Bowl Projections: Week 6

[00Dawg]

Now that some folks are actually bowl eligible, it's time for projections.

ESPN SEC Blog: Liberty Bowl
Brett McMurphy (ESPN): Music City Bowl vs Wisconsin
Mark Schlabach (ESPN): Texas Bowl vs WVU
College Sports Madness: Citrus Bowl vs Nebraska (yeah, this guy's not paying attention to all teams)
Jason Kirk (SBNation): Music City Bowl vs Louisville
Jerry Palm (CBS): Gator Bowl vs North Carolina
Sporting News: Liberty Bowl vs Texas Tech
USA Today: Independence Bowl vs Louisville
Orlando Sentinel: Texas Bowl vs WVU
College Football News: Liberty Bowl vs KSU

-- Not yet updated --
Brad Crawford (Saturday Down South):
Fox Sports:

 

[DawgatAuburn]

Glad to see there's such a strong consensus about our destination.

 

[johnson86-1]

So with the new bowl format where the SEC basically places people in bowls after the first few, what's the best guess about whether and how badly we get screwed?

With the explicit order of the bowls, it was tough for us to get screwed too badly. In 2012, for example, when we really just rolled up 8 wins against bad competition and had a dysfunctional coaching staff and deflated fan base, there were justifiable reasons to not be in the Gator, but the Music City didn't want us back to back and the SEC couldn't allow us to just be shafted into the Birmingham Bowl. With no explicit order, would we end up in the Birmingham Bowl equivalent if the same scenario presented itself?

At what point does the explicit ordering go away now? Is it everything after the Capital One? Or is it everything after the Outback?

 

[GhostOfJackie]

Everything after Capitol One. The next six bowls are technically "equal" and the SEC places you.

Playoffs
New Years 6 Bowls
Citrus
Outback, Liberty, Tax Slayer, Texas, Music City, Belk <<< all equal
B-ham
Indy

That's how the new order goes. They will place us in one of the 6 that we have not been to lately. They also consider proximity.

 

[Drewbowski]

I bet we end up in Nashville.

I know we'll never be picked to go there but I would love to go to the Belk Bowl in Charlotte.

 

[UpTheMiddlex3Punt]

I see the boycott is projected to live on.

 

[00Dawg]

Actually, last week the SEC blog had us headed to Tampa.
I was shocked to know that someone wasn't aware of the boycott.

 

[Drewbowski]

Post 99 State fans****

 

[DawgatAuburn]

Play this out....

Start by eliminating Vandy and USCe. The Mizzou/Arkansas winner is probably at six, but the loser may not get there (unless we help them both out). I'm not giving up on anyone else getting to six, including Auburn. So at this point there are 11 teams in consideration.


Playoffs - at best, one of LSU, Bama, UM, TAMU, and Florida

New Years 6 Bowls: Maybe two more of those listed above

Citrus: Another of those top five

Outback, Liberty, Tax Slayer, Texas, Music City, Belk: One of those top five is going to end up in this group and likely not happy about it, even if it's Outback; So the choices for the other five games come from the other six bowl eligible teams - UGA, MSU, UT, UK, Auburn and the Ark/Mizzou winner. I would have to think the Missouri/Arkansas winner would be the least attractive, meaning we would be in this group. UGA probably takes Gator. UT to the Belk sounds about right? That leaves Texas, Liberty and Music City for us, Auburn and Kentucky. I would guess us to Houston, and Auburn and Kentucky splitting Memphis and Nashville.

B-ham - Missouri/Arkansas winner.

Indy - not filled


I'm sure I made some mistakes. Someone correct me.