C-1/C-2
- Thread starter spike17
- Start date
In C1, I think the picture becomes clearer after this week. Some major games this week that will adjust points.
Boone vs Scotus (number 1 in points vs number 4 in points)
Adams Central vs St. Paul (winner here wins the district)
Pierce vs Battle Creek (toughest schedule maybe ever in C1?)
Broken Bow vs Cozad (If Cozad wins it makes things for Lakeview, Battle Creek, Ft. Calhoun interesting in the final week. If Bow wins, it will pretty much knock Cozad out, unless they upset KC.)
Boone vs Scotus (number 1 in points vs number 4 in points)
Adams Central vs St. Paul (winner here wins the district)
Pierce vs Battle Creek (toughest schedule maybe ever in C1?)
Broken Bow vs Cozad (If Cozad wins it makes things for Lakeview, Battle Creek, Ft. Calhoun interesting in the final week. If Bow wins, it will pretty much knock Cozad out, unless they upset KC.)
C2 is a little easier to sort out. Granted, there are still some big games like NC vs Cedar, Bergan vs OC, Yutan vs Neumann, Yutan vs Centennial...
Projected District Winners:
District 1: Yutan
District 2: Bergan
District 3: Norfolk Catholic
District 4: HSC
District 5: Ord
District 6: NPSP
Projected Wildcards: Aquinas, Lincoln Lutheran, Hartington Cedar Catholic, Wilber-Clatonia, Centennial, Gordan-Rushville, Centura, Sutton, Oakland-Craig, Bishop Neumann
Projected Bracket as of today
#1 Norfolk Catholic
#16 Oakland-Craig
#8 NPSP
#9 Hartington Cedar Catholic
#4 Aquinas
#13 Centura
#5 Hastings St. Cecilia
#12 Gordon-Rushville
#2 Bergan
#15 Sutton
#7 Lincoln Lutheran
#10 Wilber-Clatonia
#3 Yutan
#14 Bishop Neumann
#6 Ord
#11 Centennial
Projected District Winners:
District 1: Yutan
District 2: Bergan
District 3: Norfolk Catholic
District 4: HSC
District 5: Ord
District 6: NPSP
Projected Wildcards: Aquinas, Lincoln Lutheran, Hartington Cedar Catholic, Wilber-Clatonia, Centennial, Gordan-Rushville, Centura, Sutton, Oakland-Craig, Bishop Neumann
Projected Bracket as of today
#1 Norfolk Catholic
#16 Oakland-Craig
#8 NPSP
#9 Hartington Cedar Catholic
#4 Aquinas
#13 Centura
#5 Hastings St. Cecilia
#12 Gordon-Rushville
#2 Bergan
#15 Sutton
#7 Lincoln Lutheran
#10 Wilber-Clatonia
#3 Yutan
#14 Bishop Neumann
#6 Ord
#11 Centennial
Whose is the toughest? Pierce's or BC's?
Battle Creek
at Central City
Hartington Cedar Catholic
at West Point-Beemer
Columbus Scotus
at Wayne
Boone Central
at O'Neill
Pierce
at North Bend
Pierce
St. Paul
Columbus Lakeview
at North Bend
Arlington
at Boone Central
O'Neill
at West Point-Beemer
at Battle Creek
Wayne
Throw in Wayne's schedule
Wayne
Logan View/Scribner-Snyder
West Point-Beemer
at Columbus Lakeview
at Ashland-Greenwood
Battle Creek
Norfolk Catholic
at Boone Central
O'Neill
at Pierce
1-16 Boone vs AC
8-9 Lakeview vs Scotus
5-12 Chadron vs Wayne
4-13 Pierce vs Auburn
3-14 Kearney Catholic vs Arlington
6-11 Milford vs Fort Calhoun
7-10 Broken Bow vs Wahoo
2-15 Ashland vs Platteview
First out
Battle Creek
Boys Town
Mitchell
Ogallala
8-9 Lakeview vs Scotus
5-12 Chadron vs Wayne
4-13 Pierce vs Auburn
3-14 Kearney Catholic vs Arlington
6-11 Milford vs Fort Calhoun
7-10 Broken Bow vs Wahoo
2-15 Ashland vs Platteview
First out
Battle Creek
Boys Town
Mitchell
Ogallala
Auburn would have to lose to drop all the way to 13. Are you projecting they lose to Fairbury (1-6) or Falls City (1-6)? Not saying its impossible, but I think its pretty unlikely
Agreed, I can't see them losing to Falls City or Fairbury. I think Auburn is going to sit near where they are currently, 7th. They aren't going to get any help beating to one win teams the next two weeks. Ashland and Milford are already D1 in points, so that doesn't do anything for them. I guess they could get help if Fort Calhoun finishes 7-2, that would give them three extra points.
I think there are enough teams around them now that will win and lose and it will all balance out to them being somewhere between 6-8 seed.
Appreciate your work. This appears to predict Arlington over Boys Town, Boone over Scotus, Lakeview over Scotus, and Adams Central over St Paul.
Couple of games that could rock the bracket a little bit that involve teams that are unlikely to get in.
Week 8
DC West-Logan View. Could prevent Logan View from getting to 5 wins.
Gering-Mitchell. Gering winning this game would get them to 3 wins. That helps Chadron's total.
Chase County-Bridgeport- A Chase County win gets them to 3, which helps Mitchell/Ogallala/Chadron
Week 9
DC West-Arlington. If DC West beats Logan View in week 8 (Calpreps projects 24-20 DC West) this game becomes a winner moves to division 2, loser is division 3.
Gothenburg-Holdrege. Another game where the winner moves up a division. Both will likely be sitting on 2 wins coming in, unless Gothenburg upsets Chadron in week 8
Louisville-Raymond Central. If Louisville wins they get to 3 wins which moves them up a level.
Here are the toughest schedules in C1, even though they have tough opponents, their schedules are not overall the toughest compared to the class.
| Omaha Concordia | 0.677 |
| Wahoo | 0.656 |
| Wayne | 0.639 |
| Malcolm | 0.629 |
| Gothenburg | 0.629 |
| Ashland Greenwood | 0.574 |
| O'Neill | 0.574 |
| Ogallala | 0.571 |
| North Bend Central | 0.565 |
| Battle Creek | 0.557 |
| Auburn | 0.556 |
| Broken Bow | 0.548 |
| Boone Central | 0.545 |
| Holdrege | 0.540 |
| Platteview | 0.525 |
| Central City | 0.525 |
| Fairbury | 0.524 |
| West Point-Beemer | 0.508 |
| Falls City | 0.508 |
| Minden | 0.508 |
| Arlington | 0.500 |
| Lincoln Christian | 0.500 |
| Cozad | 0.492 |
| Douglas County West | 0.492 |
| Sidney | 0.492 |
| Wood River-Shelton | 0.492 |
| Boys Town | 0.492 |
| Kearney Catholic | 0.484 |
| Pierce | 0.483 |
| Schuyler | 0.483 |
| Adams Central | 0.475 |
| Louisville | 0.475 |
| Milford | 0.468 |
| St. Paul | 0.452 |
| Raymond Central | 0.452 |
| Columbus Lakeview | 0.443 |
| Fort Calhoun | 0.441 |
| Columbus Scotus | 0.433 |
| Mitchell | 0.403 |
| Fillmore Central | 0.383 |
| Nebraska City | 0.371 |
| Chadron | 0.339 |
| Logan View/Scribner-Snyder (LVSS) | 0.339 |
Week 9 always throws things for a loop, right now tons of teams can move, so there is near 100% chance that bracket will be changed. This friday will lock a lot of teams into a division.
