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C1 Bracket Projection

H

hailvictors2

Senior
Jul 31, 2009
1,182
743
113
1- Ashland-Greenwood (9-0, 45.66)- District 2 Champion
16- West Point-Beemer (6-3, 40.00)- District 4 Champion

9- Lincoln Christian (8-1, 42.11)- Wildcard from District 1
8- Mitchell (7-1, 42.22)- Wildcard from District 8

5- Auburn (8-1, 43.00)- District 1 Champion
12- Logan View-Scribner Snyder (8-1, 41.11)- District 3 Champion

13- Battle Creek (6-3, 41.00)- Wildcard from District 5
4- Kearney Catholic (7-1, 43.75)- District 7 Champion

3- St Paul- (8-1, 44.11)- District 6 Champion
14- Cozad (6-3, 40.33)- Wildcard from District 7

11- Gothenburg (6-3, 41.66)- District 8 Champion
6- Wahoo- (6-2, 42.375)- Wildcard from District 2

7- Adams Central (7-2, 42.22)- Wildcard from District 6
10- Wayne (6-3, 42.00)- Wildcard from District 5

15- Raymond Central (6-3, 4000)- Wildcard from District 2
2- Pierce (8-0, 45.50)- District 5 Champion

First 5 out
Ogallala 39.5
Chadron 39.25
Milford 39.25
Central City 38.87
Falls City 38.77

Above projection is based on the following results in week 9
Adams Central over Fillmore Central
Arlington over DC West
Ashland-Greenwood over Platteview
Auburn over Falls City
Battle Creek over North Bend Central
Boone Central over O'Neill
Boys Town over Concordia
Broken Bow over Minden
Central City over Wood River-Shelton
Ogallala over Chadron
Lakeview over Scotus
Kearney Catholic over Cozad
Milford over Fairbury
Logan View over Fort Calhoun
Gothenburg over Holdrege
Lincoln Christian over Nebraska City
Raymond Central over Louisville
Wahoo over Malcolm
Mitchell over Sidney
Pierce over Wayne
West Point-Beemer over Schuyler
St Paul over Twin River

McCook over Alliance
Scottsbluff over Gering

Aquinas over Tekamah-Herman
Bergan over Ponca
Bridgeport over Hershey
Crofton over BRLD
Yutan over Centennial
Gordon Rushville over Chase County
Oakland Craig over David City
Sutton over Doniphan-Trumbull
Hartington CC over Norfolk Catholic
Wilber Clatonia over Lincoln Lutheran
Ord over Gibbon
Sutton over Sandy Creek
St Cecilia over Superior
Bishop Neumann over Syracuse
NP St Pats over Valentine

Torrington, WY over Burns, WY
 
P

PowerTfootball

Freshman
Oct 26, 2018
161
61
0
In my opinion a district champion should not be able to be outseeded by someone else in their district.

I have wrestling criteria in my mind in terms of the comparison between a varsity/jv wrestler.

If you think of a District as your wrestling team - you shouldn't have your second best squad as the higher seed of the two. Mitchell got destroyed by Gothenburg.

I think it should be that the champ shouldn't jump anyone but the wildcard should fall right behind the champ where ever that is. In this case it would look like this.

1. Ashland Greenwood
16. West Point

9. Wayne
8. Lincoln Christian

5. Auburn
12. Logan View

13. Battle Creek
4. Kearney Catholic

3. St Paul
14. Cozad

11. Mitchell
6. Wahoo

7. Adams Central
10. Gothenburg

15. Raymond Central
2. Pierce

It doesn't change it a whole lot because the initial seedings aren't that far apart but I don't think it's right for Mitchell to be seeded ahead of Gothenburg.
 
Last edited:
G

GoSkers3

Junior
Sep 30, 2020
443
214
43
It's crazy to me how many games in the last week of regular season that can change the whole playoff picture. There will be a lot of eyes on quite a few games to see what's going to happen with the playoffs.
 
