Confidence level

[Ewooc]

Curious what everyone's confidence level is for each game this year. I now Ohio St will be tough. Apparently many "experts" think MN will also be tough. What say you? How confident are you we get the W for each game. Also just noticed we only have 2 home games b2b. Lots of Home away home away games. Not sure if that is good or bad. Anyways. I don't believe there is anything 100% so Im going with 99%

South Alabama 99%
@ Colorado 70%
Northern Illinois 99%
@Illinois 85%
Ohio St 45%
Northwestern 60%
@MN 60%
Indiana 85%
@Purdue 65%
Wisc 60%
@Maryland 75%
Iowa 65%

I think outside of Ohio St we will be the fav going into all the games.

 

[cubsker_rivals142943]

I think outside of Ohio St we will be the fav going into all the games.

Some of your numbers may be a little on the high side, but the above statement is correct if you were lining the games right now.

 

[HominidHusker]

100% W all the way. I refuse to believe in losses (until they happen).

... on to more realistic view: I think OP % are close to what people think, but despite my blind kool aid driven no fear of failure, I also have a side that needs to start seeing before believing.
We’ve been a constant disappointment for so long. This is a new Frost era and it’s time to right the ship.
It’s a critical year to not slip to our west division foes and/or the Purdues of the east. And it all is gonna start with the very important game in Colorado.

 

[E.RogerCoswell]

It’s a critical year to not slip to our west division foes and/or the Purdues of the east.

You know that Purdue is in the West, right?

 

[CatColumbia]

I believe we’ll lose 3-4 games. Will lose to the following:

Going in as the underdog:
OSU
Purdue

Going in as the favorite:
Minnesota
Maryland

 

[HominidHusker]

You know that Purdue is in the West, right?

Haha! Yup my bad. Thank you.

 

[HUSKERFAN66]

Curious what everyone's confidence level is for each game this year. I now Ohio St will be tough. Apparently many "experts" think MN will also be tough. What say you? How confident are you we get the W for each game. Also just noticed we only have 2 home games b2b. Lots of Home away home away games. Not sure if that is good or bad. Anyways. I don't believe there is anything 100% so Im going with 99%

South Alabama 99%
@ Colorado 70%
Northern Illinois 99%
@Illinois 85%
Ohio St 45%
Northwestern 60%
@MN 60%
Indiana 85%
@Purdue 65%
Wisc 60%
@Maryland 75%
Iowa 65%

I think outside of Ohio St we will be the fav going into all the games.

In my opinion you're not far off

 

[Ewooc]

I believe we’ll lose 3-4 games. Will lose to the following:

Going in as the underdog:
OSU
Purdue

Going in as the favorite:
Minnesota
Maryland

Possible, however I think we have more of shot to lose vs Wisc, NW, and Iowa than we do Purdue, MN and Maryland. Plus we won't be an underdog to Purdue. If we are undefeated going into the Ohio St game. Not sure we would be an underdog in that one. Maybe a 3 point dog at most.

 

[cubsker_rivals142943]

We definitely could be a dog to Purdue. Depends on how both teams look.

 

[SOHusker11]

,15-0..

 

[TravisWalker]

Maybe just start with one game at a time. We need to see how they have developed over the summer and how their game speed has improved. Our def. will be what I think needs the most improving.

 

[Headcard]

Maybe just start with one game at a time. We need to see how they have developed over the summer and how their game speed has improved. Our def. will be what I think needs the most improving.

We don’t get to play so our approach doesn’t really matter.

 

[DudznSudz]

Curious what everyone's confidence level is for each game this year. I now Ohio St will be tough. Apparently many "experts" think MN will also be tough. What say you? How confident are you we get the W for each game. Also just noticed we only have 2 home games b2b. Lots of Home away home away games. Not sure if that is good or bad. Anyways. I don't believe there is anything 100% so Im going with 99%

South Alabama 99%
@ Colorado 70%
Northern Illinois 99%
@Illinois 85%
Ohio St 45%
Northwestern 60%
@MN 60%
Indiana 85%
@Purdue 65%
Wisc 60%
@Maryland 75%
Iowa 65%

I think outside of Ohio St we will be the fav going into all the games.

Totally agree, provided we beat Colorado, hopefully severely.

