C1 Playoff Projection

[hailvictors2]

Here is a shot at C1. I didn't use any specific formula to project future winners. I just picked who I thought would win. If I had no idea I looked back at previous season and common opponents from this season. One thing that will be interesting is a team that goes 7-2 is considered level 1 (50 for a win, 36 for a loss). If a team misses a game due to COVID 19 and goes 6-2 instead of 7-2 it takes them to level 2 (47 for a win, 33 for a loss). Same thing for teams that go 4-4 rather than 5-4. 4-4 makes them level 3, 5-4 makes them level 2. COVID cancellations in the final 3 weeks could play a big factor into seeding because it very well could prevent teams from leveling up, which takes points away from all of their opponents. Here is my best guess at C1 assuming all games are played.

1- Pierce (9-0, 45.66)
16- Mitchell (7-2, 40.66)

8- Kearney Catholic (6-2, 42.37)
9- Wayne (6-3 , 42.33)

5- St Paul (8-1, 43.44)
12- Cozad (7-2, 41.55)- More division 1/2 wins than Raymond Central

13- Raymond Central (7-2, 41.55)- Fewer division 1/2 wins than Cozad
4- Ashland-Greenwood (8-1, 43.77)

3- Wahoo (7-1 , 44.12)
14- Logan View/Scribner-Snyder (8-1, 41.11)

11- Ogallala (6-2, 41.625)
6- Auburn (8-1, 43.11)

7- Lincoln Christian (8-1, 42.44)
10- Gothenburg (6-3, 41.66)

15- Chadron (6-2, 41)
2- Adams Central (8-1, 44.44)

First 5 Out
Battle Creek (5-4, 40.11)
Falls City (6-3, 40.00)
North Bend Central (5-3, 39.875)
Central City (4-4, 38.875)
West Point-Beemer (5-4 , 38.44)

 

[PowerTfootball]

North Bend or West Point would have to be in. District Champs.

Here's what I had.

1. Adams Central (9-0, 45.667)
16. West Point-Beemer (6-3, 40.000)

9. Wayne (6-3, 41.667)
8. Lincoln Christian (8-1, 41.778)

5. Cozad (8-1, 43.111)
12. Gothenburg (6-3, 41.333)

13. Battle Creek (6-3, 41.333)
4. Ashland Greenwood (8-1, 44.111)

3. Wahoo (7-1, 44.500)
14. Ogallala (6-2, 40.875)

11. Logan View/SS (8-1, 41.444)
6. Auburn (8-1, 43.111)

7. St Paul (7-2, 41.889)
10. Raymond Central (7-2, 41.556)

15. Mitchell (7-2, 40.667)
2. Pierce (8-0, 45.125)