directorate was stronger because related expertise could be commingled."
You're such a dumbphuck. Disingenuous...a fake.

I liked the information in here, I would have preferred a little less flame throwing though...not that anyone would care what I prefer, I get that...but subtle points wrapped with clever condescension work really well to.
 

WHCSC

All-Conference
Feb 4, 2002
10,806
3,619
88
Linking fiery garbage like Breitbart and Fox News says a lot

RollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaugh

Your links are garbage too, just on the other side. Unbelievable
 

HuskerHusaria

All-Conference
Jun 4, 2017
7,409
2,208
113
RollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaughRollingLaugh

Your links are garbage too, just on the other side. Unbelievable
Fox has more credibility than CNN will ever dream to have.
 

NorthwoodHusker

Sophomore
Jun 20, 2019
3,526
156
0
The typical flus are not "dying out". Flu is still going strong ironically the social distancing thing is going to help that deal immensely as well. The nursing home in my area was already on lockdown before the CV because of influenza. I have a friend diagnosed with influenza B 2 weeks ago after babysitting his grandkids. He's got a secondary bacterial pneumonia to boot but so far has avoided the hospital. It helps that a good friend of his is a pulmonologist.
We are in week 13 I believe
 

NorthwoodHusker

Sophomore
Jun 20, 2019
3,526
156
0
I always was under the impression, typical flu season dies out in April.
If the wuhan is also typical, besides the typical flu, hopefully the wuhan will follow suit.
 

jflores

All-Conference
Feb 3, 2004
8,993
2,783
0
There is a pattern developing here....certain people associated with a certain political side of the isle keep making it sound like the sky is falling. I wonder why? What could their end game possibly be? Is it possible they want to make it seem like it's the worst thing that's ever happened in the hopes that blame can be laid mostly at one persons feet for an event that's coming in November? Or is that a "wild conspiracy theory"?

As I understand it from Trump's speech the other day...Nebraska is an exemplar that is out performing the curve.

He failed to mention though that Nebraska's school year is essentially over, same as NYC or Seattle even though its a wildy red state not prone to kow-towing to the libs and the fear-mongering. I believe they are also doing the minimal essential business thing.

Maryland, blue as it is, has a Republican governor, and has done the same thing even though we aren't getting blasted with cases yet.

Though I dare say "libs" doesn't mean what it used too. Wasn't 10 years ago we fought about the $800 billion dollar bailout and reasonably clear battle lines were drawn. This time we had a you-know-what measuring contest to see who could hand out the biggest bailout the fastest.

We're all libs now bro. #SixTrillion #MAGA
 
Last edited:

jflores

All-Conference
Feb 3, 2004
8,993
2,783
0
If this were poker, Trump has relatively few outs. He doesn't have a bluff play, the virus doesn't care what he says.

If he gets lucky, he turns off Federal restrictions in a couple weeks, tells peeps to spend money, and hope things don't flare up medically. That's his out.

If they do, he's cooked. Edit: (The line here is narrow, he's on defense...Currently 48 states in the Union aren't on fire right now, if ANY of them get on fire, bad juju vis a vis his judgement to relax restrictions).

More likely he gets into Twitter battles with the governors. He'll reverse what little Federal restrictions there are, but a good many governors will be unwilling or unable to do so and its likely cases will still be rising in the USA anyway. Not going to be a good optic for him to attempt to turn on the economy, and with folks still in state lock down it doesn't really come back anyway AND we still have the virus issue.

Even if the economy rebounds by half (one parent goes back to work, one stays home with the kids who aren't in school this year, or some combination thereof), expected GDP loss is around 20%, a loss of 10% still isn't a win for him.
 
Last edited:

jflores

All-Conference
Feb 3, 2004
8,993
2,783
0
I read the other day, this might only be the beginning of a bailout as well. American's make roughly a trillion a month in income, so if this thing does drag out three or four months, there's potentially a few more trillion dollars in bailouts coming, plus whatever the Fed does on top of that. We could probably be in the $15 trillion dollar ball park for combined governmental response if it doesn't flame out.

Take note that the Pentagon said they are planning on operating in this degraded state for 3 months, whatever else you want to hype coming out of the President's press conferences.
 

leodisflowers

Senior
Feb 25, 2011
14,801
808
0
If this were poker, Trump has relatively few outs. He doesn't have a bluff play, the virus doesn't care what he says.

If he gets lucky, he turns off Federal restrictions in a couple weeks, tells peeps to spend money, and hope things don't flare up medically. That's his out.

If they do, he's cooked. Edit: (The line here is narrow, he's on defense...Currently 48 states in the Union aren't on fire right now, if ANY of them get on fire, bad juju vis a vis his judgement to relax restrictions).

More likely he gets into Twitter battles with the governors. He'll reverse what little Federal restrictions there are, but a good many governors will be unwilling or unable to do so and its likely cases will still be rising in the USA anyway. Not going to be a good optic for him to attempt to turn on the economy, and with folks still in state lock down it doesn't really come back anyway AND we still have the virus issue.

Even if the economy rebounds by half (one parent goes back to work, one stays home with the kids who aren't in school this year, or some combination thereof), expected GDP loss is around 20%, a loss of 10% still isn't a win for him.

Eh I don't know. Biden seems to get worse by the day. I can't believe that dude still goes on TV, and it is starting to get really bad.. I think it is a little more than old age with the guy at this point.
 

jflores

All-Conference
Feb 3, 2004
8,993
2,783
0
Eh I don't know. Biden seems to get worse by the day. I can't believe that dude still goes on TV, and it is starting to get really bad.. I think it is a little more than old age with the guy at this point.

I'm not a Biden fan, although of that lot he's the most moderate.

It almost doesn't matter who The Donald is running against, if his governmental response doesn't pan out like he says it will, they could run a potato and potentially win.

We have seen "anyone but" elections before. 2016 comes to mind. Trump's goal is to keep 2020 from becoming "anyone but The Donald" type of election.

He seems hell bent on putting it all on black on April 12.
 

NorthwoodHusker

Sophomore
Jun 20, 2019
3,526
156
0
If this were poker, Trump has relatively few outs. He doesn't have a bluff play, the virus doesn't care what he says.

If he gets lucky, he turns off Federal restrictions in a couple weeks, tells peeps to spend money, and hope things don't flare up medically. That's his out.

If they do, he's cooked. Edit: (The line here is narrow, he's on defense...Currently 48 states in the Union aren't on fire right now, if ANY of them get on fire, bad juju vis a vis his judgement to relax restrictions).

More likely he gets into Twitter battles with the governors. He'll reverse what little Federal restrictions there are, but a good many governors will be unwilling or unable to do so and its likely cases will still be rising in the USA anyway. Not going to be a good optic for him to attempt to turn on the economy, and with folks still in state lock down it doesn't really come back anyway AND we still have the virus issue.

Even if the economy rebounds by half (one parent goes back to work, one stays home with the kids who aren't in school this year, or some combination thereof), expected GDP loss is around 20%, a loss of 10% still isn't a win for him.
Lousianna is on fire, east coast,its getting there. Illinois, and Cali hasn't exploded yet.
 

dinglefritz

Heisman
Jan 14, 2011
51,592
13,018
78
Status
Not open for further replies.