 

[DudznSudz]

I don't think there are any teams on our schedule except for Ohio State that are out of reach to us at this point. In my opinion:

South Alabama - Tune up game. 100% win.
Colorado - ***-whipping time. Potentially a tough one, but we HAVE to win. 75% win
Northern Illinois - Another team to beat up on and let the B team get some minutes on in the 4th. 90% win
Illinois - Could be a fun shoot-out, could be silly. Illinois sucks. 90% win
Ohio State - They will be more vulnerable than at any time since we beat them in 2011 or 2012, but they are still absolutely loaded with skill. 25% win
Northwestern - Their D will be pretty good. Their O will not. 75% win
Minnesota - I don't care what people are predicting, Minnesota is not a good enough team to hang with us. 75% win
Indiana - Another game that could be a fun shoot-out. 90% win
Wisconsin - Like Ohio State, they are more vulnerable this year than they usually are. This one we win. 75% win
Maryland - Not a chance. 90% win.
Iowa - This year we beat them in a statement win at home. 90% win

There you have it. 11-1 is totally something we could do this year.

 

[SkerInCo]

Curious what everyone's confidence level is for each game this year. I now Ohio St will be tough. Apparently many "experts" think MN will also be tough. What say you? How confident are you we get the W for each game. Also just noticed we only have 2 home games b2b. Lots of Home away home away games. Not sure if that is good or bad. Anyways. I don't believe there is anything 100% so Im going with 99%

South Alabama 99%
@ Colorado 70%
Northern Illinois 99%
@Illinois 85%
Ohio St 45%
Northwestern 60%
@MN 60%
Indiana 85%
@Purdue 45%
Wisc 60%
@Maryland 75%
Iowa 65%

I think outside of Ohio St we will be the fav going into all the games.

South Alabama 100%
@ Colorado 85%
Northern Illinois 100%
@Illinois 95%
Ohio St 20%
Northwestern 70%
@MN 60%
Indiana 95%
@Purdue 75%
Wisc 40%
@Maryland 90%
Iowa 75%

 

[huskerssalts]

100% W all the way. I refuse to believe in losses (until they happen).

... on to more realistic view: I think OP % are close to what people think, but despite my blind kool aid driven no fear of failure, I also have a side that needs to start seeing before believing.
We’ve been a constant disappointment for so long. This is a new Frost era and it’s time to right the ship.
It’s a critical year to not slip to our west division foes and/or the Purdues of the east. And it all is gonna start with the very important game in Colorado.

Being fair here. Bo Pelini beat teams that we where supposed to beat but couldn’t ever beat the top teams (minus a couple though out his coaching career). We made it to the conference title games several times and couldn’t ever win them...well one we should have even won against TexAss, had the refs not given Colt McCoy and his team and extra second for a last second field goal. Now I’ll give you Mike Riley...outside the MSU win...Riley was a constant disappointment and he dam near ruined our beloved Huskers. Thank God Frost was hitting it big the same time Mike Riley’s team completely fell apart.

 

[Ewooc]

Being fair here. Bo Pelini beat teams that we where supposed to beat but couldn’t ever beat the top teams (minus a couple though out his coaching career). We made to the conference title games several times and couldn’t ever win them...well one we should have even won against TexAss, had the refs not given Colt McCoy and his team and extra second for a last second field goal. Now I’ll give you Mike Riley...outside the MSU win...Riley was a constant disappointment and he dam near ruined our beloved Huskers. Thank God Frost was hitting big the same time Mike Riley’s team completely fell apart.

That is something many over look. The timing involved to get Frost was insane. Had the wheels not came off under Riley. He would have probably been given another year. Odds are Frost would have moved on to take the Florida job or another and probably wouldn't take the Neb job another year or 2 down the road.

 

[huskerssalts]

That is something many over look. The timing involved to get Frost was insane. Had the wheels not came off under Riley. He would have probably been given another year. Odds are Frost would have moved on to take the Florida job or another and probably wouldn't take the Neb job another year or 2 down the road.

Right, it was like it was perfectly set up by God for it to work out beautifully for the Huskers. Sure we had to endure back to back 4-8 seasons (and we aren’t the only team that multi bad years until the dam broke...Wisconsin was one with Barry A. and Kirk Ferentz another...both went 1-10 their first seasons and followed it up with another horrible year for season 2). But Frost seems to have the handle and the talent to have this team going good now.

 

[NikkiSixx_rivals269993]

South Alabama 100%
@ Colorado 100%
Northern Illinois 100%
@Illinois 100%
Ohio St 100%
Northwestern 100%
@MN 100%
Indiana 100%
@Purdue 100%
Wisc 100%
@Maryland 100%
Iowa 100%

 

[SnohomishRed]

northwestern has a reboot year, Purdue is a 6-6 team

Wisconsin and Iowa are the favorites in the west until we prove we can beat them

 

[phoenix4nu]

Being fair here. Bo Pelini beat teams that we where supposed to beat but couldn’t ever beat the top teams (minus a couple though out his coaching career). We made it to the conference title games several times and couldn’t ever win them...well one we should have even won against TexAss, had the refs not given Colt McCoy and his team and extra second for a last second field goal. Now I’ll give you Mike Riley...outside the MSU win...Riley was a constant disappointment and he dam near ruined our beloved Huskers. Thank God Frost was hitting it big the same time Mike Riley’s team completely fell apart.