H

hailvictors2

Senior
Jul 31, 2009
1,182
743
113
I really think there will be a game that gets cancelled that will cause a ripple. It might be a situation where a team is 6-2 and playing another team that is 3-5. In every other season it would be safe to assume that the 6-2 team gets to 7-2 and gives all their opponents 3 extra points for playing them. This year it might be that the game gets cancelled and now all those teams miss out. Same would be true for a team that is 4-4 playing someone that is 2-6. No matter who wins that game, one team is moving up a level. If the game gets cancelled you have a bunch of teams that miss out on the 3 points.
 
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H

hdendzonecam

Redshirt
Sep 18, 2014
261
20
0
Gothenburg beat Mitchell head to head 28-6 which puts them ahead in district standings, but not points because Mitchell has an overall better record. Gothenburg went 4-0 in district play and Mitchell is going to end up 3-1 if they beat Sidney.
 
P

PowerTfootball

Freshman
Oct 26, 2018
161
61
0
Yes. I just don't think that it should be that a district champion gets outseeded by a wildcard from the same district. Just my two cents.
 
G

GoSkers3

Junior
Sep 30, 2020
443
214
43
hailvictors2 said:
I really think there will be a game that gets cancelled that will cause a ripple. It might be a situation where a team is 6-2 and playing another team that is 3-5. In every other season it would be safe to assume that the 6-2 team gets to 7-2 and gives all their opponents 3 extra points for playing them. This year it might be that the game gets cancelled and now all those teams miss out. Same would be true for a team that is 4-4 playing someone that is 2-6. No matter who wins that game, one team is moving up a level. If the game gets cancelled you have a bunch of teams that miss out on the 3 points.
Click to expand...


Just out of curiosity......aren't points based off of winning percentage? For example, if a team ends up 6-2, wouldn't they still be a division 1 opponent and give teams the most amount of points possible? I very well could be wrong on this. But I do agree that somewhere a game will get canceled and affect some teams and their points for seeding in the playoffs.
 
G

GoSkers3

Junior
Sep 30, 2020
443
214
43
Just looked it up on NSAA and I was wrong on my winning percentages - thought 75% winning percentage was a division 1. Different rules for different sports - my bad!
 
G

GoSkers3

Junior
Sep 30, 2020
443
214
43
hailvictors2 said:
Kind of weird isn't it? Rare circumstances though.
Click to expand...

There are so many points that are being missed out on with all these cancellations. Still confused how the NSAA would think that class A is the only class that is effected by COVID cancellations.
 
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J

jonh142881_anon

Freshman
Dec 7, 2003
194
75
0
What's really weird is a few years ago the NSAA changed the football playoff points without saying anything. Every sport has playoff points that are the SAME. Football is different. Why is that? No reason at all. It rewards beating bad teams, which puts teams into higher seeds in the playoffs that haven't played tough competition. Look it up, all the sports are the same except FOOTBALL.
 
P

PowerTfootball

Freshman
Oct 26, 2018
161
61
0
Actually it's 8 man football that's different. I didn't go look but I'm pretty sure basketball uses the 41-44-47-50 model, the same as 11 man football.

8 man is different because they only play 8 games. When c1/c2 were still playing 8 games, they used the 40-45-50 model
 
B

bgclub_rivals293120

Sophomore
Feb 21, 2011
155
106
0
Football PTS WIN/LOSS
Division IV - 0%-33% 41/27
Division III - 33.1%-55% 44/30
Division II - 55.1%-77% 47/33
Division I - 77.1%-100% 50/36

Basketball/Volleyball
Division IV - 0%-24.9% 41/30
Division III - 25%-49.9% 44/33
Division II - 50%-74.9% 47/36
Division I - 75%-100% 50/39
 
P

PowerTfootball

Freshman
Oct 26, 2018
161
61
0
The reason for the percentage differences would be the amount of games played then. To allow for even distribution of divisions among records.

That's my guess.
 
H

hdendzonecam

Redshirt
Sep 18, 2014
261
20
0
The change was in the points for a loss. Here is what the other sports use: WINS 50 47 44 41 LOSS 39 36 33 30
In football, the loss points are 27 30 33 36 They used to be the same, no reason for the change.

It rewards those with soft schedules, they should CHANGE IT BACK.
 
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