Bowl Projections: post-Week 7

[00Dawg]

Trend from the previous listing will be marked as ▲,▼, or -, if available. Due to SEC bowl tiers, some trends are subjective.


CBS: Birmingham vs Western Michigan -
CFN: Birmingham vs SMU -
SaturdayDownSouth: Duke's Mayo Bowl vs Clemson -
247 Sports: Liberty Bowl vs Texas ▲
Brett McMurphy: Texas Bowl vs Texas -
USA Today: Texas Bowl vs Baylor -
Last Word in Sports: Birmingham vs Central Florida -
Sporting News: Birmingham Bowl vs Houston ▼
College Sports Madness: Birmingham Bowl vs Duke -
Athlon Sports: Liberty Bowl vs Iowa State (new)






As usual, need an update from an ESPN Insider, por favor.
The one from The Athletic would be welcome, too.

 

[Barkman Turner Overdrive]

Trend from the previous listing will be marked as ▲,▼, or -, if available. Due to SEC bowl tiers, some trends are subjective.


CBS: Birmingham vs Western Michigan -
CFN: Birmingham vs SMU -
SaturdayDownSouth: Duke's Mayo Bowl vs Clemson -
247 Sports: Liberty Bowl vs Texas ▲
Brett McMurphy: Texas Bowl vs Texas -
USA Today: Texas Bowl vs Baylor -
Last Word in Sports: Birmingham vs Central Florida -
Sporting News: Birmingham Bowl vs Houston ▼
College Sports Madness: Birmingham Bowl vs Duke -
Athlon Sports: Liberty Bowl vs Iowa State (new)






As usual, need an update from an ESPN Insider, por favor.
The one from The Athletic would be welcome, too.

I am probably in the minority here, but I would gladly take the Birmingham Bowl today.

 

[57stratdawg]

F*ck that….

 

[patdog]

Absolutely. I'd take any bowl to be honest. But the Birmingham Bowl in the new stadium would be pretty cool.

 

[DAWGS1.sixpack]

Other than TX the opponents suck but with us what’s new?
The best bowl teams as far as helmet games go have been Nebraska, Texas, Clemson, A&M, GTech and Michigan and 4 of those were over 20 years ago. You may could include Iowa as a decent name/helmet game.

 

[patdog]

Even the A&M, Michigan and Iowa games were in mediocre bowls. Sure they're name teams, but they weren't that good that year. We're in a mediocre bowl at best this year, so I don't care who we play.

 

[Dawgg]

I have ESPN+, but I can’t find updated Bowl Projections for this week.

 

[MaroonCrusader]

I’d love to play Clemson this year. O/U might be 30.

 

[NOATLDAWG]

I would too... But that's only because I see 5-7 as our finish...

 

[MSUDC11]

The Athletic does not have us making a bowl game.

 

[The Peeper]

I don't see it either, I think we're looking at 5-7. We've played 2 decent games this year and have stunk up the place in the others. If UPig and Aubie were at home I may would change it but I don't see us beating them on the road and don't see us outscoring the Black Bears @ home

 

[patdog]

I think we'll get to 6 somehow if Rogers isn't too limited by the injury. Arkansas is on the road, but I think we match up reasonably well against them. Kentucky is apparently a lot tougher than I thought, but I think we match up reasonably well with them too and they're at home. Hard to see a win at Auburn or against Mississippi at home unless Corrall is injured though. If Rogers can't be effective, we may have trouble getting to 5 wins.

It's been a crazy season though, so I fully expect to beat Mississippi or Auburn but lose to Vanderbilt.

 

[wsjmsu75]

I think we'll get to 6 somehow if Rogers isn't too limited by the injury. Arkansas is on the road, but I think we match up reasonably well against them. Kentucky is apparently a lot tougher than I thought, but I think we match up reasonably well with them too and they're at home. Hard to see a win at Auburn or against Mississippi at home unless Corrall is injured though. If Rogers can't be effective, we may have trouble getting to 5 wins.