Pelini left the cupboard bare for his successor and tried to poison the well on top of that. He did as much or more to damage the program as Riley.

 

[huskerssalts]

Pelini left the cupboard bare for his successor and tried to poison the well on top of that. He did as much or more to damage the program as Riley.

That he did...I won’t even try and disagree there.

 

[HominidHusker]

Right, it was like it was perfectly set up by God for it to work out beautifully for the Huskers. Sure we had to endure back to back 4-8 seasons (and we aren’t the only team that multi bad years until the dam broke...Wisconsin was one with Barry A. and Kirk Ferentz another...both went 1-10 their first seasons and followed it up with another horrible year for season 2). But Frost seems to have the handle and the talent to have this team going good now.

It was written in the stars for things to work as they did. My only regret was losing a bunch of stud recruits that year. But never look back. It’s a new future now.

 

[Ewooc]

It was written in the stars for things to work as they did. My only regret was losing a bunch of stud recruits that year. But never look back. It’s a new future now.

Yeah that sucked. It seems to happen with any new coach hire, kids are going to bail. I think that is why many programs take a step back year 3 after a new coaching hire.

 

[HominidHusker]

Yeah that sucked. It seems to happen with any new coach hire, kids are going to bail. I think that is why many programs take a step back year 3 after a new coaching hire.

I was hoping Frost would come in able to land more high profile guys, but given circumstances he’s recruited well and just needs to start winning.

Said it before, but this year feels critical for the future of the program... mostly in recruiting momentum. Our division foes will start to out-recruit us if we can’t win games.

 

[Ewooc]

I was hoping Frost would come in able to land more high profile guys, but given circumstances he’s recruited well and just needs to start winning.

Said it before, but this year feels critical for the future of the program... mostly in recruiting momentum. Our division foes will start to out-recruit us if we can’t win games.

Agree, not a make or break year by any means, but it will be very telling as to the speed and direction of things. I have said it before, but I feel it is very important to have a good year to help recruiting and start landing a few high profile type recruits. If we can do that it will get the ball rolling. If we don't ,recruiting could get even tougher.

 

[bshirt73]

Pelini left the cupboard bare for his successor and tried to poison the well on top of that. He did as much or more to damage the program as Riley.

Heh, well if losing games everywhere is a damage to our program Smiling Mike was way, wayyyyyy worse than Bo ever was.

 

[phoenix4nu]

Heh, well if losing games everywhere is a damage to our program Smiling Mike was way, wayyyyyy worse than Bo ever was.

Pelini was headed in that direction when he was fired. His recruiting was abysmal. Not saying that lack of talent on the team was the only reason for Riley's losing records, but Pelini's terrible recruiting, especially in his last few years, coupled with the things he told the team when he left, definitely helped pave the way.

 

[NorthwoodHusker]

Bo vs MR, who cares? I'm more interested in the fact we are going up against oregon,bama,clemson etc much more often, and winning the recruits.
The Bo vs MR thing is, a recruit still had to play for them, under their systems.
Recruiting prowess is one thing, but as a coach, you cant change who you are.
SF hands down, his staff,hands down.
It's coming fellas, no doubt.

 

[JohnRossEwing]

northwestern has a reboot year, Purdue is a 6-6 team

Wisconsin and Iowa are the favorites in the west until we prove we can beat them

I agree about Purdue...Jeff didn't stay because he thinks he can do big things at Purdue...He stayed because they are paying him crazy jack for expectations of basically making a bowl game.

 

[NUSouth]

Curious what everyone's confidence level is for each game this year. I now Ohio St will be tough. Apparently many "experts" think MN will also be tough. What say you? How confident are you we get the W for each game. Also just noticed we only have 2 home games b2b. Lots of Home away home away games. Not sure if that is good or bad. Anyways. I don't believe there is anything 100% so Im going with 99%

South Alabama 99%
@ Colorado 70%
Northern Illinois 99%
@Illinois 85%
Ohio St 45%
Northwestern 60%
@MN 60%
Indiana 85%
@Purdue 65%
Wisc 60%
@Maryland 75%
Iowa 65%

I think outside of Ohio St we will be the fav going into all the games.

We should have beat Ohio State last year this year it's in Lincoln and they're short on scholarship quarterbacks I'd say that's at least a 50-50 game

 

[Kato]

Pelini was headed in that direction when he was fired. His recruiting was abysmal. Not saying that lack of talent on the team was the only reason for Riley's losing records, but Pelini's terrible recruiting, especially in his last few years, coupled with the things he told the team when he left, definitely helped pave the way.

Not sticking up for Bo by any means, it's just reading your post that made something click. Granted, professionally, you should never leave a job bad mouthing the leadership, but was he that far off on what he said of Shawn Eichorst? How much of Shawn ineptness drove Bo to show his colors each and everyday. Was definately on Bo radar of triggers. Just a thought.

 

[WestCoastCornhusker2]

Curious what everyone's confidence level is for each game this year. I now Ohio St will be tough. Apparently many "experts" think MN will also be tough. What say you? How confident are you we get the W for each game. Also just noticed we only have 2 home games b2b. Lots of Home away home away games. Not sure if that is good or bad. Anyways. I don't believe there is anything 100% so Im going with 99%

South Alabama 99%
@ Colorado 70%
Northern Illinois 99%
@Illinois 85%
Ohio St 45%
Northwestern 60%
@MN 60%
Indiana 85%
@Purdue 65%
Wisc 60%
@Maryland 75%
Iowa 65%

I think outside of Ohio St we will be the fav going into all the games.

I am hopeful but just can't expect a 1 or 2 loss season (or no losses) until I see how well coached our Defense is. Just too many mental errors, especially by the LBs and safeties.

 

[bshirt73]

Pelini was headed in that direction when he was fired. His recruiting was abysmal. Not saying that lack of talent on the team was the only reason for Riley's losing records, but Pelini's terrible recruiting, especially in his last few years, coupled with the things he told the team when he left, definitely helped pave the way.

Headed that direction based on what? Your dream bubble fantasy?

Bo was our HC for seven years and each year he won 9 or 10 games. Of course, that's zero losing seasons that Smiling Mike was so greatly skilled at.

 

[Ewooc]

We should have beat Ohio State last year this year it's in Lincoln and they're short on scholarship quarterbacks I'd say that's at least a 50-50 game

I saw the early line came out and we are 6 point dog right now. I have a feeling as it gets closer and if we are undefeated going in, plus a night game. We will flip to a +3 fav.

 

[phoenix4nu]

Headed that direction based on what? Your dream bubble fantasy?

Bo was our HC for seven years and each year he won 9 or 10 games. Of course, that's zero losing seasons that Smiling Mike was so greatly skilled at.

Based on his poor recruiting and most of the few highly rated players leaving during the last years while he was here.

 

[Ewooc]

Headed that direction based on what? Your dream bubble fantasy?

Bo was our HC for seven years and each year he won 9 or 10 games. Of course, that's zero losing seasons that Smiling Mike was so greatly skilled at.

Bo was great at just getting by. Especially his last few years. He was great at beating the crappy teams not great at beating teams with a pulse. He was never a coach who would take us to winning any kind of championships. His record vs ranked teams while here.

Vs Top 5 teams
0-3

Vs Top 10 Teams
2-8

Vs Top 25 team
8-17 ( 5 of these wins were vs teams ranked 20-25)

So his record vs teams ranked 1-19 was 3-14

As a comparison over that same time frame our buddy to the East (Ferentz) record

Vs Top 5 teams
3-1

Vs Top 10 Teams
4-4

Vs Top 25

8-12

Vs Top 19
6-9

I think we all agree that Ferentz is an ok coach but not a coach who can take a team to that championship level. Bo couldn't even match him.

 

[jlb321_rivals110621]

The probability of winning both games where you have a 60%chance of winning each game is 36%

The probability of going 3-0 if you have a 60% probability of winning each individual contest is 21.6%

The probability that we go 3-0 in our last 3 games with the odds you have listed is 27%

 

[DerHusker_rivals270018]

The probability of winning both games where you have a 60%chance of winning each game is 36%

The probability of going 3-0 if you have a 60% probability of winning each individual contest is 21.6%

The probability that we go 3-0 in our last 3 games with the odds you have listed is 27%

 

[Ewooc]

The probability of winning both games where you have a 60%chance of winning each game is 36%

The probability of going 3-0 if you have a 60% probability of winning each individual contest is 21.6%

The probability that we go 3-0 in our last 3 games with the odds you have listed is 27%

Yeah that sounds about right. The last 3 games are Wisc @ Maryland and Iowa. Beating Wisc has proven to be very difficult since joining the BIG. Beating Iowa the last 4 years has proven to be difficult. Im not that worried about Maryland, however they are improving. So Yeah beat all 3 is probably about 27-30%.
Also its a good thing I don't do this for a living and just for fun