It's been a crazy season though, so I fully expect to beat Mississippi or Auburn but lose to Vanderbilt.

I agree it's been crazy, but not THAT crazy. The losing to Vandy part I mean. I think a win over either OM or Auburn is at least possible.

 

[Raiderdawg.sixpack]

ESPN projections:

Birmingham vs UCF
Liberty vs Texas Tech.

 

[PirateDawg]

Absolutely. I'd take any bowl to be honest. But the Birmingham Bowl in the new stadium would be pretty cool.

I agree, it would be an easy drive for our fans and we would probably set the stadium record for attendance.

 

[AtlantaDawg]

I don't see it either, I think we're looking at 5-7. We've played 2 decent games this year and have stunk up the place in the others. If UPig and Aubie were at home I may would change it but I don't see us beating them on the road and don't see us outscoring the Black Bears @ home

I believe that we have a legit shot with 3 wins today:

1. Vandy on the road - 90% chance of a win.
2. KY at home - 50% chance of a win (because it is at home).
3. Aubie on the road - 20% chance of a win, but we pulled it off at A&M.
4. Arkie on the road - 20% chance of a win, but we pulled it off at A&M.
5. TN State - 95% chance of a win.
6. Ole Miss at Home - 33% chance of a win, especially if their QB is injured... He seems to run a lot and will take a lot of hits between now and Thanksgiving.

The factors: how loud will our home crowd be for Ole Miss and KY?
how badly is Will Rogers throwing shoulder?
Is Arky, Aubie, KY, and Ole Miss dumb enough to rush 3 men all game (as A&M did)?

 

[MSUDC11]

I tend to think we split the Kentucky and Arkansas games for whatever reason. I have us at 6-5 going into the Egg Bowl and we’ll see beyond that.

I would love to beat Auburn because I’m actually making my first trip to Jordan Hare this year, but I just envision Nix running circles around our defense that has a tendency to look slow at times.

 

[stateu1]

Other than TX the opponents suck but with us what’s new?
The best bowl teams as far as helmet games go have been Nebraska, Texas, Clemson, A&M, GTech and Michigan and 4 of those were over 20 years ago. You may could include Iowa as a decent name/helmet game.

I honestly don't remember us playing Nebraska. When was that?

 

[dorndawg]

I tend to think we split the Kentucky and Arkansas games for whatever reason. I have us at 6-5 going into the Egg Bowl and we’ll see beyond that.

I would love to beat Auburn because I’m actually making my first trip to Jordan Hare this year, but I just envision Nix running circles around our defense that has a tendency to look slow at times.

Sure it's not impossible we win 1 or 2 of these 4 games, but we will be TD or more underdogs in 3, maaaaayble merely 4-5 point dogs against Ark.

 

[MSUDC11]

Sure it's not impossible we win 1 or 2 of these 4 games, but we will be TD or more underdogs in 3, maaaaayble merely 4-5 point dogs against Ark.

Unless we lose to Vandy on Saturday, I would be floored if Kentucky is a touchdown favorite in Starkville. I think it opens at UK -3 or -4 and may end up being a pick em by kickoff.

 

[DAWGS1.sixpack]

I honestly don't remember us playing Nebraska. When was that?

Sun Bowl - 1980 I think.
Didn’t turn out too well for us that day.

 

[GloryDawg]

I am probably in the minority here, but I would gladly take the Birmingham Bowl today.

And maybe it won't be too hot or too cold. Just right.

 

[patdog]

That was the Nebraska team that went 11-0 the next season and people were talking about them being the best team in history, until Miami upset them in the Orange Bowl for their first national title.

 

[Maroon Eagle]

The Athletic does not have us in a bowl game.

Coastal Carolina is picked to go to the Birmingham Bowl against SMU because there aren’t enough SEC teams to fill spots.

 

[Maroon Eagle]

Nebraska lost to Clemson in the Orange Bowl after the ‘81 season— that was the Tigers’ first national championship.

The loss to Miami was in the ‘84 Orange Bowl.